Jump to content
Join us for a livestream as we discuss the red-hot Cubs, starting at 4pm Central time! ×
North Side Baseball

SABR Gamer

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,122

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by SABR Gamer

  1. SABR Gamer
  2. SABR Gamer
    Tim, Pujols > Fielder?
  3. SABR Gamer
    Has anyone discussed how worrisome Pujols drastic drop in walks is? He had two single-digit walk months, and not a single 20 walk month this past year. Compared to 2010, where he didn't even have one single-digit walk month, and two 20 walk months. Overall his walks went down from 103 to 61. What is also troubling is both of his single-digit walk months came AFTER he broke out of his slump (September and July), so you can't attribute it to that. Fielder on the other hand walked 107 times, and has 3 straight 100+ walk seasons and posted a better OPS than Pujols this past year, on top of the obvious age advantage. I used to be firmly in the Pujols camp, but I am starting to lean towards Fielder. May be on gut, but that's how I feel right now.
  4. SABR Gamer
    I agree he's nothing close to a real #1, but he's still a pretty good pitcher. Much better than what you're projecting. actually going off his numbers, he is more of a 2/3. he's not a #1, and certainly not a 4. he's about as solid as it gets and he'll be a pretty good 4-5 year contract. you can count on his 200+ IP and close to 15 wins a season. That's basically a 180 from your previous post! Which one do you REALLY believe!?!?!?!!!
  5. SABR Gamer
    And he never did. "May 9, 2008: Released by the San Diego Padres. May 14, 2008: Signed as a Free Agent with the Chicago Cubs." hmm
  6. SABR Gamer
    I want the offseason to get exciting. I hate looking at active topics and the stupid Penn State controversy if always at the top. Not that it isn't a big deal, I just wish there was more to talk about. I am jonesing for some signings, trades, ANYTHING! /endofcrazytalk
  7. SABR Gamer
    It's stunning to see a player as good as him come from our farm system....how good would he have been if he had come up with better minor league instruction?
  8. SABR Gamer
    Castro is going to be the best SS in baseball.
  9. SABR Gamer
    Fangraphs is heavily based on predictive peripherals, Baseball-Reference is based on how many runs the pitcher allowed. Which method is preferable? What are you trying to do? Yeah, I guess you are right. Evaluating that year, probably B-R. Predicting future performance, FanGraphs.
  10. SABR Gamer
    Fangraphs is heavily based on predictive peripherals, Baseball-Reference is based on how many runs the pitcher allowed. Which method is preferable?
  11. SABR Gamer
    Can someone explain what B-R values so much differently than FanGraphs for pitcher WAR that makes their numbers so different, and which is more accurate? James Shields: B-R WAR: 6.1 FanGraphs WAR: 4.9 Matt Garza: B-R WAR: 2.9 FanGraphs WAR: 5.0 So, Baseball-Reference thinks James Shields was worth twice as many wins above replacement as Matt Garza this year, while FanGraphs actually thinks Garza was the better pitcher? Also, more variation: James Shields 2010 WAR B-R: -1.3 FanGraphs: 2.0 So FanGraphs claims his 2010 season was decent, while B-R claims it was a terrible, blow replacement level showing. I usually go to FanGraphs for WAR, but these numbers seemed strange to me.
  12. SABR Gamer
    It's a difficult question because it's November 2nd and we don't know how the trade market will shake out. I don't know if Headley or Stewart is a cornerstone about to break out. But I'd rather roll the dice with Headley/Stewart and CJ Wilson than roll the dice with Ramirez and Wells/Cashner. The expected value in 2012 is about the same, and the potential value beyond 2012 is much greater. I completely agree that Headley/Stewart + CJ >>> Ramirez + Wells/Cashner. I was more asking if Headley/Stewart was really the best option we have, because I don't know if that is really the difference maker we need. Sure either one could break out, but I would want to explore all options before going in that direction. Is David Wright young enough to be worth a shot? Change of scenery, better hitters park. 04-08 or even 2010 David Wright + PF/AP + CJ and we would be a pretty good team. That's a pretty large stretch though.
  13. SABR Gamer
    Yeah, I didn't read the previous quote so I thought he was talking overall, not defensively. With his edit, I agree that all of those should be defensive upgrades. Still doesn't work out for Byrd though, because I think any defensive plus he is will be given back with his poor hitting. wOBA of .315 last year, he is a below average hitter and will be in his age 34/35 season, I am not looking forward to it.
  14. SABR Gamer
    Jackson to CF, Byrd to RF and anyone to 3b should all be significant improvements over last year. Plus I'm projecting some improvement from Castro`. Jackson should be a nice improvement, and I just get a feeling Castro is going to destroy this year, more walks, .800+ OPS at least, better D. Byrd is pretty bad though, I don't know if he is really that much of an upgrade for anything. His offense will continue to decline, and switching to RF makes his weak bat even more of a sore. His defensive value might go up playing in a corner, but nowhere near making up for his weak bat. Marlon is fine if we are just trying to get by, but I am not a fan of his at all anymore. I would much rather platoon him with Sizemore than trust him full time.
  15. SABR Gamer
    Who do you see that is available this offseason that can be a solution for the next 3+ years? (Outside of the obvious Pujols/Fielder) You think Headley will show enough power improvement leaving SD to be a cornerstone? Ian Stewart? I am just curious. I don't think resigning Aramis is a good idea at all, but I just don't know who's out there that really blows me away.
  16. SABR Gamer
    We are never going to find out.
  17. SABR Gamer
    i laughed way too hard at that Same People were giving me funny looks in class for not being able to stop laughing at this during the lecture.
  18. SABR Gamer
    I'd love to have Wright at 3rd for the Cubs. I think he could put up a nice year at Wrigley.
  19. SABR Gamer
    Stewart is definitely intriguing. What do you think is a realistic outcome for him next year? In his prime? (BA/OBP/SLG, HR, WAR, Defensive ability) I like his Minor League stats, and I like his IsoD, but that's just at a glance. I haven't really kept up with his career/projected growth.
  20. SABR Gamer
    Agreed, I also can see Aramis really fall off around 35. His power has already basically been in decline for 7 years already. I don't know if I want to pay 36 year old Aramis ~$13 million. AB/HR 2005: 14.9 2006: 15.6 2007: 19.5 2008: 20.5 2009: 20.4 2010: 18.6 2011: 21.7
  21. SABR Gamer
    Huh. I had never seen that pic until now. Now I need a bigger version for my desktop. SOMEBODY HELP ME. Found it at http://vineline.mlblogs.com/tag/aramis-ramirez/ doing a Google image search. Only place I saw that picture. It's near the bottom of the page, maybe contact Vine Line about the photo? BTW, who even reads Vine Line?
  22. SABR Gamer
    Same here, he has been a huge part of the Cubs over the past decade, in a good way. - His 2 out, bottom of the 9th, come from behind, walk-off 2-run HR vs the Brewers in 07 http://chicagosportsnews.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/cubs-med.jpg - His two HR game including a walk off vs White Sox in 08 http://www3.pictures.gi.zimbio.com/Chicago+White+Sox+v+Chicago+Cubs+-k8ijiVQA7Vl.jpg MLB.com Video - His 11th inning walk off HR against the Cardinals in 09 in April before we knew 09 wasn't going to be 08 part 2. http://mlblogsvineline.files.wordpress.com/2009/04/ramirez20walkoff1.jpg MLB.com Video Those were some of the coolest moments in the last 5 years of Cubs baseball. http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3054/2896880791_7d13955a46.jpg I hope he's back but if he isn't I will surely miss him. Thanks Aramis.
  23. SABR Gamer
    I badly don't want to see Pena our first basemen again. I wouldn't mind Aramis back, nothing crazy though, 3/39 is okay.
  24. SABR Gamer
    Well Philly just declined him for 16 for only one year, what do you expect him to get?
  25. SABR Gamer
    Would anyone be interested in 3/30 for Oswalt? 3/36? 3/39? just two years ago he put up a sub 3 era with a WHIP barely over 1. (2.76/1.03) His babip was well below his norm, but he had a FIP/xFIP of 3.27/3.31 in 2010. Babip was more normal last year, FIP/xFIP still at 3.44/3.95 in 2011.
×
×
  • Create New...