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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I ignore one-run games, I just don't see any way to parse that into anything meaningful. As I mentioned above, I think tying pythag too closely to the manager has its own problems, I was only trying to point out it's one of the few metrics we have that might have ANYTHING to do with the manager in a way we can measure.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I wasn't trying to say that at all, only pointing out that one of the few indicators we have that MIGHT be correlated to the manager is discarded by many. Personally, I'm skeptical of what pythag means over the long run and am not ready to wholly attribute it to the manager.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    How? Honest question. There are so many variables in a team year over year that the data is noisy. What part of it is the manager? What part the front office? The players themselves? Craig Counsell has a long history of beating the team pythag, yet people question whether that's a skill he has or just the team around him. Seems like if it was that easy to measure, we'd see lengthy studies proving or disproving it. I certainly haven't ever seen a study that's conclusive in any way but if you have, please share it.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I think a manager's presence in the clubhouse has a ton of value over 162 games. I also acknowledge we have absolutely no horsefeathers way to measure whether that is true or not.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it's probably more likely that managers are worth a lot more than that, we just have no idea how to measure it, which makes analytical teams hesitate to throw money at hunches.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    While it's probably sensationalistic, if you break down small differences, it's not impossible. Matt clearly believes Ross is a below-average manager. He also clearly believes Counsell is an above-average manager. So let's say Counsell is +2 wins over average and Ross is -2 wins below average. That's a pretty reasonable place to start, right? So if you swap the managers, as Matt suggested in this article, you'd have a four-win swing from each team. It's not that the difference between the two managers is eight games; it's that if you swapped them between two competing teams, you stack those four wins twice, all in favor of a single team. Would reality play out that way? Probably not. It'd likely be a much smaller difference but given how the Cubs collapsed, maybe it's even larger. It's just so damned hard to determine how much of a collapse/streak is due to a manager's steadying/unpredictable presence. In any case, I think most of us can agree that Counsell is a net positive over Ross.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Nola is perhaps the free agent I'm most interested in following this offseason. I think he's a far more realistic target than Ohtani.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    An absolute coup. NOBODY saw this coming. I have to admit my respect for Hoyer just jumped upward quite a bit.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    More information about "Christopher Morel Drawing Trade Interest"
    It has been reported the Cubs are likely to entertain offers for Christopher Morel, reports Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic. Morel, 24 years old, has posted a career 110 OPS+ over 854 career plate appearances. He's defensively flexible in the sense that he can hold a glove and stand in a specific spot but isn't known for being a plus glove anywhere on the field. His bat still has some projection in it given his age but unless it does, he'll likely remain a bat-first utility or 10th man in a lineup. Morel is pre-arbitration so he has years of team control remaining, which could make him appealing to a smaller market team with an open contention window. Given the Cubs' needs at several roster spots, it's hard to predict what kind of package they could be looking for in a Morel trade.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It has been reported the Cubs are likely to entertain offers for Christopher Morel, reports Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic. Morel, 24 years old, has posted a career 110 OPS+ over 854 career plate appearances. He's defensively flexible in the sense that he can hold a glove and stand in a specific spot but isn't known for being a plus glove anywhere on the field. His bat still has some projection in it given his age but unless it does, he'll likely remain a bat-first utility or 10th man in a lineup. Morel is pre-arbitration so he has years of team control remaining, which could make him appealing to a smaller market team with an open contention window. Given the Cubs' needs at several roster spots, it's hard to predict what kind of package they could be looking for in a Morel trade. View full rumor
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Nothing is funnier than the Mets. They have their own hashtag, for crying out loud.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    The payroll tool has been updated and is read for you to build your 2024 Cubs roster! This tool works better on desktop and tablet so we recommend waiting until you have some time to sit down on a large screen and fill out your roster and add commentary. https://northsidebaseball.com/payroll-blueprint You can mix and match any players and dollar figures you want. The only thing set in stone is Dead Money, the rest is entirely up to you. The "budget" is set right around expected payroll; this is merely a guideline to gauge whether you're under- or over-spending, there is no penalty for going over the number. After you've built your custom roster, use the Your Comments & Explanation field to explain your decisions and any potential trades you have executed to mold your roster. After you click Submit, your blueprint will appear in the Transaction Rumors & Proposals forum for other members of the community to comment on and discuss your choices. Enjoy, everybody! If you have feedback or questions, ask away.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm of the opinion they should strongly consider blowing it up entirely so payroll wouldn't be an issue anyway. In most cases, I think tanking is at best a middling decision but in the case of the White Sox, I don't really see an alternative. They won't spend their way out of their recent bad decisions and their farm sure as hell isn't going to save them.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I really don't get what the White Sox are doing. Given their status as a franchise, may as well take a flyer on Anderson in hopes of a rebound and July trade.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, I'm pretty close to running the page as-is with the intent of making some improvements later in the offseason or for next offseason. If you see something that needs changing, please let me know. Thanks!
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, most local memorabilia shops have web presences. I'm not really looking for a local brick and mortar, just someone who operates locally.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Two more questions: 1. Are there any local memorabilia shops you'd recommend? 2. What Cubs books do you recommend?
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I really didn’t expect this. It’s not shocking but definitely surprising.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm putting together a gift guide and the Twins have Sota Stick, who make fun Minnesota-themed apparel and are a local company run by a few guys. Is there anything similar in the Cubs sphere? I'd much rather promote a small independent company over some massive corporation.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    True, which is part of the reason why I'm lukewarm on signing Bellinger. I won't hate it if the Cubs go that route but if I was in the big chair, I'd probably go a different direction for a few reasons.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    What about the baseline for budget? Should I keep it at $190m or should it be higher? You can blow right by the budget with no ramifications from the tool, I'd just like to start from an agreed-upon number.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Thanks for the input! We only rolled this out at the last minute in 2022 and you have some good ideas, especially about dead money in trades. I'll have to think over how to handle that aspect.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm working on getting this up to speed for Monday and could use some feedback. I haven't finished the FA section yet - I will do that before Monday - but can you all take a look at the rosters and see if I've misplaced anyone or missed anyone? And if you have suggestions for internal options, please let me know! https://northsidebaseball.com/payroll-blueprint
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, exactly. If you have up-the-middle players that can hit and play defense, there's ALWAYS room for them.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    For sure. I'm not saying the Cubs should automatically let Bellinger walk, only that keeping PCA and Bellinger has merit.
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