It was, in fact, wrong. The chance was 100%. Their models were inaccurate, due to data they couldn't have, I imagine. This was predictable this morning with perfect knowledge. Knowing the weather 6 hours in advance to that level is just not unknowable in that way. So if someone hands you a die and says there is a ~17% probability that you roll a 4, and you proceed to do just that, is that person wrong or right? From a guy who regularly states the % likelihood of things happening, I expect a firmer understanding of probability. In other news, this baseball game needs to happen.