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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    At least we're not the twins
  2. squally1313
    The whole Contreras thing goes from awesome to sad pretty quickly when you play like this
  3. squally1313
    Let's play which pitch will be a bad call....I got the 4th pitch, making it 2-2 instead of 3-1.
  4. squally1313
    Figure out a way to get a run here and let these shadows take care of the rest. I assume they are impossible to hit in given how much they've been talking about them.
  5. squally1313
    Yep, which makes it a really bad send.
  6. squally1313
    Darvish has 12 scoreless innings in him today. Just don't think it'll be enough.
  7. squally1313
    Jon will do well enough until Ross leaves him in too long and costs us another game. Nah, Lester will gut out 4-5 innings. Then Ross will screw up the decisions from there, most likely including bringing in Alzolay in a tight spot, having him walk in 2 runs, and raise questions about the confidence of our top pitching prospect for months going into next year. Also, Billy Hamilton will get thrown out pinch running for Schwarber in like, the 4th inning.
  8. squally1313
    I guess 114 wRC against righties David Bote just...needed the day off?
  9. squally1313
    Bottom of the ninth is a good time to say "wow, no fans, looks like a scrimmage"
  10. squally1313
    He has such easy power
  11. squally1313
    Yeah no idea what the Marlins platoon situation is like, but this is fine assuming Lester is on the shortest leash possible. Barring disaster, Kyle and Yu are going to go deep in their games. Tell Lester he gets one time through, have Alzolay ready from the beginning, and then have Q ready to go right after that. Ideally none of their hitters see any of those guys more than once.
  12. squally1313
  13. squally1313
    I kept seeing Sixto pop up on like, PitchingNinja and what not, and knew he was a top prospect, and figured he was racking up tons of Ks. Turns out he's 112th out of 158 pitchers who threw at least 30 innings this year in K/9. Good numbers, and I'm sure has the pedigree to become a top pitcher, but clearly a step below Hendricks/Yu.
  14. squally1313
    Yep, assuming you don't go back to last year or the steroid years where there were 5 bombs a game. Figure out a way to get more balls in play, and the the league wide BABIP going from .300 in 2000 to .291 this year (.298 last year) won't be as big of a deal.
  15. squally1313
    The Cardinals, in a much bigger fight to even make the playoffs, secure home field, avoid the Dodgers, etc....lose 12-3 to the Kansas City Royals, and have gone 6-4 in their last 10. The Cubs, having locked up the division with a high degree of mathematical certainty for close to a week now, with no chance of catching the 1 seed and having no difference whatsoever between the 2 and 3 seed that they can control, lose a one run game and have gone 6-4 in their last 10. Everyone here is convinced that either the Cardinals will overtake the Cubs for the division, or that the Cubs will obviously lose in the first round where they have a 75% chance of playing the Giants (who suck, and are 5-5 in their last 10), the Marlins (who suck, and are 4-6 in their last 10, and have lost 4 in a row), or the Cardinals (see above, but to be clear, also suck).
  16. squally1313
    So how was the board when they found out they clinched a playoff spot? Spent a whole page arguing about our backup center fielders 41 PAs with the Cubs.
  17. squally1313
    After reading (and buying into) all the complaints about the Cubs making players play through minor injuries and constantly being nicked up, I'm starting to wonder if this is something all teams go through, but very few people around here follow other teams as closely as they do the Cubs. Like I have no idea if anybody on the Cardinals is battling something minor or not, but watching the games, reading here, following the beat writers makes me very aware of which Cubs are fighting through something. To bring that back to KB, if the minor injuries thing the last few years has been uniquely a Cubs thing, then I'm more high on him because I'm more likely to believe it's just a fluky run of bad luck. But if these minor injuries happen across the whole population (and are more likely to continue), and he's just a player who needs everything to be perfect for his swing to be right....then I'm a lot more worried about his future.
  18. squally1313
    I don't necessarily like reacting too much to these pandemic stats and missed this specific game last night, but what Rizzo PAs I've seen this year have been dishearteningly ugly maybe the worst on the team OTOH non-tendering Bryant is not even an option worth discussing I don't necessarily like reacting too much to these pandemic stats, because of small sample size, so instead let me anecdotally point to the couple dozen or so Rizzo PAs I've seen this year.
  19. squally1313
    bad read by Happ. He should have scored. Baez, Heyward, others score on that. There is zero chance he gets thrown out at third if Lindor gets to that because he has to go so far to his left - runner on second should be able to read that. Nobody out changes that a lot. What’s the probability of scoring 1 run with, essentially, the bases loaded nobody out? Because you need to be more sure than that of A. Not getting thrown out by Lindor, and B. Not getting thrown out at home.
  20. squally1313
    It's deep too, which is important with the no offdays playoffs this year. In that context I'd rather have 6-7 good relievers than 2-3 awesome relievers. And for Game 3 of the Wildcard round I'd lean on the pen. Give Lester (or hopefully Q by then?) three innings and then go with the parade of relievers. I think you build up Q with the intention that he’s going to get, at most, one time through the lineup. As weird as it sounds, Lester and Mills are in a competition for that #3 spot. Might end up being match up based, but they’ve both put up impressive outings lately. Here’s a dumb idea: Darvish goes out and wins game 1...do you save Hendricks and hope you win game 2 without him?
  21. squally1313
    Saw something about Lester being emotional post game because he knew it could be his last start at wrigley, which really dampened my happiness from the win. Hopefully we get a chance to give him the ovation he deserves at some point soon.
  22. squally1313
    The replies to that tweet make it seem like that was a broad interpretation, and the actual tweak is that they aren't allowing counting stats to be considered, because obviously, which actually helps the players.
  23. squally1313
    Hard pass.
  24. squally1313
    This may not be how pitching works, but given Theo's comments about not ruling out Chatwood/Quintana playing limited roles down the stretch, it could be beneficial to see if Lester or Mills can generate a little more success if they're told they're only getting one or two times through the line up. I know it runs counter to trying to save the bullpen where we're at now, but our playoff strategy is basically getting good/long starts from Yu and Kyle, and then patching together the rest of the games, and potentially carrying Q/Chatwood/Adbert means there wouldn't be any need for Lester or Mills to see a lot of hitters.
  25. squally1313
    Not falling for basic math and probability of being in a good spot? Not falling for the cubs seemingly having it in the bag these hypotheticals always make things seem more secure than they are, because ultimately 20 games or whatever is still a tiny sample size for this game. a 3 or 4 game losing streak by the cubs and a 3 or 4 game winning streak by the cardinals blows the whole thing up in half a week. its kind of like the posts about the cubs only needing to go .500 after the 13-3 start to finish 35-25. that seems like no problem because the cubs are at least an average team, but horsefeathers turns around so quickly in this sport. And a 3 game losing streak by the Cubs coinciding with a 3 game win streak by the Cardinals has a roughly 1.5% chance of happening. So, again, basic math and probability has us being in a good spot.
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