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jumbo

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Everything posted by jumbo

  1. Hope you're right. The Over the Cap guy on Twitter predicted he would cancel out a pick, we'll see... Ifedi's deal is confirmed to be the veteran salary benefit, so it won't count in the comp formula. Right now OTCs pick cancellation chart projects 3 6ths and 1 7th for the Bears next year. KPLs deal. Could be borderline 6th though. https://overthecap.com/compensatory-draft-picks-cancellation-chart/ Nice. Makes me wonder if it makes him even more likely to trade away a 2021 draft pick to get a 3 or 4 this year. I almost expect it to happen
  2. I think Ifedi is going to wipe out their highest 6th round comp pick, so likely two 6ths and one 7th Still nice to accumulate some picks I'm kind of expecting him to not count against the comp formula. They really don't have much cap space to be offering deals above the comp line. Hope you're right. The Over the Cap guy on Twitter predicted he would cancel out a pick, we'll see...
  3. Just wait for 2021. They could end up with as many as 4 comp picks, all in the 6th round! That would be like 4 late round picks in a 12-15 pick spread. I think Ifedi is going to wipe out their highest 6th round comp pick, so likely two 6ths and one 7th Still nice to accumulate some picks
  4. Ouch, that's painful to read Roquan is our only hope
  5. Rapaport is reporting Germain Ifedi to the Bears, but Biggs hasn't reported the same thing. Is that really happening?
  6. So working from home has given me time to look at the Bears current roster and how things stack up at the moment: Offense (24) QB - 2 - Foles, Trubisky RB - 4 - Montgomery, Cohen, ______, Nall TE - 4 - Graham, Burton, ______, Harris WR - 6 - Robinson, Miller, Patterson, Wins, Ridley, ______ OL - 8 - Leno, Daniels, Whitehair, ______, Massie, Bars, Coward, ______ Defense (26) DL - 6 - Hicks, Goldman, RRH, Nichols, Urban, Anderson OLB - 5 - Mack, Quinn, Mingo, ______, Irving ILB - 5 - Smith, Trevathan, ______, Iggy, Woods CB - 5 - Fuller, ______, Skrine, Tolliver, Burns, Shelly/Roberson S - 5 - Jackson, ______, Bush, Lucas, Houston-Carson ST (3) Scales, ODonnell, Pineiro So the way I see it, we have obvious needs for starters at: RG, RCB, SS, TE-Y A backup/rotation player needed at: RB, ILB, T My priority: OL needs a G and a T. Maybe Bars and Coward compete for RG? Loser backs up G/T? This would be a nice time to draft a couple guys CB could be a competition between Tolliver and Burns, but we have nothing behind Fuller SS could be Bush, but I like him best as the backup to both SS and FS TE is a bit tricky, Graham and Burton are both U types, meaning Braunecker is gone. Shaheen, Harris, Holtz would be your Y-type, but I think Shaheen is replaced and we have a new Y-type with Harris or Holtz as #2 WR could use a speed guy, could be Patterson, I guess - could Horsted by the #6 WR to keep him on the roster until next season when we have some more roster movement at TE? RB needs a real backup to Montgomery that can run inside; Cohen is on the last year of his rookie deal ILB needs a backup ahead of Iggy, ideally, but he may be good for that OLB has a #3 in Mingo, but it would be great to get someone ahead of Irving Like others have said, trading down with the 2nd round picks has to be in play to pick up a 4 or 5. I may look at prior trade downs in the second to see what we could realistically get by trading back, but likely a slight trade down (5 spots let's say) gets us a 4 or 5, a significant trade down could get us a 3 and a 4 or 5.
  7. I don't remember which game, but I watched the outside receiver flash across the middle, wide open, and I jumped up yelling "he's open!" Trubisky danced around and checked down for a gain of 4-5 yards. The color guy recaps the play as Trubisky doing a good job of taking what's available and getting a gain on the play, he actually said, "Trubisky makes his read, doesn't see anything, checks it down to keep the chains moving," which I guess was accurate, but he DIDN'T see the wide open receiver and missed a huge gain. I wonder how pissed Nagy had to be due to this, and can only think that this is why he ended up sitting him down at the end of the season. Hard to buy that hip injury...
  8. Players aren’t forced to sign these contracts now. When a large portion of the country is currently unemployed because of the outbreak and another large portion will eventually be laid off because of the tanking economy, NFL players are at the very bottom on my list of who got horsefeathers most by this global pandemic. And this is IF they fail a physical that would limit their ability, or increase risk of them becoming unable, to perform at the expected level of the agreed upon contract. Most owners are terrible humans, but this is one thing I don’t really have a problem with them doing. I really hope Jimmy Graham runs into some trouble during his physical...
  9. Holy horsefeathers tell me this was photoshopped rofl. :lol: It wasn’t but a still frame makes it look a lot worse. Still pretty bad though https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/examining-if-the-bears-mitchell-trubisky-really-did-miss-a-wide-open-td-against-the-packers/amp/ You know, you kind of forget how absurdly bad he was at times until something like this appears and reminds you. I, for one, welcome our insect overlords, or Foles.
  10. I agree that trading for Dalton/Foles/Newton is not a great idea. I'd rather sign a washed up "pray for Tannehill" type or just a half-competent backup that's younger than Chase AND keep my eye on the draft for a QB to fall. They're essentially going the game manager route at QB in terms of roster construction. What are the odds a QB prospect is available in the 2nd? I'd rather use those picks to fill other holes, but you can't squander a defense with this much talent by holding a horsefeathers QB like Mitch or signing the Jimmy Graham of QBs (Newton/Dalton/etc.)
  11. Quinn is gauranteed 30MM, so it's probably over three years, maybe a low cap hit year one would save money over the $13MM that would have gone to Floyd. Seems hard to believe they have any money left at this point after Graham ($9MM guaranteed, probably some dead money in 21), Trevathan, RRH, Quinn, Eddie. Still have to add a CB, SS, 1-2 QBs and a WR to replace Gabriel. Deon Bush would be a good re-sign.
  12. What is less than optimal? I would have preferred Kwitkowski unless he was just too expensive Maybe the expectation is that Kwitkowski nets a comp pick - I've read that he's being looked at as a starter by teams in FA. Trevathan costs them nothing in the comp pick calculation, and likely will have signed for less than Kwit will get. Granted, for Kwit to net a comp pick we would have to sign players only for less than his contract amount, which seems impossible if a journeyman starting-level QB is signed. I think Roquan, Travethan, PIerre-Louis, Woods/Iggy is a solid ILB group.
  13. jumbo

    Golf thread

    My advice is to find any course/shop with a Trackman/fitters. I had to go a couple hours from home to find one but it is a great experience and last time I went we confirmed that new iron sets were not a better fit than my current set. PS - Get yourself a 3-wheeled push cart. They are awesome.
  14. Hitting 0 on the play clock does not make it delay of game. Its delay of game when it hits zero on the play clock and the back judge blows his whistle. If the play gets off before he blows his whistle it is not a penalty A flag fest in the Super Bowl would have been net negative. I liked the way it played out. I wish regular games would be called this way instead of every ticky-tack penalty getting called. This game was more about the teams than the refs. That's a good thing, but it definitely was not consistent with what we've become accustomed.
  15. https://www.prosportstransactions.com/football/DraftTrades/Future/Bears.htm This one is good. I thought we had a compensatory 4th for Amos and a 5th for Callahan, too, but it looks like the CLinton-Dix signing negated that pick. That's the one I found but it's GD unreadable Yeah, it could be better. Just glancing at Oakland's schedule I see them winning maybe 5 games this season. A top 40 pick is near certain with their 2. That's high enough to get a first round caliber player. Their fifth would be like a fourth rounder using the same logic. Still start with 7 picks min. The Amos pick is a 4th rd comp, not 5th that i listed in the last post, so it's 2 OAK 2 CHI 4 COMP 5 OAK (conditional) 5 CHI 5/6 PHI 6 CHI 7 CHI
  16. https://www.prosportstransactions.com/football/DraftTrades/Future/Bears.htm This one is good. I thought we had a compensatory 4th for Amos and a 5th for Callahan, too, but it looks like the CLinton-Dix signing negated that pick. https://overthecap.com/compensatory-draft-picks-cancellation-chart/ So yeah, 2 (Oak), 2, 5Cond (Oak), 5, 5Comp, 5/6 (Phi), 6, 7, for 2020
  17. I think we've seen a lot of growth from Mitch throughout the season. The games against the Rams didn't show that, but I see it in a specific way: 1. When Mitch is playing with instincts/knowing the play/knowing the read, he performs well (first read is best, but that's probably true for many qb's) 2. When Mitch is overthinking/unsure of the defense/forced to go through his read progressions, he performs poorly. What percentage of plays fit description 1 versus description 2? Throughout the season this percentage has increased steadily. His results on type 2 are still interceptions; a team playing him tough will increase type 2 throws. I always hated the Good Rex/Bad Rex binary view, and I realize this is essentially that, but over this season I think we've seen progress. Hopefully we see that against GB and beyond. Teams will certainly identify these obvious weaknesses and scheme towards them, so Nagy/Helfrich/Ragone have a clear task at hand. I'm looking forward to Sunday to see what happens.
  18. New policy: Any Dale Gribbel mention gets a heart from me
  19. How soon can they get out of Cousins deal? Has to be at least 2 more years? His 3 yr contract was fully guaranteed
  20. Both #2 overall picks that put up good stats early in their career, neither of which meets the eye test. I actually think this is a good comparison. Bortles was 3, I think
  21. The Aikman Ratings used to be my secret weapon in my pick the winner Yahoo football pool. (Not the best strategy, btw) As of week 5, Bears were #1 week 6, 2 week 7, 3
  22. I am telling myself that once he gets comfortable and just plays he might be OK. There was a busted play in week two where he rolled right and dropped a pass over a linebacker to Cohen that looked like pure instinct on his part. How much is Nagy pumping into him every week as far as telling him how to process reads, etc.? Is it confusing him or maybe making him try to be too mechanical abut his play? It's like he doesn't know the offense well enough (or Nagy's instructions or maybe just reading a defense, yet) but maybe once he gets it (if he gets it) he can play fast/loose and not overthink it. I've always been an optimistic fan, so obviously I am trying to squint enough to see a positive future with him, because there is no backup plan for the organization over the next few years.
  23. I got one. Thanks for posting the link
  24. Rizzo and Heyward set up closest to and farthest from the plate
  25. I don't have a problem with the Meredith decision if the team doesn't like him or if they think his knee is going to be problematic this year. I do have a problem with depleting depth on a roster that is thin on talent overall. Sitton - I realize he's not a Guard of the future but he would have been just fine this year assuming he's not the exact opposite of what Nagy wants to do. Even if he was and you draft a G in the second round, let the draft pick earn the job on the field and push Sitton to the bench. Then when an injury strikes the interior OL you have a starter caliber player stepping in instead of Grasu or Morgan. Yes, he would be an expensive backup. Yes, having three starting G for two positions is too many, but it creates depth and forces competition. Those are both good things. Further, with Kush you don't have to draft anyone now with Sitton/Long starting and Kush a very capable backup. G could have been a late round pick but now could command a higher pick be used. Meredith - A lot of the same above. You have Robinson and Meredith both coming off injuries, White is unproven as he hasn't been available to play. If Robinson gets hurt again you are now rolling out Gabriel, White, Bellamy, Draft pick although with Cohen and the TEs you still have a lot of pass catchers. My diagnosis of Meredith is this: Pace tags him for $1.9M, finding the upside to be worth the risk at this price. At $2.9M, the upside is no longer worth the risk OR he wants to bait some team to sign him to a 3/$6M contract that he can match and keep the guy for pennies on the dollar. I think the latter was Pace's strategy and it backfired. I would have kept him on that price, which is 1/$5.4 guaranteed. Depth/competition/dry powder on draft capital. Most of the other cuts I agree with. I think I would have kept Willie Young around for $3.5M even with adding Lynch. Maybe would have kept Demps in that secondary as an experienced backup. Sitton and Meredith are the only real losses that I wish didn't happen.
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