squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Good call
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TIL this season has been going on for 17 months
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Do we have any proof that any of these top prospects play corner outfield well next year? Or the year after that?
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But what if we did something, like, say, a trade, to get more advantageous pitching matchups
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We just beat the second best team in a three game series against their best pitchers. What, they’ll try harder or something? Mis is going to throw 106?
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It’s baseball. 9 innings in October, just like 9 innings in June. also, that’s bad logic, no? The current pitchers are not good enough to do anything in October, in your opinion, and so therefore we shouldn’t replace those guys with better pitchers?
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You’ve never really elaborated on what this means though. We won a three game series in Milwaukee against their top three pitchers like 2 weeks ago with basically bullpen games and AAA guys. Is that not enough for a short playoff series? or is the bar just ‘The Dodgers’ and if so should 29 teams hold or try to sell off to try again next year.
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Pete Outdoing His Best Devin Hester Impression
squally1313 replied to We Got The Whole 9's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Which is ironic because a little over a year ago we were probably looking at Willie 'Mays' Hayes -
It's not "missing the barrel" it's "Brewers voodoo magic" which is obviously definitely a thing.
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Pete Outdoing His Best Devin Hester Impression
squally1313 replied to We Got The Whole 9's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
He's kinda just mimicking the beginning of Andruw Jones' career right? It's a different era so Pete gets more credit for his offense (in his age 24 season he's putting up a .910 OPS which is good for a 150 wRC, in Jones' age 23 season he put up a .907 OPS good for a 127 wRC), but also Jones got more credit for his defense. I haven't really found anyone who's a better comparison but I think that's pretty close when you factor in how few players get to this level of play. -
In the current rotation, Javier Assad is the youngest pitcher. He turns 29 this month. Taillon is 34 and on an expiring deal, Shota is 32 and on an expiring deal, Boyd is 35 and on an expiring deal. Horton and Brown are young-ish, but probably won't be seen this year. Cabrera is 28 with 2 years left. We have two current relievers under 30. They are both 29, and also bad. Of the injured relievers currently on the 40 man, Palencia is 26, Hodge is 25. The other 6 are at least 28. If this is a rebuilding pitching staff, it would be a very bad version of one. What it is is a cheaply made pitching staff designed to be just good enough to be carried by the offense and defense, and then it was completely wrecked by injuries.
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Any idea on when this is supposed to start?
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I'm very aware I'm bypassing nuance and maybe rationality here, but trading Kane Kepley for Casey Mize or whatever instead of just trading some combination of Matt Shaw/Moises Ballesteros for Tarik horsefeathers Skubal seems very dumb, or at least very not fun. 'Well yeah, the guy we got isn't elite, but have you thought about we might have a corner outfield vacancy next year and how we may need to put an infielder there'
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The thing about all these injured pitchers maybe or maybe not coming back is that this pitching staff wasn't good to begin with. We were like 20th in the preseaon projections and about the only thing that has come out better than scheduled is Ben Brown, who almost certainly won't be stretched out until maybe October. This offense is far, far too good for me to have to watch Shota shrug and get a ball thrown from the umpire after giving up his third home run in the second inning of game 2 so that Jefferson Rojas, as cool as he is, can be Dansby/Nico injury insurance in Iowa for the next 2 years.
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Cubs now 4 clear of every team in baseball except the Dodgers for offensive fWAR, second in baseball in wOBA and wRC. 8th in slugging, 7th in home runs, 2nd in OBP. Get some pitching.
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Most of that section has access to the 1914 Club where it's dark and the AC is pumping and you can drink free beers while watching the blowout on TV. I was actually in that section yesterday, much closer game and wasn't middle of the afternoon, still was down there every 20 minutes or so to cool off.
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It is miserably hot outside.
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100 wRC with a .225 BABIP is not bad right.
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Trea Turner was maybe the one where you could have made a strong argument that we should have gone bigger and theoretically better. He has outproduced Dansby by 0.5 fWAR over the length of their new contracts to date, is a year older, has a 77 wRC where the metrics agree, and is suddenly a negative defender. Dansby has 3/$75 after this year, Turner has 7/$189.
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Dansby all of a sudden back at a 96 wRC to go along with his 3rd highest defensive value as a shortstop. BABIP still .225
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Dansby is bad I was told
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Yeah these are good points and I think we're mostly on the same page. I think your initial guess is probably right in that I should expect disappointment. I keep going back and getting frustrated by those comments about the bye and how us clearly not in the running may drive a lack of impactful moves. I get it from a math perspective, but also if you're going to insist on us being top 2-3 in the league by July to make a big swing, maybe don't go into every year with a 'well the bullpen will hopefully figure itself out by August' mentality.
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Like, I get that we need outfielders next year but unless I'm off and Michael Conforto has turned back into a multi year, 8 digit annually contract guy....isn't there a pretty good chance he can man a corner next year and hit at least as well as one of these converted infielders?
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It's not apples to apples but Rojas is sitting at 68 in the Pipeline update that dropped today basically doing a poor man's Matt Shaw at AA thing and there isn't a spot on the infield open until 2030. And if you're high on Rojas and think he can hit in a corner OF spot, then there's the 75th best prospect who came out of nowhere to do a poor man's Matt Shaw at AAA thing who is also blocked. And if you're high on both of them, then....there's Matt Shaw. The pocket might not be burning, but it's kinda bursting at the seams while we're filling up the other pocket with guys who haven't pitched effectively in the majors ever and/or since like 2022.
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Just because the defense is good doesn't mean we shouldn't want guys who are good at pitching. Maybe don't play HR/FB roulette come September/October.
