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CaliforniaRaisin

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Everything posted by CaliforniaRaisin

  1. CaliforniaRaisin
    BP top 101: 67. Wiggins 73. Conrado 80. Ballesteros
  2. CaliforniaRaisin
    They drafted 2 last year (Wing and Franklin).
  3. CaliforniaRaisin
  4. CaliforniaRaisin
    Also makes Rojas struggles at AA less concerning.
  5. CaliforniaRaisin
    The new Knoxville stadium is even more pitcher-friendly than Myrtle Beach.
  6. CaliforniaRaisin
    My thinking is that if Wiggins still has prospect eligibility, he’s battled injuries or struggled. But yeah, there’s a fun world where Wiggins does well and maintains his prospect eligibility because the Cubs have enough good, healthy big league arms.
  7. CaliforniaRaisin
    He's got to be the favorite.
  8. CaliforniaRaisin
    Rojas was 107th in Kiley McDaniel's top 200. Conrad, Kepley and Rojas all made BA's next 20 prospects just outside their top 100. So those are the 3 most likely to prop up the system going forward and none of them are likely to graduate in-season. Hartshorn is the next most likely guy. He was ranked in the top 75 draft prospects in a few places and has the type of power that really could easily make a top 100 list. Those are the 4 guys who are currently in the organization and played domestically last year that I think can crack a top-100 list in 2026. Other guys you mentioned - I'm not sure Southisene can every move up a lot in a single year because he needs to show he has the power to survive at every stop. Mathis could definitely bump up with a healthy season; he had good draft pedigree. I really liked Erian in 2024 when he was more 94-96. Last season, he was more 92-94. All that said, I think he's still a top 20 prospect in the organization. A few other names I think could be good breakout candidates: Cabada, Cepeda, Lumpuy, Reid and Wing. This org really needs Reid and Wing to both show something this year, the pitching is horrible behind Wiggins. EDIT: One name Bryan Smith has mentioned to watch is 2025 draftee RHP Nate Williams.
  9. CaliforniaRaisin
    What's nice about Kiley's rankings is he bases it on a concrete FV = $$ formula so you can play around with specific changes to the list and see what happens. If you assume Ballesteros graduates with no other changes anywhere, the Cubs would fall from 25th to 28th in Kiley's rankings (ahead of only Houston and San Diego, the only two teams that don't have a top 100 prospect). But this obviously assumes that not only do the Cubs not have any breakouts but also other teams don't have breakouts/graduations/flameouts. The Cubs pushed for a lot of big league success by trading good prospects in 2025-2026 so hopefully this is the bottom point of the farm and they'll start improving now that they don't have many more Cam Smiths, Owen Caissies, Zyhir Hopes and Jackson Ferrises to trade away. And the guy who has a streak of four consecutive first rounders making it to the bigs from 2021-2024 is still in charge of the Cubs draft which helps me think there's solid chance someone from Conrad, Kepley and Harsthorn breaks out in 2026.
  10. CaliforniaRaisin
    18th seems generous. 25th might be a little low but seems more accurate.
  11. CaliforniaRaisin
    BA updated their top 30s to include IFAs. This was also their first update after Caissie and Cristian Hernández were traded. The new additions are Johan Geraldo at 15th and Jaims Martínez 24th.
  12. CaliforniaRaisin
  13. CaliforniaRaisin
    Kiley has Jefferson Rojas 107th and Pedro Ramírez 198th. No Alcántara, Conrad or Kepley in his top 200. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/47684202/top-100-mlb-prospects-2026-kiley-mcdaniel-konnor-griffin-kevin-mcgonigle-jesus-made
  14. CaliforniaRaisin
    Pipeline lower on Ballesteros and higher on Wiggins than BA:
  15. CaliforniaRaisin
  16. CaliforniaRaisin
    Wonder what a new CBA would do next year's signing class.
  17. CaliforniaRaisin
  18. CaliforniaRaisin
    (Sounds like the owners want to get rid of A-ball and only have A+, AA and AAA.)
  19. CaliforniaRaisin
    That's fine. Let the Cubs get overhyped guys like the Dodgers, Padres and Yankees always do.
  20. CaliforniaRaisin
    lol, that’s exactly my thought process. Down to not wanting to lose Simone Biles.
  21. CaliforniaRaisin
    In a promising sign, Ethan Conrad, Kane Kepley and Jefferson Rojas were amongst BA’s 20 that just missed the top 100 (the next 20 are listed in alphabetical order): https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/20-mlb-prospects-who-just-missed-the-2026-top-100/
  22. CaliforniaRaisin
    36. Moisés Ballesteros 78. Jaxon Wiggins (Owen Caissie was 43)
  23. CaliforniaRaisin
    Ahmad Moten looked great last night too (and I agree with the sentiment DT is a bigger need).
  24. CaliforniaRaisin
  25. CaliforniaRaisin
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