Aaron_Kennelly
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Everything posted by Aaron_Kennelly
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According to Yankees broadcast, yes. Way down. Back to 84-85. I have a question some one here might be able to help me with. Where do the TV broadcasts get velo readings from? Are they using the Statcast data? If so, that would explain Kyle being back "down," since I am near certain Wrigley's Trackman isn't calibrated properly.
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I'm interested to see where Severino is on Sunday. I think he's the fastest throwing guy to make a start in Wrigley this year, off the top of my head, who we will get to track for multiple innings (avg 97 MPH on his FB this year, topped out at 100 and hasn't been below 93.9). He's been between 96.5 and 97.5 MPH every start this year on his average FB velo. I bet he's "95" on Sunday.
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Today, Lackey's velo was down nearly 2 mph across the board from his last two outings. Eflin's velo was down about 1 mph across the board from all of his previous starts, too. Lackey's now made 3 starts on the road, in which the average velo on his four-seam fastball has been at least 91.6 mph in all of them. In his 3 starts at home, his average velo hasn't been above 90.6 mph in any of them.
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Fly it!
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Stud.
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Nice.
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seriously?
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Javy is so good.
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ugh...
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Walk us off, KB.
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MIGGY!
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Joe's game plan today: "If you guys thought it's been ugly so far, wait until you see which guys I play today!"
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Please no more Grimm in tight games.
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How did he call him out there?
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Javy!
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http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/facebook/000/073/178/President-George-W.-Bush-Mission-Accomplished.jpg
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Real bold prediction, then.
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MLB really fucked this up bad. I've been following along on Tom Tango's blog as he is introducing new things and bouncing things off of people. And people are pissed. The sabermetricians, the Brooks Baseball guys, etc., have been losing their horsefeathers on Tango all year. They aren't releasing everything to the public, and haven't even been mentioning when they change things. And Tango hasn't been very receptive to suggestions and warnings from others. His blog has been a hornet's nest full of angry mathematicians.
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So I found this. These velo readings are fucked. Absolutely fucked. Wrigley's reading are just bad. If we ignore the Wrigley readings, it looks like Jon and Jake are about 1 mph lower than last year. Kyle is about 1.5 lower. Lackey's about .5 or so lower. Now, league-wide, I believe most guys are up about .5 mph, too. Jake started off really low and built up some. Same with Lackey. But that horsefeathers with Kyle throwing 84 was probably [expletive], I'd imagine. He's been around 86.5 before and after on the road. And Jake and Jon building up velo and then dropping back down the last two nights doesn't make much sense. And there is a lot more error in other parks, too. So who knows what the hell is going on? I'd say our guys have lost velocity, but probably only around an mph or so. Nothing too terrifying. Especially when you consider them being eased in and heavy workloads last year... maybe they are still working up to max because of the light workload in the spring? Regardless, these Statcast readings are [expletive] and we can't compare these to PITCHf/x from previous years.
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So... they are missing the data from his first inning -- and I remember a lot of 93 and some 94 in the first -- but Brooks Baseball has Arrieta's velocity down about 1 mph across the board from where he was the last two starts, which, yes, were on the road. Eickoff's velo was about 1 mph down across the board from every other start he's had this year, too.
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[tweet] [/tweet] Predictable for that scumbag.
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We were spoiled last year. What was the stat soccer10k posted earlier today, that our RD was like +95 at this point last year? It's really only that. There are going to be a ton more dog fights unless the rotation gets back to what we are accustomed to. But it's not really worrisome or bad. We can still be really good without blowing everyone out. Fair enough. It probably feels more strange to me because we start every single game down by a run or two after an inning. That could be it, too. And it probably is, at least mentally, for us fans. And, sure, I'd love to blow some teams out, too. I think those blowouts will come. But until we get this rotation back on track, it's not going to be easy. The key is fixing it -- through trade or just guys improving. But we can survive alright until that happens.
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Definitely not universal praise. In fact, the furthest thing from it. But, there was also concern he wouldn't be healthy. I suppose that is still a concern that lingers. But he's horsefeathering nails right now. He's pitching at the level he was at when he was at his very best. Which is amazing, because his spring training was complete ass. Joe said he'd be fine. I think I believe him. Ok, I say it every year, but next year is the year I *finally* don't pay attention to Spring Training at all.
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We were spoiled last year. What was the stat soccer10k posted earlier today, that our RD was like +95 at this point last year? It's really only that. There are going to be a ton more dog fights unless the rotation gets back to what we are accustomed to. But it's not really worrisome or bad. We can still be really good without blowing everyone out.