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David

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Everything posted by David

  1. It's not as simple as calling it a correction, because there's such a thing as gambler's fallacy (even if there were to be a correction, it would be to what their baseline should be, rather than a full on recovery from the underperformance - i.e. if they're truly a .550 team but started out playing like a .400 team, they should be expected to play .550 going forward, not whatever it takes to get from .400 to .550 overall), but given that the RD/pythag and other related formulas have said the Cubs were better than their record way back when they were 10 games under .500 and they have proceeded to follow that up with this pretty unlikely-seeming run to get back to over .500, I wonder what changed other than predominantly luck. But maybe it was just getting Mancini and Hosmer the hell out of here. Also worth pointing out that they're at this point despite missing a decent bit of Steele, Bellinger, and Swanson's seasons.
  2. 3rd order does adjust for quality of opponent, but I'm not sure how granular it gets. You might know better than I. Also, I don't think they've changed that much from where they were 2 days ago.
  3. at first i was like who tf is bedard...erik bedard!? and then i'm like oh.
  4. awesome joke lmao!
  5. https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=BaseRuns Cubs are currently tied with the Padres for 5th/6th in MLB in FG's BaseRuns standings. http://claydavenport.com/stats/standings.html 6th in 3rd order wins as well.
  6. Dusty frustratingly wouldn't play him ahead of Karros in 03. He also had the collision with Wood in the Wood/Clemens game when the ambulance came on the field (how the hell did you forget that)? He was hitting pretty well (.246/.392/.500 through 167 PA) when it happened but was never the same the rest of that season. We traded him (straight up, IIRC) for Lee after that year, though, so it turned out OK. I think my first post on here was to discuss that trade lol. Also, incidentally, the only foul ball I've ever gotten at a game came off Choi's bat in early 03 (crowd was very sparse).
  7. Don't look now, but the Cubs have been playing .622 (28-17) ball since June 9th. Blah blah arbitrary endpoints. That's a 101 win pace.
  8. btw what a hell of a good time for them to release their direct streaming platform
  9. The Reds are going to start throwing at us for showing them up by making routine infield plays.
  10. Reds are just pissing their pants I've never seen anything like these two games. Absolutely insane.
  11. 93.1 exit velo on that HR? for horsefeathers's sake
  12. He played last night and went 4/5 with a double (at least two of those were BABIPy infield hits) (Unless I'm missing some kind of inside game thread joke since I'm never in here)
  13. Seriously, though, body language aside, his wording implied that there are negotiations to (not) comment on in-season, which is news in and of itself.
  14. Nah. He's looked like a defeated sad man every time I've seen him behind a mic for the past couple of years with few exceptions. He was smiling through that whole thing. Maybe he found some of Joe's wine under the table.
  15. Look at that horsefeathers eating grin through the entire thing. That is so not Jed's MO.
  16. Check out the future teammates right here
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