dew1679666265

Yeah, I really don't get the argument that it's better to give up a huge contract and a group of really good prospects rather than give up a huge contract and nothing else.

I'm not entirely against Porcello in a Garza trade, but my problem with him is that in his 3 years in the majors, he's posted a K/9 of 4.8. He doesn't strike people out at all. Obviously we don't know that Turner will be able to strike guys out in the majors, but he struck out 7.7 over his minor league career. Porcello's K rate is so low that it's beyond the "well he's young and probably came up a bit too early" stage. That defense works if it's kind of low, his is really dreadful. If it's between a guy who's completely unproven and a guy who's proven (to this point) that he can't strike guys out, my preference is going to be the guy who's unproven.

Exactly. We'll have Cain, Votto, Kemp, and then some on the FA market. No reason to go after elite FAs this offseason.

Half the board is in the war room, so that's a lot of opinions to sort through.

Two of my top 5 players for the Titans have gone off the board today (Kirkpatrick and Mercilus). Next 3 picks: 20. Titans (dew, PCP) 21. Bengals (davell) 22. Browns (gorbs27) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 4 choices.

raw gave me a list of 3 players, all DE/OLB types and his top choice is still on the board. Thus, the Chargers select Whitney Mercilus from Illinois. The Bears and their war room are now on the clock. I'll PM Raisin.

Yeah, I shot you a PM sometime this afternoon thinking maybe you just hadn't gotten one. The Jets and PriortoTheoIhadWood are on the clock. I'll PM him. Next 3 picks: 17. Bengals (davell) 18. Chargers (rawaction) 19. Bears (Raisin, et al) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 4 choices.

Yeah, my thoughts as well. I'm open to alternate opinions, but if Truffle doesn't make the pick in the next 30 minutes, I'll go with Floyd to the Eagles.

Thoughts on this pick? Some mock draft selections for the Eagles: Michael Floyd Fletcher Cox Quinton Coples Floyd is still on the board here and would be a replacement for DeSean Jackson. Cox and Coples are off the board, but guys like Brockers, Perry, and Mercilus are still available.

We'll take suggestions and the Eagles get assigned whoever the majority opinion is.

Next 3 picks: 16. Jets (PriortoTheoIhadWood) 17. Bengals (davell) 18. Chargers (rawaction) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

I'd take Fletcher Cox personally. I'm not a big enough fan of Barron to take him here and I really like Cox as an interior rusher. Next 3 picks: 15. Eagles (Truffle) 16. Jets (PriortoTheoIhadWood) 17. Bengals (davell) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

Next 3 picks: 14. Cowboys (vance, imb!) 15. Eagles (Truffle) 16. Jets (PriortoTheoIhadWood) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

Next 3 picks: 13. Cardinals (PriortoTheoIhadWood) 14. Cowboys (vance, imb!) 15. Eagles (Truffle) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

I PMd Andy. Next 3 picks: 10. Bills (imb!) 11. Chiefs (Tiger) 12. Seahawks (sulley) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

Odd, I never got a PM from you.

Teams who draft QB out of desperation live to regret it. I actually like Tannehill a lot. Kind of an accurate version of Jake Locker.

It's a little bit comparable to the Reed Johnson signing. In the long run it's pretty immaterial, but it's still an annoyance that seems completely out of place with this new regime.

What? How the hell is that true? i'm not sure what the MLE's would be, but soto was pretty damn bad and lahair was pretty damn good at beating up on minor leaguers i'm guessing it's "probably" close LaHair MLE: .851 OPS Soto actual: .721 OPS Not sure how BABIP would affect each of those.

Soto and Castro are pretty much musts to have big years, and I expect both to produce very well. I do agree that outside of those two, the offense has the potential to be decent if everything breaks right. The problem is, if everybody hits right around their most likely level of production, this offense probably is going to be putrid. I'm more optimistic than most on Soriano, but he's still in his mid 30s and the biggest reason I think he'll show some signs of life this year is because I think the new regime will give him extra time off. The problem there, however, is that will drag down our overall numbers because Joe Mather will get more PT in his place. Outside of that, Byrd should rebound so long as he doesn't get hit in the face again but he's getting old, Stewart's best ML year was an .804 OPS and that was in half a season, Barney is really good defensively but was pretty bad offensively last year and LaHair is likely to be horrid. Our most likely third best bat, DeJesus, is 32 and posted a .698 OPS last year. I think he'll rebound, but that's 5 positions where we're hoping for a rebound (LF/CF/RF/3B/C), 2 where terrible offensive production is almost assured (2B/1B), and 1 position that we can take for granted that we'll get top end production. The offense definitely could be better than putrid, but we're fighting an uphill battle to get there and need a lot to go right to simply get into the ballpark of average.

Next 3 picks: 8. Dolphins (ManCrushOnNomar) 9. Panthers (Andy) 10. Bills (imb!) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.

The Jaguars and rawaction are now on the clock. I PMd him.

I've heard rumors that the Rams might have an interest in moving back up to Cleveland's spot to grab Blackmon. I suppose the Browns would then choose between Tannehill and Richardson. It wouldn't shock me to see Minnesota trade down, I don't think, but it's really hard to pass on a probable (for the draft) franchise LT like Kalil.

I think the range is probably something like 65-75 with low 70s being the most likely outcome. 65 would mean absolutely everything went wrong and 75 would mean we really exceeded expectations. I'm more optimistic on Soriano than most and I feel like Soto can rebound pretty well, but even considering that, this offense is just absolutely putrid. The bench is especially horrific. I actually think the rotation looks pretty decent at worst and the bullpen could be pretty good, but the pen could easily tank as well.

The draft will really get interesting starting with the Browns' pick. Luck/RGIII/Kalil is a pretty obvious 1/2/3, but then the Browns could go 4 or 5 different directions and which way they go could completely change the draft. Next 3 picks: 7. Jaguars (rawaction) 8. Dolphins (ManCrushOnNomar) 9. Panthers (Andy) Again, if anybody isn't sure they'll be available to make the pick, shoot me a PM with your top 3 choices.