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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Jason Ross
    If there's one thing that I can say looking at the offseason *so far* is that it's been fairly well mapped and planned. For example, we wondered a lot about why Bellinger was being considered moveable. Maybe it was to open up funds. Or to reinvest in the SP depth. But considering reports that the Astros already looked into Parades at the deadline (after we traded for him) and that we went hard after Tucker (Hoyer's comments between Soto signing and trading for Kyle paint the story of a defined plan for a while to end up with Tucker) seems as though the team had this planned from jump street. I'll extend that plan to now. Or at least...plans, as it may be a plan A, plan B and plan C type thing. Im fairly confident that the team is setting themselves up fairly well this offseason. And I quite like the look of things. Excited to see where they have this money marked for.
  2. Jason Ross
    Maybe. Maybe not. I hate saying this, but teams will break agreements with these kids in the case of Sasaki. I also wonder if throwing the entire IFA budget at him isn't necessary. If money was a sticker, he would have waited. This is, and has always been, about contract-number-2. Much like how Ohtani is cool with taking $1m and deferring due to sponserships, and I don't mean to suggest Sasaki is as marketable, but Sasaki may have enough sponserships in his pocket that he wouldn't need the whole thing.
  3. Jason Ross
    On one hand, it's a little silly the Cubs are so wound up constantly over money. On the other, it likely means the money was worth more to the Cubs than the difference in Warren to Poteet, so they likely are going to spend most all of it.
  4. Jason Ross
    Just $5m
  5. Jason Ross
    Big IFA flip
  6. Jason Ross
    Jed Hoyer got dragged a lot for his comments on Soto about sitting him out and making a choice about it. But these comments precluded those comments: Today Hoyer talked about the city of Chicago selling itself as well. I feel very confident that Hoyer traded for Tucker with the knowledge of what his market roughly was, and with an okay to offer him a contract in that market. I can't say how well it'll go, but I do think the Cubs sound very earnest on working to keep him.
  7. Jason Ross
    I don't think this is unexpected - this is what you say. But it's nice to at least hear it, regardless. Just a little bit.
  8. Jason Ross
    A really important quote from Jed Hoyer that I think has been painfully underreported as been this: This quote comes right before his quote about not going after Soto. And I think it was said on purpose. It says to me that the Cubs are serious about a Tucker extension. This feels like Hoyer giving everyone a preview that they'll make a real offer to him but it'll take a bit on both sides. I'm hoping it works out. Kyle Tucker should be in Chicago for a while.
  9. Jason Ross
    Just guessing, but it might be because RHH who hit the ball in the air would presumably be hitting more pullside HR's (thus taking the defense out of it) but as LHP's leave the ball out, hitters going the other way and hitting it in play would require stronger RF defense?
  10. Jason Ross
  11. Jason Ross
    Alright. Make it happen. All the lefties.
  12. Jason Ross
    I like Alcantara and Birdsell, but it's probably not a much bigger target than Luzardo, if we are being honest. Alcantara is a modest step up from Triantos but not a world-shifter, and while I think Birdsell has utility, he's probably not being looked at much more than a #5 future SP in a trade. Mule, while he has upside, is a massive lottery ticket.
  13. Jason Ross
    The contract isn't horrible, though. Sure, he's probably a bit more expensive than he should be. He's making $27.5m and based on a $9m/WAR quick napkin math, he's probably right there. Add in the $5m buyout when he walks, and you can argue he's a few million too much. With that said, the alternative is that the Cubs signed him to a multi-year extension at a lower AAV and he's signed for 5+ years longer. The Cubs shouldn't have to eat a ton. Bellinger at 1/25m, especially for a team willing to play him in CF, is probably fairly decent value. That's eating like $7.5m. Ultimately I expect the Cubs will trade him. This is a combination of the Cubs standing firm on their value and the Yankees trying to use the Tucker trade to their advantage and squeeze the Cubs a bit from a leverage standpoint. It's just trade negotiations from both sides The Cubs did the right thing and got Tucker over the finish line, this deal be damned.
  14. Jason Ross
    I am confident that the Cubs won't need to go to the Caissie level to get this done. This feels like a Triantos + Something not terrible as the return...and I'm okay with that. Luzardo is risky, but looking at his arm angle change, feels like he was suffering from some mechanical mistakes than can be cleaned up. If his elbow isn't going to explode, he's got plenty of upside.
  15. Jason Ross
  16. Jason Ross
    I think if the Cubs sign a lot of 1 year deals, or maybe, cheaper arbitration guys (Jesus Luzardo) then it shows they may have that money earmarked. It might not, but it could. They could sign some multi-year guys and move off of guys again next year - Happ, Suzuki, Hoerner and Taillon would be mostly movable as they enter the last years of their deal and that could further clear money up. But everyone would mostly know they were doing that.
  17. Jason Ross
    Sasaki and his agents have ben pretty steadfast they don't. As well, the way they've talked, they've made it clear he's willing to go outside of the West Coast and being in a small market may appeal to Sasaki as he doesn't love a ton of attention. As of right now, I get the feeling he's not going to end up with the Dodgers.
  18. Jason Ross
    Busch is not a 3b. We need to let that go. The Cubs had ample chance to give him a look there last year. They didnt. They won't this year.
  19. Jason Ross
    Why? Assad isn't particularly good. He's alright, but Wicks reworked his fastball last year. There's a pretty good arm there.
  20. Jason Ross
    This feels like the Marlins asked for Caissie but will eventually settle on Triantos + a smaller arm, like maybe Assad.
  21. Jason Ross
    I wouldn't pay Caissie. I think you can make an argument that Triantos is fine, here as long as he's doing most of the heavy lifting in the trade.
  22. Jason Ross
  23. Jason Ross
    Was speaking Ha-Seong. But Hyeseong has little interest for me. His bat looks like it sucks on ice. And while he may provide some defense, I think the Cubs are covered on "guys who play some defense but can't hit" with like, a Luis Vazquez.
  24. Jason Ross
    Probably not on the price he's going to command - the Cubs don't likely have the double digit figures over multiple seasons to give him.
  25. Jason Ross
    I doubt it. Workman posted a 140 in wRC+ in Double-A last year, which was about the same as Shaw's 148 he posted in Double-A, but the former's feels far less...exciting. He was a few years older, on his second go-around and struck out 10% more. Shaw then went on to post impressive numbers in Triple-A. I think the best answer is: Matt Shaw should be given the rope to go take the position.
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