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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    While Porcello's cost doesn't bother me if Theo/Hoyer are convinced he can be a star, the fact that we're rich doesn't mean you completely disregard money. Porcello is a young, highly touted pitcher who has struggled a lot in the majors and is kind of getting expensive. Turner is a younger, highly touted pitcher who hasn't made the majors yet and is very inexpensive. Considering both are very young, both are very unproven, both are/have been very highly touted, and Turner is much cheaper than Porcello, I'd prefer Turner.
  2. dew1679666265
    Dolphins hire Packers OC Joe Philbin as head coach. The Colts have made some interesting interviews so far, as their candidates to this point are Titans DC Jerry Gray, Saints OC(?) Pete Carmichael, and now former Vikings HC Brad Childress.
  3. dew1679666265
    If the Cubs are paying as much of Soriano's salary as it sounds like we'll have to, then the years remaining on the deal won't be significant. If a team ends up owing him 3/7 after the trade, they could simply count the full $7 million toward year one of the deal, pay it all to him then, and cut him after the season at no further cost.
  4. dew1679666265
    I agree, and that's why I said "feel like we have to" sign Hamels/Greinke. If we sign both Cespedes and Soler, then we add one potential impact player for the short term and one for the long term. If Cespedes is productive by next offseason, it makes it a little less important for us to make a splash with an elite FA pitcher, while still giving us the ability to do so if Theo/Hoyer feel it's in our best interests. However, if we, say, only sign Soler, then we'll still be pretty desperate for an infusion of impact potential on the ML roster and may be in a position where we have to sign one of the pitchers or we don't contend in 2013. Basically, signing Cespedes (potentially) gives us more options going forward and gives us more versatility in paths to quick contention while having a relatively small cost for the upside. Soler gives us elite potential at a reasonable price. Unless Theo/Hoyer simply don't believe in one of them, there's no reason not to sign both.
  5. dew1679666265
    Dick LeBeau really likes to blitz and his Steelers defenses have been really, really good. Gregg Williams was incredibly successful as the DC for the Titans in the late 90s, early 2000s and working with Fisher again might be what he needs. I think it's a good hire for the Rams.
  6. dew1679666265
    I've been on board with signing both for a while now. Neither players is going to sign a contract that would be crippling (or even significantly damaging) if they flop and both could be terrific bargains if they pan out. There's no guarantee there will be impact FAs on the market in the next few years (the 2013 pitching market is already thinning), but we know Cespedes and Soler are available and have impact potential. I'd much rather invest 4/20 into Soler and 6/40-60 into Cespedes than feel I have to invest 6/150 into one of Hamels (29) or Greinke (29).
  7. dew1679666265
    Good move for Rangers, I think. If you take the entirety of the contract and posting fee, you get 6/111 - which is $18.5 mil per year. Darvish could definitely bomb, but if he doesn't the Rangers are getting a good bargain.
  8. dew1679666265
    Strange. This just popped up on MLB Trade Rumors:
  9. dew1679666265
    Not sure how, if at all, this will affect decision making in Nashville.
  10. dew1679666265
    If true, Fisher apparently wanted more GM powers than he could have had in Indy. Irsay supposedly tweeted that this report was false, but I would expect him to do that either way.
  11. dew1679666265
    Personally, if not for having the group we have doing the research, I'd be worried about the latter. Wouldn't that concern be there with Soler as well?
  12. dew1679666265
    That's really strange. As you said, his defenses were excellent at Miami as a DC, so it's hard to reconcile that with reports that he doesn't make adjustments well and has a limited arsenal of schemes. He was DC while the talent was exceptional there, so maybe his success was derived purely from having more talent than anybody else?
  13. dew1679666265
    Would trading Soriano and picking up that much salary in a deal with the Yanks, perhaps for Hughes be a likely option? I think it'd be much more likely that we could sell them on Byrd to provide OF depth and then they could move Andruw Jones to DH.
  14. dew1679666265
    I've never really heard any questions about Shannon as a DC, but it would explain him continuing to not get a job. The hiring of Sunseri did kind of hurt us, as Saban has hired away Lance Thompson to fill Sunseri's former role. Much as I like Wilcox, Sirmon, and Baggett, losing Thompson hurts more than any of them, I think. Fantastic coach and recruiter who apparently was pretty pissed that he was passed over for the DC job here.
  15. dew1679666265
    Probably true. Though it might be worth keeping him in AAA one year more than he needs to get the prospects we'd get from a Prince trade.
  16. dew1679666265
    I really like this hire. Not surprised Dooley targeted a Saban guy and Sunseri has worked with Saban enough that some of that defensive brilliance had to rub off. My pipedream hope was Randy Shannon, but Sunseri was one of the best realistic options out there.
  17. dew1679666265
    The 25 HRs would have put him in the top 5 and the 80 RBIs would have put him 7th out of 16. The problem with going by those stats, though, is that Cashman isn't going to value those stats alone very much. It'd be tough to convince Cashman that a couple of counting stats rate Soriano as above average when other stats so strongly disagree with thsoe.
  18. dew1679666265
    I think your wrong here. Im pretty sure his numbers last year put him in the top ten AL dh's. (Im on my phone so i cant tell right now, but take a look) There were 16 DHs in the AL who had 300+ PAs last season. Soriano's .325 wOBA would put him tied for 12th with Bobby Abreu.
  19. dew1679666265
    I was thinking he had more time under team control, but I'd still have some interest as a buy low candidate. He was a mid-2 WAR pitcher in 2009 and 2010 and has a 7.5 K/9 with a 3.18 BB/9 over the course of his career. On the downside, however, that K/9 has been trending downward since it peaked at 10.05. I wouldn't give one of our better trading chips (Marmol, Demp, Soto) since the time that we'd control him would be so short.
  20. dew1679666265
    Do we have anything that could net us Phil Hughes?
  21. dew1679666265
    How about this scenario: The Cubs sign Fielder for, say, 6/120. Rizzo spends 2012 and 2013 tearing up AAA - he has been good but not great during his non-PCL minor league career - and developing "the Cubs Way." We play Prince for his age 28 and 29 seasons and then, after hopefully a couple great offensive seasons, we trade Prince and get terrific value for him, since teams would only be committing 4 years to him. We then bring Rizzo up to start the 2014 season and have a really good prospect haul from the Prince deal. At the same time, adding Prince allows us the possibility of contending in the short term (maybe as soon as 2012 if we get some breaks). An NTC would complicate things, but that may well be part of Theo's terms for signing him - we refuse to give an NTC. Probably not a likely scenario, but it would jive with the "asset collection" Theo and Jed have stated they're in.
  22. dew1679666265
    I wasn't a big fan of the Hiestand hiring when Dooley made it simply because he came from the Bears and their line had been awful. However, I didn't know whether to chalk that up to simply terrible talent or whether it had to do with coaching as well. I will say, after two years at Tennessee, a very talented offensive line has regressed from year one to year two. There's a lot of young talent on the line and they showed signs of coming together during the 2010 season, but last season we had a horrid running game and from watching every game, it was clear the line wasn't getting a push and the holes simply weren't there for the backs. It could just be the players not executing and may have nothing to do with Hiestand, but I've not seen much to encourage me about his coaching. Seems to be a pretty solid recruiter, though. All that said, Tennessee hired North Carolina's Sam Pittman to replace Hiestand and that appears to be a really good move.
  23. dew1679666265
    I only count 3 elite arms currently set for FA - Cain, Hamels, Greinke - with Anibal Sanchez as a very good 2nd tier option. After that, a 31 year old Marcum is probably the next best starter. That pitching field is thinning fast. And I have full faith that Ruben Amaro is going to give Hamels an 8-year $670 million deal I fully expect Hamels to be re-signed. I'm leaning toward thinking Cain will be extended by the Giants, but I'm not confident in saying that at all. I do think there's a strong likelihood next year's FA class consists of Greinke and Anibal and then a big gap before Marcum and (maybe) an aging Haren.
  24. dew1679666265
    Banking on having a large crop of elite FA pitchers to pursue next offseason is looking even more unlikely..... I only count 3 elite arms currently set for FA - Cain, Hamels, Greinke - with Anibal Sanchez as a very good 2nd tier option. After that, a 31 year old Marcum is probably the next best starter. That pitching field is thinning fast.
  25. dew1679666265
    I agree don't bench Byrd for him, but there's a very real chance Byrd is dealt before the season starts (I kind of expect him to be). I'm also working under the assumption that Jackson won't start the season in the majors and may well be in the minors for a significant portion of the season. On Sappelt, I'm not convinced he's more than a good 4th OF long term and that's kind of what he already is, so I wouldn't pine too much over splitting PAs between Sappelt and Campana (i.e. an OF of Soriano/Sappelt-Campana/DeJesus or Sappelt-Campana/Byrd/DeJesus).
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