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Northside Blues

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Everything posted by Northside Blues

  1. Northside Blues
    so i think its safe to say matt garza is going to fly past 200 ks if he stays healthy. my lord.
  2. Northside Blues
    It's not just power-hitting outfielders. Between Girardi debuting during the tail end of 1989 and Soto playing a game in 2005, who was the best position player to come up through the Cubs' system to actually play for the Cubs? Doug Glanville? Corey Patterson? Ryan Theriot? Carlos Zambrano? Kidding. Highest career OPS by hitters who came up through the Cubs system since 89ish min 400 career PA including Walton and pre Soto. .786, 106 OPS+ Hee Seop Choi .755, 102 OPS+ Dwight Smith .746, 89 OPS+ Brant Brown .742, 100 OPS+ Rick Wilkins .730, 88 OPS+ Ozzie Timmons .719, 87 OPS+ Roosevelt Brown .717, 92 OPS+ Derrick May .709, 85 OPS+ Kevin Orie .708, 92 OPS+ Jerome Walton .704, 83 OPS+ Ryan Theriot .697, 80 OPS+ Corey Patterson .695, 78 OPS+ Doug Glanville .693, 83 OPS+ Bobby Hill .666, 72 OPS+ Joe Girardi And I left a few out... edit: yes i was wrong about murton. dunno why i included him.
  3. Northside Blues
    i remember reading in baseball prospectus that brett jackson might become the first homegrown outfielder to put up a .270 equivalent average (now i think they're calling it true average) and 15 home runs since - billy williams! that's not exactly a high bar to clear; 15 home runs is mediocre for an outfielder and .270 is just a shade above average. to have not developed an outfielder like that in 35 or 40 years is just appalling. Wow, that's incredible. And inexcusable. It's also a bit of a lie. Tyler Colvin was over that last year. I don't think he had enough PA's so it's really not a lie. I guess Kosuke Fukudome doesn't count because he was a Japanese product and is a few homers short.
  4. Northside Blues
    well we always wanted prior
  5. Northside Blues
    to be fair IMB, we have about 16 or 17 innings of garza now! in all seriousness, he hasnt been terrible. unlucky...yes. great?....not really. and chris archer has a 7:6 k:bb in the minors this year...
  6. Northside Blues
    this is funny. after an 0-1 count this year, hitters have a 771 OPS against him after a 1-1 count this year, hitters have a 423 OPS against him lol
  7. Northside Blues
    My hunch is that they are fairly set on Vitters going to first base, provided that someone can emerge at 3rd (namely, LeMahieu). If LeMahieu's power stroke develops, it wouldn't surprise me if they made third his, and just shifted Vitters to first full-time. So they're going to shift Pujols back to 3B then? Pujols at 3B, Fielder at 1B, and trade the farm for Ichiro and King Felix. Now THAT'S what I call all in. Of course, Cubs do that. Felix gets hurt. Ichiro runs into a wall and Fielder goes vegan. And Pujols stops hitting because he's secretly 45.
  8. Northside Blues
    I really think Jackson could become a (good) Sizemore clone. Here's to hoping.
  9. Northside Blues
    a no doubter. Score! Was it a no doubter? I didn't catch the first six innings of the game.
  10. Northside Blues
    im calling Z's first HR of the year today.
  11. Northside Blues
    I believe Jeff Fassero is.
  12. Northside Blues
    Lee put up OPSes of .913, .823, and .972 in '07, '08, and '09. I'm not sure it would have been reasonable to expect him to ever repeat his '05 performance. He was still a darn good player after his wrist healed completely. IIRC, the power was just never the same though. Yeah his IsoP was about 40 points lower than his late Marlin days post wrist injury.
  13. Northside Blues
    It's amazing how quickly the tide can turn. My god. Grow up.
  14. Northside Blues
    Okay then well him bulking up over the last few months is certainly only going to make it more likely for him to develop some power in his game.
  15. Northside Blues
    DJ LeMahieu is 6'4" and probably doesn't weigh any more than 175 lbs. He's just 22 still and I don't know how many hitters who are 6'4" in the majors have 072 IsoP. My guess would border on zero. He's yet to fill out his rather large frame and once he does the power will come. He may develop it late, but he should have some when it's all said and done. Patience on the other hand is different.
  16. Northside Blues
    Perhaps this is a non-sequitur, but thus far Prince has been remarkably durable/consistent by comparison to those listed above. In Fielder's first 5 full seasons, he's appeared in no fewer than 157 games, playing all 162 in 2009. Of the guys listed, only 3 (Canseco at ages 21-23, Hrbek at age 25 and Davis at ages 25 and 28) ever appeared in 157+ games in any of their first 5 full seasons (6 total out of 45 seasons), and none in more than 159 games. I merely picked guys off his Baseball-Ref comps. Nothing more than that. I really don't have a preference either way. However I would advise the Cubs not to go for more than 5 years. If he wants 6 or 7 only do it for a lower annual pay, or at the very least make year 6 or 7 a vesting option based on performances in years 5 and 6, respectively. I'd much rather give him 125 mil over 5 years than 160 mil over 8.
  17. Northside Blues
    it stands good reason to believe that he's going to age most like the guy that shares the most DNA with him. if you dont like that: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hafnetr01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gentiji01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/strawda01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gonzaju03.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cansejo01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hrbekke01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/fullmbr01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/davisgl01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sorrepa01.shtml
  18. Northside Blues
    Not nearly as much as Brewer fans will hate Prince Fielder when he defects to the Cubs. It really is the reasonable option over 10 years of Pujols. Agreed But how many years will it take to sign Prince? He's certainly a great option over the next 2-3 years but we don't need another Soriano on our hands. Fielder would be 28 next season. Soriano was 31 when the Cubs signed him. Fielder is also much better at baseball than Soriano. I'm not sure why you think a 27-year-old only has "2-3 great years" left in him. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/fieldce01.shtml
  19. Northside Blues
    brett tomko? hes alive?
  20. Northside Blues
    While he was with the Yankees, Mariano Rivera taught him how to get people out. And just brushing against Jeter a few times while walking past him in the dugout probably made Wood a winner. Wood has actually been to the playoffs 4 times as a Cub. Yeah but we would have won Game 7 in 2003 if Wood had come in contact with Jeter.
  21. Northside Blues
    http://mit.zenfs.com/121/2011/04/Brewers.jpg He's certainly a jackass, but that's awesome. LMAO.
  22. Northside Blues
    Slowey's hurt. Speaking of Gorzey, I really wish we kept a hold of him now.
  23. Northside Blues
    It's no secret that last year was historically bad, even for us. Here are the RAs for our pens since 2006 2010 5.57 2009 4.21 2008 4.57 2007 3.90 2006 4.51 That's a full run worse than the second worst. If you replace our pen with the average 2006-09 RA our pythag wins would go from 72.7 to 79.3, a whopping 6.5 wins. If you replaced it with a 4.10 RA pen, we'd be at .500. Regardless just by sheer luck our pen should be right where it was on average from 06-09. Marshall-Wood-Marmol is going to be great if they're healthy. So even if our rotation and offense don't improve this year we should be looking at an 79-80 win team. Of course our offense will be better. Rotation won't. That will put us in the low to mid 80s. Just some food for thought. Our pen has given up 7 runs in 19 innings thus far, a 3.31 RA. We won't keep that up, but if we did it would have us starting at 85 wins :(. It's why we've got a great shot to be the 2008 Rays.
  24. Northside Blues
    Craig makes a great point. Simpson isnt coming from the SEC. He is coming from D2.
  25. Northside Blues
    So opening day was just about perfect as far as the minors went.
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