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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Here is the pre-2023 prospect voting announcement, where Tom bemoaned how people overrated Franklin's potential and none of the entries put him in the Top 20: Here is the mid-season 2023 prospect voting, where Franklin got 1 vote at 18 and another at 14 (from infrequent posters) out of 15 votes: Here is the end of 2023 prospect voting, where no one put Franklin in the Top 20: Here is the pre-2024 prospect voting, where one poster with 4 posts put Franklin at 18 and no one else included him in the Top 20: Here is the middle of 2024 prospect voting, where no one included Franklin in the Top 20: Here is the end of 2024 prospect voting, where no one included Franklin in the Top 20:
  2. wow, I never would've guessed that was Dusty Baker
  3. I would simplify this to 2 thoughts. One is that even though they technically spent Bellinger's outgoing money, they clearly did not spend to what Matt's expectation was. He says pretty clearly that 220 real payroll was the expectation, and even accounting for midseason acquisitions there isn't a way to say that this was the way it was always intended to turn out given that real payroll is in the 190s. The other is that there were plenty of folks who were concerned that trading Bellinger meant that there would be little to no additional spending of any type, and that this was another sign of ownership cheapness that wants to forever drive down the team's payroll. That is clearly a big part of what Matt was trying to respond to, and while he was incorrect on the specifics, there's also little question that the spirit of the rebuttal is correct(they did in fact spend 30ish million AAV post-trade).
  4. The ump scorecard tomorrow is not going to be Cubs-friendly
  5. Can't agree with JD there, I don't think that's going foul, plus by the time it takes that bounce the calculus changes since 2 runs score if you're wrong.
  6. Especially early in the season and at the start of a 4 game series
  7. Not exactly tough takes, but good start for PCA not swinging at everything
  8. aka they're gonna slam Brujan's elbow in a door every 10 days until there's a roster need
  9. Glad to see Tucker bumped to 2nd and splitting him and Busch. The Tokyo late innings were a bit too easy to gameplan for with a LHRP to face the top of the order.
  10. Yes, a first round pick who immediately hits in his first true pro season is going to be a more noteworthy prospect than someone who needed to repeat both A ball levels in order to be the 8th best hitting catcher in the midwest league at 24. This is just sad, you can simply like Ethan Hearn! Everyone has their guys they like more than the consensus. It does not have to be a conspiracy that others are not on the bandwagon with you.
  11. When Busch was the age Hearn was last year he put up a 134+ wRC+ in AA in his first full pro season, come on man.
  12. Tom he's turning 25 this year, will be reaching AA for the first time, his only offensive successes have come in repeating *both* A ball levels, and even when he does hit it has not shown improvement in the primary problem of Ks/contact. His defense is statistically unremarkable and doesn't have an elite reputation either. If you want to hold a candle for him that's great, the bar is lower for catchers and I hope he makes 10 all star teams as a Cub. But please, spare us the 'you only don't see him as a good prospect because the Man spoon feeds you your opinions', it's embarrassing.
  13. This is the type of thing that tends to be true right up until the point that it isn't. The ebbs and flows from the Rays over the last ~15 years are a good example. When your resources require you to be so much better/lucky with your decisions than everyone else it's very hard to maintain and even harder to do so when you have the turnover at the top of the roster, coaching staff, and front office the Brewers have had over the last 2 seasons. I expect them to be the stiffest competition for the division, but they lack high upside pitching and their depth has been hammered by injury already. The median expectation of their offense doesn't look good enough to bridge that likely gap.
  14. I think it's important to keep in mind magnitude when we talk about this. The difference in Pearson's LOB% and one much more sustainable is basically 2 runs. That's not nothing when the sample is 26 innings, but his 2024 performance looks good even if you add those in. Similarly, Brown giving up loud contact isn't good but an elite K%-BB% buys a lot of margin for error. And if any tweaks lower that K% the loud contact likely goes down in turn.
  15. There’s been like 2 mlb games that count since the yankee fan interference, the contrast in those calls is really hard to ignore
  16. Too late now, but it was on big Fox. Tomorrow is FS1.
  17. I had a similar thought about Brasier's place in line relative to Hodge/Pearson when I saw he was the choice in the 9th. Probably not a wide margin, but probably a safe assumption that Counsell didn't throw any of his preferred 3 leverage RPs.
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