Peoriaman
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Everything posted by Peoriaman
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His SNLDVAR (Support-Neutral Lineup-adjusted Discussion Value Against Replacement) on this board is through the roof. That's gotta count for something. snicker.
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Murton with 3 hits last night. Good start on the road to more playing time.
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It is also hard to patient with any player who isn't established when the team is sucking. If you are winning, you can carry a guy and hope he hits. Tough to do when the sharks are screaming for blood.
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Interesting. In the Kendall thread, when someone pointed to his 1 for 15 start, which followed four months of utterly putrid baseball, which followed 2 more below average seasons, you noted that this a great lesson that "patience is a virtue." But when Murton has a 3 for 19 stretch with men in scoring position (a stretch in which he hit 3 home runs, BTW), you've pointed out repeatedly that Lou "needs a guy to get a clutch hit or two." Please take your own advice. Except Murton was a starter early this year. He has had 180 at-bats this year. That is the difference. People were ready to throw Kendall under the bus. I have never been that way on Murton. I would also add that regardless what you think of Floyd, Ward, DeRosa, etc. the options at catcher were much more limited than in the outfield. Kendall also had a long history of high OBP and solid hitting. I would add that Murton's BA with RISP has been dramatically lower than his BA for his whole career. That does worry me.
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too bad that doesnt apply to murton, considering his season is nothing near solid. I'm quite sure he was referring to last season, which should have earned Murton the starting gig in LF (or RF) to start this year. Or were you arguing that last season he wasn't solid? It did earn him the starting position early this year. Then he lost it on his own.
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He has plenty of at-bats this season. He hasn't produced. he doesn't have a 5 or 6 year career of success to point to. Lou needs a guy to get a clutch hit or two now. Murton continues to get chances almost every game either as a starter or pinchhitter. He needs to take advantage of those.
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It is hard not to root for him. He needs to start hitting, and all will be well.
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This is a key point here. Look, what folks really need to realize is that things have reached the point where free agent signings are not measured on a typical good-to-bad scale. They're basically all bad, and it's simply a matter of degree. Seriously, go have a look at all of the FA signings throughout baseball for the last couple of years, and see how many significant ones (say $20M+) you can look at and go, "wow, that was a really great signing -- that guy's really underpaid." You won't find many, and a guy like Ted Lilly for 4/$40 is going to be one of the best ones out there. The truth is that GMs hate to be in the FA market looking to fill holes. But what they hate even worse is handing a regular job to an overmatched rookie that belongs in AA or AAA. Getting league average production from a Marquis or a Jones for $5-7M beats the heck out of getting an 8.50 ERA or a .600 OPS for $400K. So given proper context, Hendry's signings don't look nearly so bad. a voice of reason in the wilderness!
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This just shows you that patience is a virtue.
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Reyes 85 pitches thru 3 innings.
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No need to lower expectations. Anybody with any sense of realism went into this season expecting improvement and a chance to contend. We have gotten all of that.
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Excellent pick-up this late in the year. We need to find a righthanded hitting outfield who can actually hit. We found some with some pop.
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The Cubs were the worst team in the NL last year. 96 losses. I think we are all expecting too much. We have made a quantum leap to a contender. Enjoy it.
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Good think you're not paying him then....the Cubs are. He's still one of the best first baseman in the league. Really? You really think he is? I would rather have at least two other guys in our division. Sure, Pujols and Fielder are better offensive players right now. But I said one of the best in the league, not THE best. In fact, he's still one of the best in the majors. Pujols, Fielder, Howard, and Maurneau.....who else is better? Maybe Texeira. He's certainly one of the best. Hafner, Adrian Gonzalez, Carlos Pena You'd trade him for them? I sure wouldn't. Is it Gonz .342 OBP that you like? (vs. Lee's who's above .400) Or perhaps Hafner's .436 slugging? He's more of a DH anyway. Pena's having a career year. For the money Adrian and Pena are making vs. Lee I would think about it. If, and its a big one I could use that money to get an outfielder or two who produce at a big league level. Hell, you can usually find some young guy having a fine year who is cheap at every position and make the same statement. I'll take DLee on my team every day of the week.
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Monroe deal is 100% due to Murton's lack of production, IMO.
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Couple of things. I think it's obvious that Murton is more of a top of the order hitting with OBP being his biggest strength. He's fine for a corner OF if they are getting production elsewhere considering his cost. Certainly upgrading from Murton would be great, if feasable. I don't think anyone thinks RBI's are insignificant. I think many would argue that it's just a very poor way to judge a player becuase it's so dependant on the people hitting in front of the player in question. See Derrek Lee in 2005. well said. I think the ability to hit well with RISP (especially late in the game) is a very good indicator. I understand that RBI's are influenced by runners being on base, but the guys that get 100 rbi's a year are ok in my book. I don't think that is entirely luck or just circumstances. :) I would also agree that #2 or #8 are probably his best spots.At this point, I don't want him regularly up with men in scoring position.
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You don't love him. You take every possible opportunity to knock him. I knock his performance, not him. Everything I have read about him indicates he is a terrific kid, a great teammate and a very hard worker. I cheer for him to succeed every at bat. I think the love for him as a player here goes way overboard.
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thanks Colt. Those results are more dramatic than even I imagined. He needs to pick it up if he wants to be a starting corner outfielder. That is the reality. As for the earlier question, I always value high RBI guys over low RBI guys, especially for corner outfielders. Again, I know moneyball guys think RBI's are insignificant, but I beg to disagree. I also realize that the moneyball guys will never come over to that way of thinking. So it goes....
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I'd be curious to see what those number look like over the course of his (brief) career. I think we all know that "clutch hitting" seems to fluctuate from year to year usually ending up about the same as the player's over all numbers. all his hitting stats have declined each of his 3 years. I am all for "career" stats, but we are in a pennant race and we need him to start hitting with men on base. Right now, he is a rally killer.
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I love the adorable redhead. I just wish he would get a big hit with men on base, not just get hits with the bases empty. I know the moneyball people don't care about RBI's or BA with RISP, but this guy does. :)
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Anytime Matt wants to actually get a big hit would be fine with me.
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If the Cubs have a good enough record to win the wildcard, they would win the division easily. The wildcard race means nothing to us.
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that's baseball.
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because that is what internet fans do.
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I Predict the Cubs Win the Division by 2 Games
Peoriaman replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
as I have been saying for 3 weeks, 5+ games...