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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    People keep saying this, but I'm really not seeing anybody assuming we'll either one of those two. The post of mine you quoted was even giving a backup option in case we miss out on them.
  2. dew1679666265
    How long do you think we'll be non-competitive? Garza's only turning 28 next year and Marshall is around 30. Unless the next time we have a "core" together is 4-5 years from now, both of those players can easily be a part of the next core. And Garza will have far more than decent trade value. He was one of the better pitchers in the majors this year, I'd only trade him if I got a huge amount in return.
  3. dew1679666265
    Yep - Law said that Szczur would be lucky to become Juan Pierre. When asked on numerous occasions whether he really meant that, he's very strongly re-stated it. He's described Szczur as a slap hitter who will do well to develop Pierre's power.
  4. dew1679666265
    I'm going to have to be convinced that Kelly Johnson is a better option than Darwin Barney. 2011 stats Johnson: 2.2 WAR/.316 wOBA/29 years old at start of 2012 season Barney: 2.2 WAR/.296 wOBA/26 years old at start of 2012 season Johnson did post a 5.9 WAR last year, but was at .8 in 2009, 2.7 in 2008, and 3.6 in 2007. He's a better offensive player than Barney, but worse defensively and will be significantly more expensive (even if we can get him relatively cheap for an offense-first 2B). Johnson has also pretty much topped off on his upside, while Barney might get a tick or two better offensively.
  5. dew1679666265
    That's my thinking. I want to be excited, but until everything is finalized and official I keep holding down my excitement. I don't want to see Theo pull a Beane or see us give up BJax or somebody - if none of that happens I'll be thrilled.
  6. dew1679666265
    You're right, that was my mistake. I also don't know his minor league splits, so there may be a better option for a platoon if he doesn't hit righties better than lefties. The main point is, we've got options between him and LeMaheieu, though.
  7. dew1679666265
    From what I recall (my recollection here may not be trustworthy) I think he's decent enough at third - his best position defensively, I think? One of the minor league guys could clarify that or put me in my place, though. And I should note this platoon would be contingent on us pursuing and getting one of Pujols/Fielder and CJ Wilson (I'm not assuming either, just giving my preferred plan of action). If we can net two of those three, we'll likely have to go cheap everywhere else for next year. If we were to miss out on Wilson, I'd have no problem pursuing Aramis on a 2 year deal or so.
  8. dew1679666265
    Mods can delete/move/whatever this post if they don't want this discussion going again, but the question was asked of me and I didn't want to appear to be ignoring it. I'd go with a Flaherty/Baker platoon. League average OPS at third was something like .716 this past year and around .730 or so the year before. Baker is a near certainty to give us an .890-.900 OPS on the short side of the platoon and Flaherty posted a .280/.347/.478/.824 line in AAA this year. Obviously he probably won't do that well as a rookie in Chicago, but between him, LeMaheieu, and cheap FAs we should be able to find somebody who can pair with Baker to give us a .717+ OPS overall at third.
  9. dew1679666265
    Off the top of my head I'd say they were above average at 3B, SS, C, and 2-3 SP spots (Garza for sure and maybe Dempster and Z). Add Wilson and Pujols/Fielder to that (if you can obviously) and hopefully a 3B platoon can stay above average (shouldn't be hard given what we have in-house) and this team can be above average at most of its positions. Then add in that the Cards and Brewers will fall off significantly without Pujols and Fielder and things get even better looking.
  10. dew1679666265
    Where is the next Mark Prior and healthy Kerry Wood at now? Matt Garza and Starlin Castro. With Albert Pujols (maybe), Prince Fielder, and CJ Wilson on the free agent market.
  11. dew1679666265
    There's no way for this team to contend in the next few years with a $100 million payroll. Overall, sure we can compete with a $100 million payroll, but more like contend for a playoff spot and hope to get lucky to get in the playoffs and then maybe get lucky again in the playoffs rather than be able to build a dominant team that is a World Series favorite. The Cubs have the means to build up the infrastructure and management of the organization and still have a mid-$100M (130-160) payroll at the same time. To not take advantage of that would be to try to compete with one hand tied behind your back.
  12. dew1679666265
    My view is/was that you only consider pursuing the Votto/Castro trade after potentially missing out on both Fielder and Pujols. Though it'd take really fluky decisions (not being outbid) for the Cubs to miss on both if they really want one.
  13. dew1679666265
    The anti-Votto argument is beginning to win me over to its side. I still don't think supporting the trade is as asinine as you were portraying it, but I'm also being convinced it's not the upgrade I thought it'd be before. I've supported pursuing Fielder or Pujols first from the start, but I still think it might be something to consider if we miss out on both of those two (which we really shouldn't).
  14. dew1679666265
    Beat the pants off somebody like Alabama did while they play Ole Miss or Kentucky or whomever and you'll jump right back. Some jump. He probably meant somebody good. In fairness, Florida isn't good either. He was originally mad that Bama jumped OU (I believe) after throttling Florida last week.
  15. dew1679666265
    I agree with Kyle here. Votto is one of the best, most valuable players in the game and he's still fairly young. He has a good approach at the plate and should age pretty well at least. The only drawback to him is his upcoming price tag, but any elite hitter is going to cost a bundle. Starlin's a fantastic young talent and there are very few players in the league I'd even consider the idea of trading him to. A 28 year old 7-WAR player who's still a value for the next two years is one of those few players.
  16. dew1679666265
    If Matt Simms can play like Phil Simms Saturday, Tennessee might have a chance to keep it close. Otherwise, the early 13-15 point line seems way too low.
  17. dew1679666265
    What brought this on? Most of the people in this thread who have said they'd trade Castro have said they'd do it begrudgingly. And I don't see why it's an affront to Castro to say you'd trade him as the centerpiece for a first baseman who's 28 and has posted WARs of 6.9 and 7.3 the past two years and never had one less than 4.0 in a full season. Personally, my ideal situation would be to pursue Fielder/Pujols and keep Castro, but I can't say a Votto/Castro swap (of some sorts) would be that dumb a move. I suspect he's talking about the racist meatballs, not the posters in this thread. I was thinking that, but it seemed really random if that's why.
  18. dew1679666265
    What brought this on? Most of the people in this thread who have said they'd trade Castro have said they'd do it begrudgingly. And I don't see why it's an affront to Castro to say you'd trade him as the centerpiece for a first baseman who's 28 and has posted WARs of 6.9 and 7.3 the past two years and never had one less than 4.0 in a full season. Personally, my ideal situation would be to pursue Fielder/Pujols and keep Castro, but I can't say a Votto/Castro swap (of some sorts) would be that dumb a move.
  19. dew1679666265
    Tyler Bray will miss the next 4 weeks with a broken thumb. What are those next 4 games you ask? LSU, Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas. Six wins is best case scenario for Tennessee this season. I hate sports. EDIT: Just updated to Bray being out 6 weeks. That means he might get back for Vandy and a potential bowl game and that's it.
  20. dew1679666265
    Bears fans have been complaining about the Packers going from Favre to Rodgers. I'm going to feel the same way if/when the Colts go from Peyton to Luck. That's just unfair as the Titans trot Matt Hasselbeck and Jake Locker out there.
  21. dew1679666265
    I definitely think there would be interest there, but in order for B2B's deal to work, they'd have to value Colvin very highly. Because of his lack of patience and OBP potential, I don't think they'd put a lot of value in him. The cheapness and usefulness would make him a valuable piece to them as a throw-in, however.
  22. dew1679666265
    The question isn't whether the Rays would have motivation to deal Upton and Davis, the question is whether a 3 WAR cheap SS, a cheap OF with the upside of a 4th OF who has struggled to hit, and a nearly 30 year old first baseman who finally put together a big year in his (I believe) 5th year in AAA would be enough to make them bite. I don't think that offer comes close.
  23. dew1679666265
    Man the Titans have been bad today. Steelers have probably looked almost as good as ever as well. This game doesn't exactly fill me with confidence going forward.
  24. dew1679666265
    That's more likely to close negotiations (the Rays hanging up) than to open them. I can't imagine Colvin is the type of player the Rays would value very highly (given their highly statistical, patience/OBP approach) and LaHair won't carry any real value at all on the trade market. Barney might, but he'd be more of a throw-in with value than the centerpiece of a trade.
  25. dew1679666265
    Miami will have a lot to say about that. I only see two remotely winnable games on their schedule (Denver and Kansas City), which is much more difficult than that of the Rams. The Fish are headed for 1-15 while the Rams will pull out 2-3 wins, at worst. Don't forget the 0-4 and quarterbackless Colts.
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