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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. The obvious counter to the Assad is a Unicorn argument, to me, is....why doesn't he pitch that good when no one is on? Bases empty he's pretty much unpitchable. Guys on base, he's a top line starter. Either the truth is that he's just the sum of all his results, which is a fringe starter benefitting from sequencing luck, or he's got this ability to be a very, very good pitcher but only chooses to use it roughly half the time.
  2. rolison, ferguson, and kelly all have options, so it's not a guarantee, even though that's probably somehow too much length in the bullpen with rea, civale, and assad down there. there's a logical argument for sending him down because he can stay stretched out in iowa as the 6th starter while rea can't, but i think, especially lately, he's showing he's a better pitching than the kellys and fergusons of the world, and that's without really seeing how this version plays up in short outings. even if he stays through tomorrow, he's far from out of the woods, but wouldn't mind seeing antoine kelly get sent down instead.
  3. i think bullpens of doom can work in like, a short stretch run situation, but i have a probably dumb theory that these elite guys lose effectiveness once you move them out of the classic closer role. likely it's just: bullpens are dumb and the human equivalent of babip. but still.
  4. bad attempt at sarcasm. was channeling the front page articles circa mid july
  5. i mean, does anyone really believe this team can beat the dodgers in a short series
  6. let cookie monster stay in the booth for the bottom of the 7th you cowards
  7. He's very good, but a very big lol at the idea of Kyle Tucker, of all people, being somehow motivated by what the fans think of him.
  8. A couple things here: 1. At the risk of stating the obvious, no two injuries are the same and no two swings are the same. 2. Nico had wRCs of 80 and 81 in June and July of 2024 after getting hit with a pitch on June 8th (if that's what you're talking about), so, while you can call it admirable, it's more debatable on how helpful it was to the team. Tucker was tough because he was clearly a very talented hitter and while he had the personality of a block of wood, he wasn't unlikeable in the way that, say, Matt Shaw is unlikeable. The emotional guys tend to be more fun in aggregate, but I also remember the earlier versions of PCA getting a ton of criticism for his helmet slams. Similarly, Bregman got a bunch of crap for not running out what should have been a routine ground ball, but now that he's turning the corner and vibes are high we're attributing 'great teammate' to him. Ultimately, it all comes down to performance, and Tucker 1. had the misfortune of playing well early in the season, 2. struggled a lot in the second half (and people hated this team during this stretch), and 3. didn't do anything in the playoffs. And then people are going to boo anyone going to the Dodgers and/or making a bunch of money, but those people are dumb.
  9. PCA Suzuki Bregman Kelly Pedro (2B) Taylor (DH) Nico (SS) Busch Alcantara (LF) , please
  10. You might not have meant this, but just to clarify, it's not the Cubs decision to convert it into a longer extension. There's not a defense in baseball that will serve his skill set better, but he also might be looking to sign one more big contract and so that's less of a concern. My general approach on this stuff is that the value of 'being able to negotiate before they're technically free agents' is essentially zero. Taking discounts is very rare, and when it happens, it's usually because of years of goodwill built up.
  11. Generally agreed. 6-6 in their last 12. Jones/Skenes/Ashcraft coming up the next three days. Will see Joe Ryan against Minnesota, will get both Yamamoto and Skubal in LA. There's few enough games that this all requires us actually playing well too, obviously. .500 the rest of the year for Milwaukee, which is really optimistic, requires us going 30-19 (and coming back from the current 2-4 deficit in the head to head series). But there's a path there. We got a lot better today, they got a little better.
  12. I know Assad has options but he's also a better pitcher than Thornton so I'd be fine cutting bait there. The arms situation isn't as dire as it used to be. There's also the option to cut Civale, he's been fine with us but obviously bad overall.
  13. 5.5 back with 49 to play. After this week, Brewers go on their west coast trip, 3 in San Diego, 4 against the Dodgers, while after this series and the blue jays game, we get @KC, @Nationals, home vs the stripped down Cardinals. Then, obviously, there's still 7 more head to heads. Plenty of baseball.
  14. would like more strikeouts. but it's a very good offense.
  15. The alcantara call up was weird because I would have assumed that’s Taylor’s spot in the roster. Guessing what it ultimately means is that Shaw isn’t really all that close to being back/full strength and the bench is Conforto Alcantara Taylor Ramirez Amaya for a little while?
  16. Which is all well and good, but you could have said the same thing about Ballesteros last year. They don’t necessarily get the benefit of the doubt just because they put his name higher on their board than the ones we can read. They have to actually be right.
  17. Too clean? Is that some medical phrasing I don’t understand?
  18. Detmers not going anywhere would be kinda wild right? Which opens up the possibility that the medicals were shaky, which would make me reassess the events of the day.
  19. Those are fine numbers for a guy with multiple years of control. The fact that he can go nuclear hot is a not insignificant bonus
  20. The Marlins are far from some model organization, but there has to be some reason why he hasn't been called up all year. Their fifth starter is a 28 year old with a K/9 in the 5s.
  21. Ballesteros was always a square peg and I like the trade because I didn't see a future for him here and it's a step away from 'let's sign 6 37 year old relievers every february'. But everything that's being said about Owen Ayers right now in terms of how much he is/isn't valued was being said about Ballesteros a year ago (and 6 months ago). What trades did we pass on so that we could get 150 mediocre at bats and then trade him for a controlled reliever with a walk problem.
  22. If you would have told me that we acquired two playoff quality starters, a good bullpen guy, and an outfielder who could hit lefties, I would have been happy. If you would have told me that we gave up Rojas and Ballesteros and did not get ourselves a 2027 starting pitcher, I would have been angry. Ramirez and Shaw both still being a part of this team is also frustrating, but less so because the Shaw injury situation is clearly lingering.
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