WrigleyField 22
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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22
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I'm bringing this back up since you referenced it a second time. It may be technically true that the coin toss winner team wins exactly half the time if you take out the playoff numbers and include the ties as "non-wins", but it's pretty misleading. Because if you do exactly the same for the non-coin toss winner teams, the non-coin toss winner teams only win 43.4% of the time even when taking out the playoff numbers (with the other 6.7% being those ties). That's still a pretty healthy advantage for the coin toss winner. I don't consider 50-43.4 a statistically significant difference. There are a million potential reasons for that. If the end goal is an OT that produces an exact 50/50 split, good luck. Your best chance for that is probably literally deciding it with a coin toss. I mean I guess the really intersting approach would be to also look at the point spread or dvoa ranking and seeing if there was any correlation where the stronger team was still tending to win independent of coin flip odds.
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I had to go relook up the new GM was again, honestly. Care to share what you found? Uuhhh I forgot again. I think Pledge Carson?
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My interpretation is George has been 100% honest and transparent about this stuff. I really don't think a hot candidate would agree to a GM job if it came with the caveat that he had to hire an elder statesmen as HC. I think it's entirely possible that Poles likes Caldwell, and don't believe George is forcing him, or any other coach, on him. Yeah, especially when it sounds like he had the Vikings job on the table as well. Would have just gone where he wasn't forced on a HC, unless he really hates Kirk Cousins.....which who would blame him? Eh, even if he really hated Cousins, I don't think anyone believes that GM is gonna be beholden to him. Probably could be moved in a trade and Minny would accept a rebuild I think. So yea I think Chicago had to be competitive with their offer and not just rely on Fields v Cousins.
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Indeed, this is the one George McCaskey has to get correct, if so, everything else falls in place and the Bears will turn it around. I underestimated George. I guess picking Ryan up at the airport helped seal the deal? I think it was the shoes.
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I'll take all the fluff I can get but I'm pretty sure I was reading the same stuff about Pace after he was hired I don't know if I ever recalled any analytic fluff from Pace.
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Its a compromise at least. Only downside I guess it a home team with a tie may go real conservative at the end knowing they will get the ball back with plenty of time. But for that trade off we get sudden death excitement. I'd still say give home team the choice either way. I really wanna see some coach give up first possession in OT because they got cute and lose lol
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I like.
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Thread Brad is a analytics guy, so if he's impressed with Poles I think theres hope in that dept.
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*It's happening gif*
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Yeah, all 1st round interviews were via Zoom. 2nd round in person. Is Poles the first round 2? IDK if Eberflus went his 2nd time or not, or if they are waiting to do in person until they get a GM. judging by his attire, no way Geo uses Zoom...hes a straight up WebEx kind of guy But he calls it FaceTime.
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I think this is fun, but the NFL places so much ceremonial importance on the coin toss, they would probably refuse to do away with it. Good idea though if they could get past it. We can do the coin toss for direction I guess. And move every stadium into a dome and make Jerry Jones put up curtains so direction is pointless.
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Guys it's just cuz George wants to deduct the miles for business travel. He swooped by and picked up groceries on the way and the IRS will never know he mixed personal travel with business travel. (joking)
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If suddent death is an absolute given (or the current variation of sudden death) : My final compromise request would be to just follow the lead from XFL and do away with the coin toss altogether. Beginning of game included. Home team chooses to receive or defer, and the KO swaps at halftime and at each OT period. As home team in the playoffs, you've earned the right to go for a strategic edge. You can play for the opportunity to get the extra second half possession by deferring, which is what most teams do today, or play for OT. The benefit to deferring is to attempt to gain the possession edge in the 2nd half. But if you do that you'll give up the ball in OT. Or take the ball first and guarantee that in an OT scenario you'll get first ball. The 17 game record replaces 50/50 luck and there is still some strategic choice involved. We kill a silly ritual of a coin toss altogether. I imagine most home teams chose ball first, but who knows. I also wouldn't mind a 2pt conversion requirement to end it on the first drive.
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Wow really?!? That's so crazy, could have sworn that was the rule. Honestly though, there's no need to even have a coin toss. What purpose does it serve? Why not just continue play? It seems utterly pointless to reset play and then go Sudden death. Why? Interesting. I hadn't thought of that. Not a bad idea IMO. I should add, continuation is really only ideal if you're willing to play a full timed period. If you want to do sudden death still, well anything is kind of junky. Sudden death is just a lot more fun in a more low scoring and free flowing possession game like hockey or soccer.
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I had to go relook up the new GM was again, honestly.
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Wow really?!? That's so crazy, could have sworn that was the rule. Honestly though, there's no need to even have a coin toss. What purpose does it serve? Why not just continue play? It seems utterly pointless to reset play and then go Sudden death. Why?
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Another gimmick idea. But saw someone suggest a spin on the blind bid for field position: Instead of chosing the starting yard line, chose that starting distance. So Reid would chose say 18. So it would be 1 and 18 and Bills can elect to start with ball or defer (from whatever fixed yard line, say own 25). True sudden death from there. I normally hate OT gimmicks but anything is better than a coin toss and all these prisoner dilemma gimmicks at least will create hours of Monday morning QB second guessing :lol:
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Lol George
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Also Minn is supposedly high on Poles and Denver on Quinn. If they landed a Poles/Quinn pairing that would be very nice that they landed guys away from those spots, IMO.
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Tons of people saying Quinn would be expected to bring in a killer staff :dontknow: If he can bring in a great staff I'm open to it. Hopefully he's learned from ATL (which sound weird since he made a SB and all, but his run didn't end well there)
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What about Denver?
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Seems like a bad process tbh probably, but at this point who cares Hopefully Soup, Tanesha, Bill, Ted, and George.
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Based on current names I agree. Ireland was a big one I didn't want but haven't heard much there. Part of that is its too hard to judge GMs. All first timers, but all seem reasonable so let's roll the damn dice. at this point my process would go do you like justin fields? yes - cool. no - eliminated will you hire Daboll? yes - cool. no eliminated should get there pretty quickly Seems like a bad process tbh
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Based on current names I agree. Ireland was a big one I didn't want but haven't heard much there. Part of that is its too hard to judge GMs. All first timers, but all seem reasonable so let's roll the damn dice.
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And a PFF Brad rumor with DBB confirmation for Ossenfort and Wolf:
