WrigleyField 22
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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22
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On the other hand it's possible he's a Ballard-like "stick to my valuations" guy which is just code for u have no risk tolerance and don't understand markets. We'll see!
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The only real question is if he actually is capable of making proper risk-benefit decisions in FA. 2022 FA points to no, but may have been a tank/culture building combo. He basically has to have a 180 FA approach in 2023. Be agressive early and often and most are gonna look like overpays. But that is the path that has been built up towards (partially legacy from Pace, but also because of how 2022 went)
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Only if they don't adjust.
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I've said it in this thread before, but to me the way you do PKs is you make all players live at the whistle. Defenders can try to get to the ball or cut off part of the goal(so no exaggerated slow run ups that don't mimic any other soccer play), and the keeper can come off his line to cut down on the angle. Most of them will still get scored, but this better represents real play(like a breakaway) and the success rate drops enough that they are less overpowered during regular play while shootouts become a little less random. But to IMB's point as a fellow HS GK, there is nothing more satisfying than stopping a PK, every time is basically like robbing a game winning home run. This sounds like it could still torment IMB for decades so I'm fine with it.
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Hurts and Taylor hurt the last week of my regular season (1st place team) :| :| :| Am I going to have to trust... Gulp... A waiver wire Rodgers to help save my season?! Either way I'm hammering the hedge bets hard this week. Taking all the under yards on my guys and over yards and anytime TDs on my opponent. -
Lose out, worst case pick is #2. Win one, worst case #4 Win two, worst case #8 Win out, worst case #13 In each case, there is a set of 4 win, 5 win, and 6 win teams that play eachother, thus raising the floor at each win mark. Plus various games between those groups that will adjust at least one of the floors each game. Time to root for the LA v Denver tie though because each has a pretty high lose-out odds after this week.
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I now support PKs after IMBs feedback in this thread.
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A series of fun Fields v Eagles facts
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I think everyone hates the shootout but they can't keep playing forever. My personal view is make it "golden goal" - ie whoever scores first wins (so Argentina wins when Messi score yesterday). Yea I was admittedly surprised as I looked up thr overtime rules and found out wasn't a golden goal situation. Sounds like they did it for a while before abandoning again. Is there some purist arguement against it?
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42% chance to lose out per 538s Elo rankings/prediction. If they were to lose out, they'd have about a 13% chance at the #1 pick. So about a 5% chance of picking #1. Top 4 odds look great, as the Bears only have about a 15.5% chance of winning two or more. If they won 1, worst they can do is 4th.
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Been an awesome weekend in the tank standings
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Today was ravioli making day in my house. So I only partially watched. May re-watch it later, but seems like a reasonably good performance from anyone who matters? Tank win all around (except the Jenkins injury)
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Is Santos basically early career Gould? Accurate, but mostly because you can't try hard kicks with him. Gould eventually became all around good. But Santos is already 31, so it's not like he's a development guy. Spending on a K would be pointless, but absolutely bring on some young camp legs.
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And yea trying to pivot to a tank makes no sense. Even if you finish bottom 3 you have a good chance of handing that pick away if you don't place in lotto. Maybe next year they can tank.
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I'm not a big believer in the Philly style "Trust the Process" tank either tbh. I think theres, merit to never completely blowing it up and entering an extended downturn. But yea, forgot they owe another pick still after they pay out the Orlando one. So if not a blowup, then it's a shakeup needed? And based on age and current value, you're probably better off trading DDR, and making bet on Lavine. If Lonzo is done, the ideal is probably Derozan for a young point guard, to be what Lonzo is supposed to be, and secondary wing piece. Maybe still try to spin off Vuc for more of a two way center. Not sure that does a ton, but might be a better overall pairing of skills. Sooo any team fit that?
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but why? even if Lonzo miraculously comes back, they are a 45-50 win team with no hopes of a championship, and demar is going to start falling off a cliff here pretty soon. Well mainly based off my belief this FO isnt a tanking type. So treading for a year is better than trying to fix it (potentially having to use up more assets) If they wanted to blow it up, it's mainly for the tank. I doubt they can get a lot of high quality picks back. It would just be setting up for losses.
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How much of the Bulls current cap is being used on Lonzo, who will probably never play again, and LaVine, who will probably never be 100% again? I think "just blow it up" is mostly lazy fan take nonsense, but there's no path to contention if so much of your available money is wasted on utterly useless or hopelessly depressed assets. This isn't a very easy core to blow up even. I don't think this FO is gonna go the tank route, either. They'll most likely lose that second 1st from the Vuc pick this year which frees up their remaining draft liabilities. And they may actually get that Portland pick this year. Even if you could salary dump Derozan for an expiring and say a young player, the soonest they'd be FA relevant still would be 2024 offseason. I don't think they can clear their other dead weight for 2023 (or if it's even a relevant FA year). So moving him doesn't really change that timeline. So you'd have to really like the young player and asset combo coming back. No one's trading for Lonzo. Vuc.. Could they play the reverse side of the contract dump and get a 2 year contract and asset back for him as an expiring? They're best effort may be just to tread water and hope for the best on Lonzo and try and keep things flexible for 2024 /25 - short MLE type deals and no trading away picks unless it's for a legit superstar, not just an all star. I guess resign Ayo?
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Cubs Sign Brad Boxberger
WrigleyField 22 replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Whew, that should tamper down the restless fans -
The sick-tank inactive wasn't supposed to happen until at least week 17.
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So what does the projected 25/40 man depth roster even look like? They have lots of optionable guys right. If they don't sign Swanson, what are the likely holes they're filling with the leftover FA.
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That, and even if they ended up at 5 or 6, missing out on Anderson and Carter, they're still gonna be in a great spot, and have already probably stole two tank losses, that would have then put them picking in the early to mid teens had they eked out wins. Basically, everything about this season is already a success. I am obsessively tracking the tank effects, but if they win 1 or 2 the next three weeks, I'm not upset in the least. As others have said, I'd only be a little annoyed if they get a pointless win against a resting Minny. But if they beat a full strength Minny and maybe spoiled their seeding, that too would be fun!
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I mean you did the analysis, it's right there. Bears will likely win 1 more game....the Iggles Lol Either way, at least have fun with the first fluke win!
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Tank watch thoughts:
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If Eagles only put up 23, Hurts got hurt way before the 3rd. Also please don't get hurt Hurts. My fantasy team needs you. I said EARLY 3RD As in mid second?
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If Eagles only put up 23, Hurts got hurt way before the 3rd. Also please don't get hurt Hurts. My fantasy team needs you.
