So Cutler at less money (or without the guarantees) would've been less attractive to keep around? I just don't see it. Despite what the narrative was, he wasn't overpaid and there wasn't a better option. But that's kind of irrelevant to this whole conversation anyway (aside from the fact that I still think they'd be better off keeping him but that's neither here nor there, I guess). I'd actually be pretty interested in seeing a round by round breakdown of the guys you listed and how they came into the league. There's just so many first round busts that it all seems like a big ass crapshoot to me (and maybe a lot of that is, you know, teams reaching for guys who probably didn't deserve to be taken in the 1st because of the importance of the position). 1st paragraph, I've never said anything close to any of that. It's not a crapshoot, though. It's a skill. A skill to identify, draft, and develop a good QB. The busts have clearly been severely flawed going into the draft (Manziel, Manuel, Weeden, Ponder, etc) and have been reaches based on physical tools and/or desperation. The successful QBs after the 1st have been players the NFL clearly overthought due to nitpicking (Wilson, Cousins, Carr, etc.). The reason I've pointed out McNown and Grossman is because they were the 4th and 5th QBs drafted in the 1st round when the Bears picked them. Pretty clear case of settling on NOT the best and taking a QB just because you have the need. But the Bears have a chance to pick whoever they determine as the best, which they haven't done almost ever. Again, if QBs go 1-2 and the Bears can't trade up...that's a different situation. But if the Bears have a choice to pick the #1 QB on their board and they end up getting the 3rd or 4th QB in the 2nd round because they don't feel their guy is worth the 3rd overall pick....then that is an issue. I don't really think it's that much of a skill. Sure, some teams are better at talent evaluation in general than others, but I really think the only way to attack that position in particular is to do it with numbers. Draft one every year until something sticks. Was Prescott a genius drafting move or just some decent evaluation and a lot of luck? Do the Cowboys take him in the first if they hear some team right behind them is going to take him? If the Seahawks had the #2 pick in 2012, don't they still take RG3? Or do they pass because they identified Wilson as their guy and they expect him to be available later on? I just think it's a stretch to think that the teams that got the good ones got them because they are/were that much better at finding good QBs rather than them just being the ones who rolled the dice just right.