last four years: .460, .373, 413, .393 The .399 projection is probably conservative. Same exercise for Yelich: .366, .376, .369, .402 His .381 projection is probably a reasonable of a greater amount of history at lower performance vs more recent performance at a higher level. -------------- Harper is absolutely a better hitter (and a bit younger) than Yelich. The contract situation means that Yelich is certainly a better bargain. But let's not pretend that Harper is anything but a projected superstar for the first few years of his contract.