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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. WrigleyField 22
    Bears (and all teams) need to spend 554M in cash from 2021 - 2023. This is to meet Minimum spending requirements. Right now, after today's FA spending and all the other salaries they have for 2023 and their rookie pool they're probably at somewhere around $500M. So need another $54M scheduled to spend to meet minimum. Some of that can come from other forms, like extensions, practice squad, and in season signings. But really the main bucket left is FA. I'd say at least 40 of that 54 probably should come from FA. That all just meet a minim spending level. The fact they will barely scrape it is kind of crazy in itself. The median team is probably gonna be like $100M over minimum and some will be like $200M. Bears are just one of a few teams where it's even a question. Hopefully that isn't too confusing or technical. When thinking about contracts they may still hand out, they can front load cash. But to get $40M cash I'd say still 33 in APY they'd likely be looking to add (they been front loading cash on all their deals so far).
  2. WrigleyField 22
    Ebukam and Key were my two edge targets. Both young with decent upside play and some good pressure stats. Key probably more a specialist. And definitely need help up middle. Even at NT, if not 3T (maybe Poles wasn't lying when he praised Jones)
  3. WrigleyField 22
    No worries! I add value where I can, but raws x and O feedback is valuable here.
  4. WrigleyField 22
    Wasn't including extensions. Like one $5-7M guy, one $10-12 guy and one $15-17 guy would be a very conservative minimum to hit the cash numbers. That's with a lot of gut math. Flexibility to do more than that for sure. And if he does less... I don't know. Edit - just double checked my gut math and I'll stick with those ranges. If Poles does less than that, feels like extensions need to come in really high or contract structures are gonna be extra goofy (not bad per se, but GOOFY) to work out the minimum cash needs they have. Are you saying the Bears need to commit ~$33 million for 2023 to hit the cap minimum? I'm focused on cash, not cap. So I'm expecting (partially based on reporting of Edmunds - Edwards) that they're front loading cash. So like 65M of APY contracts to hit 90M+ of 2023 spending. But these are still conservative low end estimates. And something like cutting Whitehair creates another $8M in the cash defecit. And the cap hit will be much lower than 65M too then.
  5. WrigleyField 22
    It's just kind of hard to say without a little more details. But with some indication of frontloads on two of these, could be as little as two substantial signings. But certainly could be 3-4 more as well. Lots of flexibility on what they do. I'd think 3 more big-ish signings. I know you are doing guesswork here with not a full set of data but is 3 signings accounting for potential extensions for 1-2 guys? Also I'm assuming something like re-signing Monty would be considered a big-ish signing? Wasn't including extensions. Like one $5-7M guy, one $10-12 guy and one $15-17 guy would be a very conservative minimum to hit the cash numbers. That's with a lot of gut math. Flexibility to do more than that for sure. And if he does less... I don't know. Edit - just double checked my gut math and I'll stick with those ranges. If Poles does less than that, feels like extensions need to come in really high or contract structures are gonna be extra goofy (not bad per se, but GOOFY) to work out the minimum cash needs they have.
  6. WrigleyField 22
    It's just kind of hard to say without a little more details. But with some indication of frontloads on two of these, could be as little as two substantial signings. But certainly could be 3-4 more as well. Lots of flexibility on what they do. I'd think 3 more big-ish signings.
  7. WrigleyField 22
    Seems to be reading too much into IMO. You're still trying to balance the total package so overpaying on non premium positions isn't 3D chess I think.
  8. WrigleyField 22
    Is he a Edge in Eberflus defense? No. He is probably a Mike? So maybe TJ is Will? I don't know, flexibility I guess.
  9. WrigleyField 22
    Spending dam is breaking but I definitely have questions
  10. WrigleyField 22
    Nate Davis, 3 years. Had questions about scheme fit, but I'm sure an upgrade. Whitehair cut incoming?
  11. WrigleyField 22
    I'd say they're still another 3-4 big chips to fall before we say that. There is probably a lot of value in tier 2 still as well, but would be a lot of work to connect on that many, which is part of reason just splurging can make sense.
  12. WrigleyField 22
    I mean poor in the same sense that Tom Ricketts was poor after his "biblical losses". Last year 30 of the 32 teams spent to within $8m of the cap (the other 2 were the Panthers ($11m) and Browns ($30m). It should never be an issue for an NFL team to spend up to the salary cap. Well cap aside it is cash that matters, but there were really only 2 or 3 teams at risk not meeting that minimum by end of year One if those handed out a 5/105 contract today, and I think also a big DT signing. So it's really down the Bears and Cowboys who probably have work to do towards the cash minimum.
  13. WrigleyField 22
    A multi year tank in the NFL would be the dumbest possible thing. Anyways they still have about $125-$130M (best est) they need to spend lest they just cut a check to the NFLPA. One consideration as well : Is Arlington Park actually making Bears poor again? I hadn't given too much consideration to this possibility, but if Bears come out not as a top 3 FA spender, may have to revisit that one.
  14. WrigleyField 22
    I tend to agree. He should be shoring up inside OL too though. If they go into draft with Whitehair-Patrick-Jenkins as the plan, it's not enough. Based on the ringers list of FAs. OL: 1. Orlando Brown Jr - Still available 2. Jawaan Taylor - Gone 3. Mike McGlinchey - Gone 4. Dalton Risner- Still available 5. Jason Kelce - Still available (likely going back to Philly) 6. Isaiah Wynn - Still available 7. Kaleb McGary - Still available Kelce said he's going back to Philly.
  15. WrigleyField 22
    I tend to agree. He should be shoring up inside OL too though. If they go into draft with Whitehair-Patrick-Jenkins as the plan, it's not enough.
  16. WrigleyField 22
    OT market also hot apparently.
  17. WrigleyField 22
    DT market is insane right now. Poles needs to pay big if he wants to improve the front 7
  18. WrigleyField 22
    Good news Kyle
  19. WrigleyField 22
    Lol if so
  20. WrigleyField 22
    Nah, there will still be meat on bone even after those hypotheticals. Deals will be backloaded and they'll still have a bit of cash shortfall. Add two median edges or Edge+CB (?) and I think you'd about be there then.
  21. WrigleyField 22
    Don't think he was ever a likely Chicago target.
  22. WrigleyField 22
    I kinda get that there's no much out there and we need bodies, but I really hate this whole tackles who get ragdolled in pass protection paradigm. You watched that one clip too huh?
  23. WrigleyField 22
    Injuries have been an issue...
  24. WrigleyField 22
    That's a really low number. 3 years of Edwards same cost as 1 of Roquan Smith.
  25. WrigleyField 22
    3 minutes in and OL isn't fixed yet. Big Poles L
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