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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Rizzo and Schwarber, combined, have as many home runs as the cubs.
  2. squally1313
    This team is so, so bad.
  3. squally1313
    I've long felt that draft strategy should entirely be based on how cool a players name is. I've now refined that somewhat and believe that the focus should be on players with animal names. He's also got the pedigree, being basically brothers with the greatest and youngest pitcher in Cubs history.
  4. squally1313
    I assume he'll end up playing overseas somewhere? Don't want to make any guesses at the risk of sounding ignorant, but assume there's somewhere that will pay him a few million to pitch.
  5. squally1313
    I'm trying to put myself inside the head of the (expected) idiots already rushing to his defense. It's so bleak.
  6. squally1313
    I won't tell you you're wrong. I will tell you that you're using 16 PAs as your sample size.
  7. squally1313
    If you would have told me to guess Heyward's slash line so far this year, which would be based mostly on reading stuff here, I would have guessed like...210/275/350. It's 296/390/371. wRC of 128.
  8. squally1313
    CP is 23...list is 21 and under. Edit: Just realized you were much more likely talking about the Chelsea game than that list. Carry on.
  9. squally1313
    To be clear, that was a joking comment made in response to the tic tac toe story. More importantly, the implications of that story are bonkers. Either Demar repeatedly went first against a guy clearly struggling with the basic concepts of the game, or Zach, multiple times, went first and somehow didn't even manage to draw.
  10. squally1313
    This is an overreaction. Lol
  11. squally1313
    Like, just blow the team up. The more I think about it the more concerned I am.
  12. squally1313
    [tweet] [/tweet] I have a lot of questions.
  13. squally1313
    Is missing 37 threes in a game bad
  14. squally1313
    Snarky, troll post: BABIP dice running hot tonight! Actual post: 4 BBs/4Ks against someone like Fried (and assorted relievers) will fix a lot of problems, good work.
  15. squally1313
    Yeah I got a little bogged down with the details here, and you're right it's early (but there are a lot of bad trends!). The original point was frustration at all the arguments that wanted to, in my opinion, essentially trade HR/FB roulette for BABIP roulette, like it was somehow better. From a pure enjoyment of the game, I would love a lineup of line drive doubles hitters. But we seemed to specifically seek out just contact, and you just aren't going to be able to get enough BABIP luck to overcome a mediocre at best rotation. But ultimately goony's point was largely right. Shouldn't get too worked up over a team projected to win 70something games going 7-10 to start the year. I'm just not going to get too excited about a Hoerner, or when Madrigal's luck spikes here inevitably, unless they can prove close to a full year of high level hard, consistent contact.
  16. squally1313
    Disappointing for sure, even if the other 7 were quite strong opponents. If I’m looking for reasons explaining that disappointment, I’d go to SP(26th in starter ERA), randomness(everyone has multiple 7-10 spells in a season), and luck(2-5 in 1 run games) before I got to the offense or it’s specific slappiness. Imagine, I'm not even going to say watching games, but even just checking box scores and thinking the problem with this team thus far is anything other than starting pitching. The problem with the offense from 2017-2021 was the inconsistency. Sharma had a couple of good article on it in ~May of last year, but for offenses in the top 10-15 in the league, the Cubs had a higher proportion of their games end with 0, 1, or 2 runs. Each of the first four or five runs is significantly more likely to be a game winner than like the 10th, so it it's likely this boom/bust cycle was a big part of the team's underperformance and hot/cold nature. Look no further than what this team did against the Pirates for a good example of what this can look like. Was that proportion something like 5/17ths, out of curiosity? We have the highest babip in the league, by 12 points, but we’re 12th in ISO. 27th in LD%, first, comfortably in GB%. This is the 2022 cubs offense in their ‘boom’/‘hot’ cycle.
  17. squally1313
    7-10 with ten games against the pirates and Rockies Disappointing for sure, even if the other 7 were quite strong opponents. If I’m looking for reasons explaining that disappointment, I’d go to SP(26th in starter ERA), randomness(everyone has multiple 7-10 spells in a season), and luck(2-5 in 1 run games) before I got to the offense or it’s specific slappiness. All the games count, obviously, but I feel like a main complaint the last few years, right or wrong, was that we’d bunch together a couple good games and then the offense would go ice cold (which probably isn’t a real thing). So it’s funny to me that the offensive stats look good this year based very heavily on the biggest shutout in team history, where based on my rough math we had 19 singles and 4 doubles on 47 balls put in play (vs something like yesterday, where we went 3/24). Basically it seems to me like we traded HR/FB luck for BABIP luck, and people kept saying it was some sort of positive development. I know our HR total is still middle of the pack, mostly because Seiya rocks, but think we are going to see a ton of games like yesterday and chalk them up to ‘bad luck’ while last year the blame would fall more squarely on the hitters.
  18. squally1313
    They've also scored 4+ runs in 10/17 games, and have yet to be shut out. Consistency we would have absolutely killed for essentially any year post 2016. 7-10 with ten games against the pirates and Rockies
  19. squally1313
    He for sure does. One of the only issues, which isn’t really one but a rule, is that you have to trade contracts for contracts within a certain % based on your cap spot. Like you can’t trade a $30 mil contract for a $5 mil contract. So he’d have to be traded for someone already making good money. And those guys are always out there with some stuff added either way, who that is idk currently. But there certainly will be some new disgruntled star this summer who wants out that Derozan + some picks would net. I don’t know if I was thinking ‘disgruntled star’ as much as ‘picks from some team who sees demar as their first option and then those picks turn into very valuable assets when demar regresses or gets hurt because he’s old’. But not sure how you do that with those contract rules.
  20. squally1313
    I know nothing about how the NBA salary cap/contracts work, but does Demar have any trade value? Basically I don't see him staying this effective for long enough to really contribute to a contending Bulls team, whereas a gamble of Lavine taking another step as the unquestioned number one for a year or two is a little tempting.
  21. squally1313
    Some day soon when I'm more in the mood to argue I'll start making snide comments about all those people who were happy we 'diversified our offensive approach' and brought in all these modern versions of Juan Pierre because they were tired of our old dudes hitting 30 dongs but striking out a little too much.
  22. squally1313
    This isn't a good baseball team.
  23. squally1313
    Can't Contreras (or maybe even Gomes) play first? Do we really need Schwindel and his .279 OBP there (to say nothing of the fact that he's batting fifth)?
  24. squally1313
    Live by the babip, die by the babip
  25. squally1313
    Yeah, I have the same issue with Bally Sports here in STL. Seems like most of those very specialized apps aren't available directly through the TV. I know my pre 2016 Samsung doesn't support a lot of apps now. That could be the issue as well. This one is brand new, pretty good quality. I went with their interface over sticking with the Roku I was using because I liked their remote and wanted to only have to use one and it didn't respond well to the Roku menu...figured over time I might have to switch to a third party that kept up with software updates, but I bought this tv back in January.
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