squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Carbon copy of how last night started. Great take from Addy.
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That was like 5 terrible fastballs from Urias.
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Hey Russell remember when you were incredibly clutch for like 4 months? Also, if Heyward two hops to second here and they try to turn two, Javy is going to try and score.
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Speaking of questionable slides into second....good thing that played out like it did.
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Baez having the most consistently good at bats is...well, it's something.
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Javy taught Addy how to tag. Also, thank god we decided to go with defensive option in Montero last night...
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Slide looked questionable, and calm the horsefeathers down Lackey.
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Pretty sure it can bounce and still be a HPB. At least that's what googling 'hit by pitch on a bounce' says.
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Please continue giving Lack that corner.
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Urias averages 92.6 on his fastball...second pitch to Fowler was 95. Two ways of looking at this, obviously, but I'm good with him being a bit amped up. Let's go Rizz
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Don't let the kid build up any confidence. He's going to be wild, and he's on a tight pitch count. We're the most patient team in the league...wait him out, put him in tough spots, chase him early. Outside of Jensen, there isn't much back there. Let's go.
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I'd like to see a breakdown if this is really true.. Sure they are/have struggled against truly elite curveballs (Kershaw/Hill/Bumgarner) but almost everyone does, do they suck against all curveballs as a blanket statement or if you remove the truly elite ones are they still performing well? the information is on fan graphs. I tried to look it up but I'm not smart and didn't know how to draw conclusions from the data. I don't have any idea how they calculate this, but I think this shows where we are relative to everyone else in baseball. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=7&season=2016&month=0&season1=2016&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=5,d For those too lazy to click: 18th in baseball, one spot behind the Dodgers. We kill fastballs (4th), sliders (1st), and struggle against changeups.
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They just look so lost at the plate it's hard to see them righting it mid-series. Especially after seeing no hope the last two games. Yea I'm fully pessimistic right now. I agree that last night was pretty damn tough to sit through. Right around the 7th or 8th inning it occurred to me that whatever I was feeling was very similar to how I felt around 7th inning of Game 4 last series, which helped a little. We didn't go down in that series, but being down 2-1 in a best of 7 doesn't feel much worse than having to go into game 5 against Cueto would have felt. Basically, it can turn around, very quickly. And we're obviously better than how we've been hitting. It might not happen, but it should. Edit: This is probably more sad than hopeful, but between Arrieta's home run in game through until the 9th inning of game 4, but my calculations the offense was in a 9-68 stretch. All it takes is a couple innings to turn this around.
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For me, this game feels like it has the weird combination of being a must win and also one that would put the advantage squarely back in our favor. You win tonight, we have a fully rested Lester ready to go tomorrow, and the Dodgers have to pick between having a huge pitching mismatch, or throwing Kershaw on short rest in what would essentially become a must win for them (being down 3-2 heading back to Wrigley after having just burned your best pitcher is not an ideal spot). Not super confident in Lackey, but hopefully Maddon will know the right way to approach this game, which brings me to my next point... Why the hell was Montgomery pitching the 9th inning there? I thought it has been pretty well established he's our best non-Chapman lefty, and he's more than capable of going multiple innings, which we might need tonight. Rob Z was warm, and it was about as low leverage as you can get. If Lackey gets into trouble tonight and Joe goes to Rob Z instead of Monty well...I'll still assume he's smarter than I am, but I will be very confused.
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Weird time to make that comment considering it was montero that just hit.
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Steak sandwich and whatever is the best Chicago-area brewery on tap. Solemn Oath, Half Acre, and Three Floyds have served me well so far.
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Meant to post this earlier. Going to be a fun three days.
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To be clear this isn't really a "I'm terrified because I assume the worst" drinking habit as much as it is a "I newly live with my girlfriend who tries really hard to be a big fan in all the worst ways and alcohol makes it better slash makes her fall asleep on the couch" drinking habit. You know, the honorable one.
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Cubs are 0-2 the nights I decide 'I should probably take it easy and just stick to water' and 4-0 on 'Let's start slow but inevitably end up having a beer for every inning' nights. Therefore, I apologize for last night....it won't happen again.
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lol that 5 game sample is timed nicely to avoid mentioning the 7 no-hit innings he threw in the start before Oh now we're worried about sample size. When writing off the best offense in the National League, not so big of a deal.
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Rich Hill hasn't pitched this many innings in about 6 years. It's taken him 137 pitches to get through 7 innings over two starts this postseason, in which he has either very poorly (6.43 ERA, 4 walks) or pretty well (13 Ks, .533 BAPIP against, 3.86 FIP) depending on how you want to look at it. He was virtually unhittable over the regular season but averaged less than 6 innings per start. I think we can get to him, and if we can't, I think we'll have a shot at the non-Jansen part of their bullpen, and we saw how that went in Game 1. It's two guys who basically spent most of the season doing their best Rich Harden impression. I'll take Jake when it counts.
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I can't see Maddon putting out an outfield defense like that. I wouldn't mind him using this option if the situation calls for it...he seems way more willing to go into a super defensive alignment late with a lead than go for all offense if trailing. But the Dodgers outfield is pretty big and I can't see him putting two bad defenders in the corners around Fowler.
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I would have assumed Hill has strong platoon splits, but he seems to be equally effective against both sides, which oddly makes me feel a bit better. Given that Montero has turned into Jake's personal catcher lately, it's good to know he'll have a chance, and that Rizzo isn't totally screwed in his quest to break out of his slump. The key to the next couple games is getting back to our patient approach. Obviously there's very little you can do against Kershaw in that department, but overall 15 walks in 6 games isn't encouraging. Hill has gone more than 6 innings one since his injury (and that was just 7 innings, albeit dominant). He doesn't issue a lot of walks, but I think you can get deep into counts against him. For as good as Jansen is, the rest of the bullpen isn't exactly shut down. Getting to them early tomorrow and leaving them in rough shape for Urias' shortened outing will put a ton of pressure on them and on a short rest Kershaw in game 5. A dominant Jake would be amazing, but even 2016 Jake with a rested bullpen should be enough. Then I'll take my chances winning 1 out of the next 2 and closing it out at home.
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Do those 202 at bats include all the home runs you're saying doesn't count? Just curious. i've never said they didn't count, i've said they've masked how pitiful our offense has been so far. Playoff wide OPS going into tonight was .603. Even if you weirdly say everything good that we've done is just masking all the crap and somehow needs to be removed from the numbers, we'd still fall right about in line with everyone else. Every reasonable thought process says the offense is going to perform better than it has. To write it off after 6 games, where 3 of them were against top 10 pitchers in the league, seems odd.