CaliforniaRaisin
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Everything posted by CaliforniaRaisin
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Really throught Ben Hernandez would make it to the Cubs in round 2. And there goes Jared Jones.
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Over the last few days, various publications linked a handful of guys to the Cubs as possible 2nd rounders or even later. The only ones still available are prep RHPs Jared Jones, Ben Hernandez and ECU 1B Alec Burleson (who would be a later round pick today).
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Ben Badler at BA:
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https://blogs.fangraphs.com/day-1-draft-recap/ It’s a good read. Sounds like the Orioles were hoping for Bitsko after going with Kjerstad at 2. Will be interesting to see how the Red Sox play things today with all that savings.
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Imo, if you’re going prep once more, it has to be the 2nd rounder. Minimize the risk of losing the prospect and maximize your pool space. I wouldn’t be shocked if there are no prep picks after the 3rd round since there won’t be any compensation for unsigned picks starting in the 4th.
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Jared Kelley is still on board. I could see guys like Cade Horton or Carson Montgomery in the mix - both have commitments that could require big money to buy out. There's a few others. I actually like the idea of Cade Horton to the Orioles with one of their picks. Tanner Witt's still on board. There's a lot of HS guys that could need big dollars to not go to college. Yes and even with pick 30 going for Westburg there’s ways they can add a lot of overslot talent still. But it definitely felt like Bitsko was their plan A. I would guess they take at least two big swings in the rest of their draft. Maybe I’m not in the majority, but I preferred Austin Wells to Kjerstad. It’s definitely the minority but I’m with you one preferring Wells.
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0% chance he signs, or 0% chance he opts for college? Derwood, read the room. In Derwood’s defense, I responded incorrectly since he asked how likely he’d sign. It’s close to 100% likely. Dwrwood, almost all these kids have a college commitment because a) they get recruited as underclassmen when they don’t know if they’ll be good enough to get drafted early and b) it’s yood leverage. Teams do their homework early, especially in the capped era. These days, you see maybe a couple of guys in the first 3 rounds not sign every year, and rarely see a first rounder not sign.
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Once Cleveland passed a super young guy, I thought for sure he was being shunted to a team with a big pool.
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Don't want to read too much into it but I assume he'll be around slot.
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I'd put him behind Davis, Hoerner, Marquez and Amaya and would probably put him behind Hernandez when Christian signs. But those first four guys are generally (but not universally) considered top 100 prospects.
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Too Many Shortstops, the Sequel!
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MLB Pipeline (Callis/Mayo) had him at 15:
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Fangraphs/Eric Longenhagen has him at 11 with a 45+ FV:
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ESPN/Kiley had Howard at 34:
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The normal % of most prep kids picked in the 1st round, close to 0%.
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Ed Howard was ranked 20th by BA:
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I’m happy with it. He’ll stick at short, good floor for a prep kid.
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Cubs taking Howard per Longehagen
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Damn, I wanted Abel.
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I expect Baltimore is just saving money to go overslot later. But I don’t trust Miami to not be pinching pennies.