Results-oriented thinking is tempting, but the move was right or wrong regardless of Marquis' performance tonight. It was the wrong move because Marquis sucks...tonight, most nights, and usually twice on Sundays.
A game of war where one man mysteriously stacks his deck with 70% diamonds and hearts, and the other removes all the Jacks for sixes. Or how about two 13-yr-olds playing with Yu-Gi-O cards?