Any team that views Bellinger as a capable CF(and there's little reason not to) is going to see that as a CF he's been worth 7-8 wins the last 2 years and is hitting FA without a QO at age 29. I won't plant a flag and say he's definitively getting that Chapman deal, but I think people have gotten in their heads that he needed to repeat his 2023 to make opting out worth it. He mostly just needed to demonstrate that 2021-22 was the fluke, and while he isn't without his imperfections, he has done that.