if we're "trading him for crap" in the future, we're going to be eating some $$ as well. he's left his cheap years far behind, unlike Patterson. ever heard of negative value? the only reason CPat brought anything is age and potential. if he was Jones' age, we couldn't have given him away. How did the baseball world value Jermaine Dye this time last year? About the same way it did Jones this year. Don't look now, but Dye's being rumored to be a key piece of a deal for Bobby Abreu. Any reason why the Jones signing is such a sure bet to turn out so much worse than the Dye signing? Heck maybe come July, we'll all be talking about Jones and Miller/Williams/Guzman/Hill/whatever for Abreu. Dye 1999: 120 OPS+ 2000: 134 2001: 109 2002: 105 2003: 41 (half a season) 2004: 103 2005: 118 Jones 1999: 96 (half a season) 2000: 89 2001: 96 2002: 125 2003: 106 2004: 90 2005: 99 Dye had much more past success to base future performance. That constitutes "much more past success"??? I'm seeing a guy (Dye) that averaged 106 in OPS+ in over his previous 3 full seasons ('01, '02, '04), and got rewarded with a 2/$10 deal with an option for a third year. I'm also seeing a guy (Jones) that averaged 107 in OPS+ in over his previous 3 full seasons ('03, '04, '05), and got rewarded with a 3/$16 deal. Dye responded in '05 by posting his second-highest OPS+, @ 118, roughly 10% above the three-year average. If Jones can do 118, that would be his second-highest too, and also a ~10% improvement. These guys couldn't be more similar, statistically. Like SSR said, Jones was worse than that the previous 3 years. Jones's best years have been due to BABIP fluctuation that he isn't likely to approach again. In other words, unless he gets luckier on balls in play and hits .300(doubtful considering he's done it twice in 6 years and is leaving the turf for Wrigley's thick grass), he's going to be average at best for a hitter, never mind a corner outfielder.