Regarding the 5 you have out that I don't, I've got all of them as needing to do some serious damage in their conference tourneys to make it. I'm also not sure I see a path for Nevada. And then I have Cal, Illinois, Indiana, Rhode Island, and Clemson as begging to be left out, which brings me to 2 teams short. And that doesn't get into teams like Iowa, Syracuse, or Vandy who should really win their first game.