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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. WrigleyField 22
    but why? even if Lonzo miraculously comes back, they are a 45-50 win team with no hopes of a championship, and demar is going to start falling off a cliff here pretty soon. Well mainly based off my belief this FO isnt a tanking type. So treading for a year is better than trying to fix it (potentially having to use up more assets) If they wanted to blow it up, it's mainly for the tank. I doubt they can get a lot of high quality picks back. It would just be setting up for losses.
  2. WrigleyField 22
    How much of the Bulls current cap is being used on Lonzo, who will probably never play again, and LaVine, who will probably never be 100% again? I think "just blow it up" is mostly lazy fan take nonsense, but there's no path to contention if so much of your available money is wasted on utterly useless or hopelessly depressed assets. This isn't a very easy core to blow up even. I don't think this FO is gonna go the tank route, either. They'll most likely lose that second 1st from the Vuc pick this year which frees up their remaining draft liabilities. And they may actually get that Portland pick this year. Even if you could salary dump Derozan for an expiring and say a young player, the soonest they'd be FA relevant still would be 2024 offseason. I don't think they can clear their other dead weight for 2023 (or if it's even a relevant FA year). So moving him doesn't really change that timeline. So you'd have to really like the young player and asset combo coming back. No one's trading for Lonzo. Vuc.. Could they play the reverse side of the contract dump and get a 2 year contract and asset back for him as an expiring? They're best effort may be just to tread water and hope for the best on Lonzo and try and keep things flexible for 2024 /25 - short MLE type deals and no trading away picks unless it's for a legit superstar, not just an all star. I guess resign Ayo?
  3. WrigleyField 22
    Whew, that should tamper down the restless fans
  4. WrigleyField 22
    The sick-tank inactive wasn't supposed to happen until at least week 17.
  5. WrigleyField 22
    So what does the projected 25/40 man depth roster even look like? They have lots of optionable guys right. If they don't sign Swanson, what are the likely holes they're filling with the leftover FA.
  6. WrigleyField 22
    That, and even if they ended up at 5 or 6, missing out on Anderson and Carter, they're still gonna be in a great spot, and have already probably stole two tank losses, that would have then put them picking in the early to mid teens had they eked out wins. Basically, everything about this season is already a success. I am obsessively tracking the tank effects, but if they win 1 or 2 the next three weeks, I'm not upset in the least. As others have said, I'd only be a little annoyed if they get a pointless win against a resting Minny. But if they beat a full strength Minny and maybe spoiled their seeding, that too would be fun!
  7. WrigleyField 22
    I mean you did the analysis, it's right there. Bears will likely win 1 more game....the Iggles Lol Either way, at least have fun with the first fluke win!
  8. WrigleyField 22
    Tank watch thoughts:
  9. WrigleyField 22
    If Eagles only put up 23, Hurts got hurt way before the 3rd. Also please don't get hurt Hurts. My fantasy team needs you. I said EARLY 3RD As in mid second?
  10. WrigleyField 22
    If Eagles only put up 23, Hurts got hurt way before the 3rd. Also please don't get hurt Hurts. My fantasy team needs you.
  11. WrigleyField 22
    So what you are saying is, with the right mental approach, the rest of the season will be fun no matter what. I like that. It'll only take me 30 minutes or so after a loss to shift my focus to the tank positives. Exactly. I'm thinking about the tank like 6 days of the week, but actively rooting against my team for 3 hours on Sunday? Not for me. Also I have to say this is already kind of a tank success at this stage. If they back into a win I'll still be able to look pretty favorably at the tank job they did pull off come April.
  12. WrigleyField 22
    Superstar Brock Purdy. Don't think Cowboys tiebreaker is really relevant unless they can somehow catch Philly. So it really comes down to Minny and SF. Them being tied or SF back 1 keeps the game relevant. Just can't have them gain two games on Minny over next 3 weeks. i dont think any of that matters, there is only 1 bye this year i believe, and thats clearly Philly. only thing that comes into play is if SF and Minny see each other in the divisional round Well 2 seed gets HFA in divisional round. Or you're saying that doesn't matter unless both 2 and 3 seed win wild card round? I'd still think you'd rather have the guaranteed HFA looking ahead to Div round.
  13. WrigleyField 22
    Superstar Brock Purdy. Don't think Cowboys tiebreaker is really relevant unless they can somehow catch Philly. So it really comes down to Minny and SF. Them being tied or SF back 1 keeps the game relevant. Just can't have them gain two games on Minny over next 3 weeks.
  14. WrigleyField 22
    I know this hasn't been a fresh take in like 20 years, but man, there are a lot of dumb bowl games. Mike Leach news sucks. RIP.
  15. WrigleyField 22
    I don’t know who runs things there but Kingsbury in year 5 with up and down success so far doesn’t seem like a good tank option. They may just lose anyway. They're also in a tough spot having just extended both Kingsbury and Kiem, so I'm not banking on it. But it's slightly more likely now than it was 24 hours ago.
  16. WrigleyField 22
    So Kyler Murray with a torn ACL. Any chance Arizona looks to do a little mini tank rebuild and sell some assets, like, I don't know, DeAndre Hopkins?
  17. WrigleyField 22
    Why would anyone care what this chick thinks? Chicks man She has "dongs and vibes" in her about section. Immediate follow IMO (if the funny tweet wasn't enough)
  18. WrigleyField 22
    Eh they've also shredded Ds because Fields can create 50 yard plays at any moment. They're a 5-8 team with bad variance luck if you believe expected W-L at all. Luckily all the 4 teams they play are still much better. But there's a plausible chance that they pull off a win here in the next 4 games. Luckily even with an extra win they still can't drop below 5th. And I'd say a fairly good chance that they don't drop past 4th, even with a win. I will take that.
  19. WrigleyField 22
    And a couple unlikely bounces from being a 10 seed. Basically no matter what happens, Bears have probably overshot their tank median outcome by end of year. Whether it's 2, 3, 4, 5, it's gonna be a great pick.
  20. WrigleyField 22
    I cannot stress enough that rooting against your team won't actually increase the likelihood they lose. So don't be a weirdo. Cheer for your team to win, and only use tanking as loss hedging after the fact.
  21. WrigleyField 22
    Is it the most likely scenario? I may take a top 3 bet over the field. In any case top 5 feels like 90%+ confidence level for me.
  22. WrigleyField 22
    Could definitely win one. Even just a 5% chance to win against Philly and Buffalo and a 15% chance against Detroit and Minny would equate to winning at least once 34% of the time. What are the odds on any individual game...? Trying to find stats on historical outright wins at different underdog spreads and can't find it.
  23. WrigleyField 22
    You're right it's a great spot to be in. If Poles isn't sold on Anderson/Carter I think he'll still be able to trade down if he's so inclined, but it wont be "3 first rounders robbery" type of trade down if it's not a team trading up for a QB. That said, that's exactly the trade that SF did up to 3 to get the third QB in the 2021 draft. So we can hold out hope. Plus, I'm not totally convinced Carroll would actually go QB at 2, though he could certaintly look to trade down as well then.
  24. WrigleyField 22
    I drafted David Njoku to start the season and dropped him after 2 or 3 weeks of basically nothing. Since then it's been a revolving door of terrible numbers while Njoku has actually been pretty good. Pitts owner who had a great stable of RB and tried like hell to pull off a Kelce trade but couldn't. Every week is an adventure now. Only good thing is next week still doesn't matter for me. Then in week 16 it starts to count.
  25. WrigleyField 22
    Start a streaming TE who scored more than zero points challenge.
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