Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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There's nothing *bad* about Alonso's BB or K rates, if anything the K rate is a positive for a player of his power. But what I'm getting at is that even with all those extra balls in play he's not hitting for average and he's not going to be an OBP stud as a result given the lack of elite walk rate. So while I agree that Alonso is a better hitter than Schwarber, when talking about the risk/reward of extending him he has more in common with Schwarber than he does with Murphy or Olson, who are diversifying their value to a greater degree than Alonso's (oversimplified) approach of 'hit fly balls and enough of them carry over the fence' without defense, baserunning, or out-avoidance as a plus.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 8-23-23
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
PCA did end up pinch hitting (a K) -
They can't rely on getting upwards of 30 innings a week from the pen during a big stretch without days off. The pen will either fail since it's not 8 elite relievers and the other team is paid to hit too, or they'll fail more often from overuse. They have to be able to try to get length from the rotation, or the offense needs to make the game a laugher. When neither does that's not Ross being stubborn, it's the practical reality of not having a clear winning choice.
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I'm not opposed to trading for and extending Alonso, but also mostly because I don't anticipate anyone is lining up to give him 6/180. He's not a good defender, and while he has a high bar of productivity that we shouldn't ignore, the lack of hit tool/AVG or walk rate means he's more Schwarber than the more well-rounded skillsets of Olson/Murphy(who also extended a year earlier than Alonso would be).
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nicky two outs strikes again
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Still fine here
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how does Bellinger keep getting away with this
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Loud contact for a 1-2-3 first, pretty dominant striking out the side in the 2nd
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BBTV has Alcantara alone as appropriate value for Alonso. There's likely some 2nd/3rd piece of a similar caliber as Rex's suggestion to make sure you're the high bid or to account for the QO benefit, but ultimately it's only one year of Alonso you're buying and we know from the price of deadline rentals that it isn't exorbitant.
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White Sox Season in Jeopardy
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in General Baseball Talk
Reinsdorf is doing the thing where he's becoming impossible to parody -
White Sox Season in Jeopardy
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in General Baseball Talk
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There are 50 qualified OFs, Happ is 17th in fWAR and 22nd in wRC+.
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Agreed, good business by Jed.
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Lange deserves to lose for that ridiculous neck covering, should honestly have to start every batter 1-0 as punishment
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I hope this is true! As a changeup guy I can see the argument that he might dodge the harsher adjustment period that comes from platoon side damage at the MLB level, but I think we're underestimating the level gap if we think he can be plug and play right away. To that point, I don't think Wicks is ready to go even 80-90 pitches on 4 days rest with consistency, especially while making the biggest level jump there is.
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I guess the disconnect for me is that I don't think this is particularly good? It's basically the bare minimum of what we'd expect of a AAA pitcher with serious MLB aspirations, and we're getting to it by slicing his already minimal AAA time in half. And this is in the context of a guy pitching once a week and who hasn't hit 90 pitches all year(notably, he's been pulled earlier than pitch count would imply in a couple of these strong recent starts), it just doesn't strike me as a realistic expectation that he can be a functional MLB starter immediately in a playoff chase.
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That wasn't an endorsement of Wesneski or Kilian, but they have demonstrated a far greater level of MLB readiness than Wicks. I'd almost go as far to say they may try some type of piggyback setup with Shane Greene before they go to Wicks, he's barely pitched at the AAA level and he hasn't been all that good. I get the urgency and desperation of the situation, but there's nothing about Wicks' performance(not missing bats or controlling the zone at AAA) or trajectory(7 starts at AAA w/ < 5 IP/start, all on 5+ days rest) that point to him being ready to start taking turns in an MLB rotation.
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Jordan Wicks has 7 starts and 33 innings at AAA with middling results, I'd peg him no better than 3rd in the rotation pecking order at this point, behind Wesneski and Kilian.
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
lol Total Zone had him as a -34 LF -
"okay starting with the Royals series the Cubs really need to rack up some wins" (Cubs win 3 of 4 and climb to WC2) "no not like that, elbows are too pointy relievers are getting overused" it's okay to enjoy the good outcomes, folks
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am I crazy or is that a bog standard play for Baez that he made more difficult by losing his balance before the throw
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Are other teams comfortable going to their 5th and 6th best relievers more often? This strikes me as less of a failure of the bullpen and a function of the rotation hanging on and putting more work on the pen while the offense stays in games enough to keep leverage high without putting it out of reach as often as we like.
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The pen was up after the first two reached
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maybe this is me just being old fashioned but it feels like a good time for the catcher to actually give the pitcher a target to hit
