Hairyducked Idiot

The 2018 Bears had too much talent to tank. The 2020 Bears? Eh. I generally don't believe in intentional tanking. If you're bad enough to need it, it takes care of itself. The Bears have a pretty good chance of taking care of it themselves.

I feel like if Nagy is involved in picking the next attempt at a franchise QB, he'll turn it into some weird sideshow where he comes up with convoluted ways to measure who is the exact opposite of Trubisky in every way. Mariota is the Ian Stewart of QBs. But I'd be fine with that. Anything that doesn't commit resources past 2020 is fine.

The world is coming around on my "Bears are doooooomed" theory way too quickly, it's not as fun anymore.

On principle because they suck? Yes. To save cap space? No, they both have some dead cap hit. Cutting Massie only saves you $2.9m and cutting Leno actually costs you $2.5m more.

Some cap hit changes from this year to next year: Mack: $12m to $27m Massie: $3.8m to $8.3m Floyd: $5m to $13m Leno: $3.3m to $11.3m Goldman: $5.3m to $10.8m Hicks: $10.1m to $11.8m Fuller: $13.5m to $17.5m Whitehair: $2.4m to $7.4m This team is gonna be noticeably worse next year even if they fix the coaching problems.

They couldn’t even get their stories straight last night about when he got “hurt.” It was 100% a frustration move from Nagy. Trubisky was bad last night. Not *as* bad as his final stat line, but bad.

No progress, same old same old. Trubisky is scared to pull the trigger on deep balls, checks down way too quickly, ignores open receivers, makes the wrong move in the pocket almost every time, and misses throws occasionally because of bad mechanics. The offensive line is absolutely awful. The receivers all have drop problems. The defense is very good but can't be counted on late in games when you must have a stop. And somehow we still have kicker problems. Oh, and Mack's disappearance continues. But what really kills me is the offensive play design, especially the run plays. That infamous third and one option is firable, there were like six things you should never do on the same play, intentionally.

this spelling was so bad that it actually made me forget how to spell it. Yeah but I got white nick right, which I think balances it out.

Thus the reason Daniel is nowhere near “important” I just mean in terms of "they will spend some cap space or draft picks to fill this spot." Not that they want that specific player to come back.

That's cutting some bone. You *can* do all that stuff, but you're not fielding a championship contending football team as a result. You're downgrading positions to try to salvage other ones. Other than Shaheen, who is definitely toast.

Pretttty sure they're gonna try to have a decent backup QB next season. P sure I'm 3/4 on the names. I know which one I got wrong without looking, Trev, but the rest are right?

I get my Bears doom boner jollies looking in other direction right now. After they cut Kyle Long, they'll have $21m in cap space. Their important UFAs are Clinton-Dix, Treviathon, Kwiatkoski and Daniel. No first-round pick. That's basically enough cap room to sign their draft picks and replace the guys they're losing, and that's it. And that's assuming they hit on the second-rounders and get guys who can be useful right away. It will cost them all their offseason resources just get back to this turd of a team, except a year older.

HELLO MODERATORS I WOULD LIKE FOR THIS TO BE THE LITTLE THING UNDER MY AVATAR PLS Or I guess I can just make it my location.

Trubisky's accuracy is hard to describe because it's not like he's spraying throws with no idea of where they're going. He throws 80% of his balls precisely where he intends to and 20% of them mysteriously miss by five yards. Which obviously isn't acceptable for an NFL quarterback. But given a better OL, I think you could live with his throws. What kills me is the reads. I'm used to dumb quarterbacks who throw into triple coverage. I've never seen one who can so consistently look right at wide-open receivers who are in his read progression and simply "lol nope" and move on to the dump-off. I'm gonna post these every week just to be spiteful of the complaints last week, but also because they're fun: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WcBYaei7Dbw&feature=youtu.be This offense has so many problems. There's now way they fix them all before someone gets fired and we have to rebuild from scratch again.

It's also worth pointing out that Brees sat the bench his first year. So while his fourth year was his breakout year, he had about the same number of starts as Trubisky does now. Let's all relive the day Trubisky was drafted: viewtopic.php?f=44&t=1203&start=1400

Mack has 1 sack in his last 5 games. He's looked ... well I don't wanna say bad. He's still very good. Less than what he was last year is still a helluva football player. But definitely lesser than he was last year.

You don't have to, you want to. The interior line played better with the switch, luckily they did since both tackles were trash. They definitely blocked better, but there were a lot of bad snaps. Probably worth it, though.

Moderate success is basically having 10 competent minutes of offense surrounded by 50 minutes of garbage I honestly thought he was reasonable in the first half even before that point. Burton's pointless jump, Gabriel's awful drop cost him 35 yards and the chance to continue two drives.

The message I got is that when the rest of the talent on offense is relatively matched to the defense they're playing, the QB can produce.

I think that's a pretty good measuring stick on where we are. They're good enough to beat one of the NFC's worst teams, at home, starting their backup QB. Trubisky is good enough to have moderate success against a bad defense. The defense can still hold down bad offenses, with the occasional blip.

Because I'm a ghoul who feeds off of misery, I'm actually interested in the Bears now that they're broken. And because I'm an idiot, I'm enjoying the discovery of the genre of idiots breaking down film on Youtube. I'm now convinced that Trubisky isn't The Problem. He's not a good starting QB, but he's being put in a situation uniquely designed to exploit his flaws. In a better situation, he could still be better than some of the 32 starters in the league each week. The problem is this offense can't block. At all. They can't pass block, and they can't run block. The tackles have always been bad. The interior line is being burned consistently on anything that involves figuring out blocking assignments. And there's no help from secondary blockers. Burton is playing hurt, Shaheen is bad at football, Montgomery is good at most things but he's a big blocking downgrade from Howard, and Cohen isn't a real running back. Trubisky cannot function with bad pass protection. The only two things he knows how to do when there's pressure are 1) dump it off way too early or 2) forget anything he has ever learned about the mechanics of throwing a football. This team needs someone like Jay Cutler, who would throw for the same 3200 yards, 24 TDs and 16 INTs no matter how good or bad his surrounding cast was. They need to take out everything from the playbook that involves weird misdirection trap-blocking, all the RPOs (that's Trubisky's other problem, he basically never makes the right decision on those), and everything that involves an empty backfield. There's no point in sending five guys on routes when Trubisky is only capable of reading two options and only has time to read one.

I keep wanting to talk myself into "Maybe Mitch can still be fixed. Drew Brees, Alex Smith, blah blah blah." But the play at 2:24 of that video just kills me. Three step drop, his first read is wide open, he's looking right at Miller, and he just nopes and starts happy-feeting around. 33 games of NFL experience and he still doesn't know what he's seeing out there, just reacting randomly to things and hoping it works out.

Well obviously I'm posting this every week from now on.

This goes so much deeper than Trubisky: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-nLStkkq3_A

There was a stat last game that showed that he's basically stopped running since coming back from last year's injury.