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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Hockey's back? Or not really until after we are done playing the Ducks.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Too bad roughly 36 ballgames would end with those four waiting to bat while the first two hitters make the final outs.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Which is wonderful, but he's not going to hit every year like he hit last year.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    that might work for some people, but I would have thought you would have felt obligated to take the less popular position. I like 30 Rock. What more do you want from me?
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yes.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Once the first one got it wrong, we were honor-bound by the NSBB GroupThink Pact to all answer wrong. Not our fault.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Seeing as how we are now scientifically proven to be better than death, if anyone knows any desperate unemployed journalists, two more resignations have left the Williston Daily Herald with three open spots in a six-person editorial staff.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    My recommendation would be to find something funny about him, and then mention it every time you talk in his presence for the rest of his life.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's mostly just that it's the offseason.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Deeerrrrrr!!!! uhhh....doi?!?
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    I thought Meph's layout was reasonable. Sure, it'd be nice to use real assumptions and actually lay out how you get the numbers, but he illustrated the general point he was making.l
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Actually, though I have no way of checking those numbers, that argument makes a ton of sense. I'm pretty skeptical of the way playoff odds are calculated, but otherwise, I'm sold. Tell Jim Hendry he can trade for Peavy now, KyleJRM approves.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's more complicated than that. Peavy might not be either, and you have to consider the opportunity cost of what else you could get down the road for those prospects and that payroll space.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's not about adjustments, it's about raw ability. Soriano is no longer anywhere near fast enough to cover that sort of ground. What? Speed has nothing to do with it, is it your belief that Reed Johnson is faster than Soriano? Let me rephrase: Soriano is no longer anywhere near fast enough to cover CF the way he used to, making up for his problems with reaction time and route-taking. (and Reed Johnson is a really bad defensive CFer)
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I can usually tell how well I'm doing keeping up with the USMNT by how much of the lineup I recognize, but with those nicknames I'm not even sure :)
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    If that's true, then how come everybody knows the Tribune Company execs sat around twisting their handlebar mustaches and cackling with joy at how they screwed over average fans every year.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    but why would a soulless corporation want to spend money on a huge payroll? Because winning and revenue are correlated. If you can bring it $200 million by spending $120, that's better than bringing in $100 million by spending $40. Which is exactly what the Tribune did. I'll pull a Kyle and be picky here... Investing $40M for a $60M profit is immensely better than tying up $120M and only getting a profit of $80M. Well, that depends on how confident you are in your ability to find strong alternative investments for the additional $80 million. (No, I will *not* admit I overreached on my analogy).
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    You think one, single pitcher (who wasn't even that great last season in terms of total value) is worth 1/14th of a championship every season to this team? That's insanity. That's Khalil Greene-territory.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's not about adjustments, it's about raw ability. Soriano is no longer anywhere near fast enough to cover that sort of ground.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    but why would a soulless corporation want to spend money on a huge payroll? Because winning and revenue are correlated. If you can bring it $200 million by spending $120, that's better than bringing in $100 million by spending $40. Which is exactly what the Tribune did.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    According to fangraphs, his be giving back roughly 1/4 of his offensive value if he could play 2b back to his old standards, and he's lost a few steps since then so he'd be even worse.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was going to suggest some ridiculously awesome hitter take the mound on the assumption that it shouldn't take very good pitching with that lineup. Then I realized, we already have Zambrano.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    For the window you are talking about, this team is likely to be good enough to win the division and make the playoffs without Jake Peavy. The marginal value isn't there. It's not like the Brewers last season, who really needed Sabathia to make the playoffs. It'd be a mistake to assume we can torch 2011 and beyond just because the immediate future looks a little brighter. This team will have enough money to win the NL Central consistently for 2011 and beyond, as long as they don't do anything stupid like commit big money long-term to pitching when they don't need to. For the next 2-3 years, or however you define the window, what do you think the odds of Peavy being the difference between the Cubs making the playoffs and not is, or even between winning the WS and not is? There will be other Ted Lilly's and Ryan Dempster's and Rich Harden's in our future when those guys peter out, even Derrek Lees and Aramis Ramirez's, as long as we don't go crazy loading up on potentially bad contracts.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Nobody knows how serious the elbow injury is, that's just the point. He's been of of the best pitchers in baseball for most of the last five seasons, but I'm concerned with what he'll do the next four to five. Buying a guy's age 28, 29, 30, 31 and possibly 32 seasons for big money is usually a break-even proposition, but throw in elbow problems and the loss of a top prospect, and I'm getting awfully iffy about the deal.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fans who really, really want to win scare me as owners. I'd rather have a soulless corporation who was willing to pony up huge payrolls.
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