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Jason Ross
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Everything posted by Jason Ross
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Umpire's facemask was broken. His chinguard popped off. Equipment manager was helping him out with it.
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This feels like a PCA 3-2 bomb. I'll delete this when I'm wrong.
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Thank you so much! I try to find the middle ground. Thank all of the middle schoolers I deal with 10 months of the year. They cannot emotionally regulate horsefeathers, so the only zen I have at times is to be the calm one.
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Absolutely. He's looked pretty good. Leadoff walk to Kwan was really his worst PA, but he's sitting on 7 whiffs so far. He's essentially gone fastball-changeup all day with how lefty heavy Cleveland is as well, meaning his best pitch (slider) has been rarely used).
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Shaw has seen a significant uptick in EV (almost 3mph), hard hit (over 10%) and LA over his last 10 games. He has seen a significant downtick in o-swing and an uptick in contact rate. This coincides with mechanical changes. He is literally the 6 unluckiest hitter in baseball according to BABIP vs xBABIP differential. He is in a situation where the processes are all getting much better but the results haven't followed yet. Please be patient. I will add, he has a 91 wRC+ over that span (league 3b is 96 wRC+). This is with a .273 BABIP that is still probably a bit on the low side. He doesn't appear lost at all.
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Yes. For the game. For the HR Derby and BP they have All-Star uniforms still. They also have special ASG hats for the game.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-3-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I predicted the Brown thing the moment he was demoted. This is how you give him a timeout from innings. Wiggins as well. He looked gassed last outing and walked four. He has pitched a lot more than he had in years so far. This is a timeout for load management almost assuredly, at least one Brown. I highly suspect the same for Wiggins with no announcements and his involvement in futures game. Nothing more. -
Ah yeah, could be that too! Gambling has become such a weird thing across sports. Only time for baseball to start getting nailed with it again.
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Yeah, whatever *this* is, feels like it's beyond your standard "IDK, this guy on something?" thing. For everyone potentially involved, I hope it comes out that nothing like that occurred.
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Right. But youre missing the point. If all you did was view it from a Cubs lens, Hader faced four hitters, didn't allow a base runner, and the worst outcome was a lineout. He was never in any serious trouble. Just a few days prior he surrendered runs to bad Angel's and A's teams. But unless youre an Astros, Angel's, or A's fan, you'd probably never know that Hader had outings like Palencia did in the past two weeks.
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Well...that's bananas.
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Entirely! Another example, we saw Josh Hader twice in Houston (one time for a full inning). He was really dominant in those four batters he faced. But on June 22nd and June 19th, in both appearances he surrendered runs to the Angels (two in this appearance) and the A's in save situations, giving up a combined three hits, and two walks. Hader has been one of the most dominant closers in baseball. From a Cub-perspective, that's (likely) the last time we see Hader all year. You'd believe, based on those two appearances that Hader has somehow been impervious to nights like Palencia had last night, When...it's a lot closer than what it seems. We just see every outing Palencia has compared to not seeing the June 19th and June 22nd Hader struggles.
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All closers do this sometimes. We just rarely see it because: 1. The Cubs are winning most games 2. For the really good ones, its less frequent. Most of us live in an isolated Cub-only-bubble and don't realize that all of the things that we find uniquely plague us, are really just normal baseball occurrences all teams deal with throughout a 162 game season.
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He is getting close. Have an article in the can examining his recent swing changes. The wRC+ recently hasnt been as kind as processes. Hard hit and EV are trending up. The more I see, the more I think we are teetering on a hot streak incoming.
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On one hand, kind of dumb PCA didnt stick at 3b. On the other, it just stops the inevitable Swanson-ground-out followed by the "he cant hit with runners on" talk... So...like...not sure which is worse?
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Shaw has the 6th worst BABIP to xBABIP in baseball. He deserved a little luck there.
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2019 me would be excited by this picture.
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You're good dude! Stats are dumb anyways.
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I've got their SP ERA at 4.30 which was 17th in June. The Twins were the worst at 5.59. They have been the 2nd worst since June 15th though!
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Being pedantic, from June 1st-June 30th they were fourth worst in overall ERA. 2nd worst BP ERA. Regardless, their xFIP isn't as bad, and suggests that they probably got a bit unlucky, though not much. But the injuries have really mounted. I'd guess they'll buy a few BP arms in July and stay afloat to make a playoff game. Though wouldn't back them as a particularly strong playoff roster unless the injuries lesson up and come back healthy.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-2-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I think we'll end up with a better arm than the rentals appear to be and one with control. No info, just hunch. My guess is that the Cubs will pick up: 1. A SP with more than just half a season of control 2. A RP 3. One bench bat who hits LHP. So I'd guess a loss of: (1-2) from the Caissie, Alcantara, Ballesteros, Rojas, Wiggins camp. Outside chance of Ben Brown being in this group depending on the SP some from the Long, Franklin, Triantos, Sanders tier of prospect. Just spitballing, but James Triantos feels like a great bench piece for this team down the stretch. Can run, multiple positions defensively...so I think we try to hold on to him. some random smattering of upsiders, think like Naz Mule, JP Wheat or any of the recent IFA's It'll depend on how good the SP is with how many from the top group is we lose. -
They'll probably be fine. Fangraphs has them at an 80% playoff team,
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-2-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Ballesteros got a knock sliding into home and was lifted. Hopefully a minor thing. But something to monitor. -
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-2-25
Jason Ross replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
My answer to this (as someone is a big Owen Caissie fan and he feels fairly likely to go) is always that I suspect in any trade in which we lose a Ballesteros or Wiggins that the return will be good enough to hopefully ignore the loss. I also think if Ballesteros goes, it lets you know how the Cubs feel about the defense. Just a hunch, but if they really are sold on the defense, he's probably the least likely to be traded in the hitter group. If they are pretty iffy on it, as a DH, he's just much less exciting.
