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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Carson Kelly welcomes all those who truly believe in him
  2. I think it was more that he had ticked over to the 3rd time through the order and immediately gave up two line drives to put the lead in jeopardy
  3. Suarez just swing through 93 dead red for the K, is Colin Rea a witch
  4. The Diamondbacks version of NSBB is undoubtedly having a meltdown to end all meltdowns over not being able to touch Colin Rea in this wind
  5. I think that's okay in a vacuum(though I would be cautious about extrapolating stuff like zone % from AAA to MLB), but there are other alternatives that have room for optimism too. Rea was a cromulent SP last year and his stuff may have ticked up, Assad was even more effective than that, and Wicks may have found something in AAA too. Given the necessary limits you have to put on Horton, I think there's not as much upside to pushing Horton compared to those guys, when they may have lower ceilings but can give you more length with similar median run prevention expectations.
  6. I'm guessing they just use Wicks for that Rea role, at least as long as Rea is effective. Wicks also gives them another lefty to match up with since Thielbar has been inconsistent, and they can be a bit more aggressive with the off days.
  7. That is...not the side of the comparison I would be questioning.
  8. Horton by both skill/readiness and injury ramp probably won't be able to be an unreserved SP at the MLB level. He'd basically never face the order a 3rd time, and you'd probably only plan on 4 IP in a given start. Because of those limitations, I think we'll see multiple contingencies(Rea, Assad, Wicks) before they turn to Horton, which could be never if there aren't (multiple?) other rotation injuries. But I also think it's likely that as he gets built up, he'll reach a point over the summer where he's banked enough innings that he becomes a relief option(as a MIRP or short reliever) since finishing as a reliever at the big league level won't jeopardize his ramp up for 2026. Plus we know the team prefers to break in pitchers this way. So at the moment I'd say it's unlikely we see Horton as a SP in Chicago this year, but fairly likely that he ends up a meaningful part of the bullpen come July/August.
  9. Workman is a 25 y/o Rule 5 pick that Fangraphs has a 40 FV on, Berti is his ceiling. Like maybe there's a 1 in 10 chance of him becoming a regular that a team out of contention might weight more, and there may be matchups where Workman is a better play(though Berti is very split neutral). But especially with Workman staring at 0 for 10 with 5 Ks when not facing position players, there's not a compelling case for it at the moment.
  10. Berti is a league average or slightly below bat with elite speed that plays a cromulent 3B. You don't want to take the decimal places too seriously, but his bat + baserunning run value is just a hair shy of what the team has gotten from Amaya in over twice the PA. That total package value is like a best case scenario for Workman this year, it's fine that Berti is the first choice for these games.
  11. really nice to get a big bat back in the lineup, also Seiya
  12. Cubs opponents so far when not playing the Cubs: 46-22 (109 win pace) Cubs opponents when playing the Cubs: 8-12 (65 win pace)
  13. Morgan up to 6.2 IP scoreless (3 H, 4/2 K/BB) outside of the one AZ blowup.
  14. The position player group in total has worked really well together too. They're getting slug from their best players(Tucker, Seiya, Kelly), the bottom half is running all over the place(1st in SB), and everyone is showing good plate discipline and playing good defense to help a pitching staff that's off to a mediocre start on the whole. It's very fun to think about how the pitching staff might improve when not playing a Top 10 offense every night, or at least be able to manage Steele's loss better.
  15. I like this format, thanks for putting it together. A small suggestion, using wRC+ over OPS(or in addition to) might be a little more informative given how much leagues and parks can vary across MiLB.
  16. I understand what you're getting at, but also Yamamoto has made about 20% of his MLB starts against the Cubs. He can be someone else's problem for a while*. *Until his inevitable IL stint
  17. What is more likely, that teams are calling each other to make sure they don't step out of line with what they offer Lance Lynn(or even the Lance Lynns of the world), or that they all use models that view a pitcher of Lance Lynn's caliber similarly and no one is willing to bet they can squeeze anything more out of Lance Lynn, the 38 year old who throws 90% fastballs?
  18. Steele has 2 more years of arbitration, and considering he'll be coming off surgery probably not at much of an increase on the 6.5 million he's making this year, pretty much a no-brainer that he is kept.
  19. Tucker is hitting 2nd which is basically modern 3 hitter, they don't want Tucker and Busch back to back to make them easy late inning matchups, and 25 PA this year notwithstanding Turner is the better hitter than the other RHH in the lineup.
  20. Every out you use a position player to get should be taken away from you at the plate, using one for 20% of your team's outs is a shameful slap in the face to paying customers
  21. Not sure I've ever seen a pickoff throw clear out a first base coach before
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