Cubswin11
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He’s probably toast but worth doing the due diligence
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Yeah LT is calculated by full guaranteed dollars over full guaranteed years. So he’s a $18 mil hit a year guy for 3 years then “free” in year 4. Looks like they’re just valuing short term actual cash outlay over everything. That option/buyout doesn’t make any sense otherwise. huh...can multiple option years be done this way? If so, then bye-bye luxury tax. Just structure all years past year 1 in a contract this way. No idea if that’s allowed but then you’d have teams going way over for a year and with the different levels and repeater stuff I don’t think that’s a work around. Since any remotely significant FA add would be a $50-100+ mil LT hit their first year. I don’t think it’s all that much easier to stay under the LT modeling this way. Between Arb/player control yearly raises then having to sign some sort of FA under this model (if it’s even allowed, maybe there’s some rules with structuring that way). We are also talking only a small amount of teams this model would help since most teams don’t even run up to the LT. Like even for the Cubs the last few years (2017-2020) we probably run up to and past the LT using the current way or this “work around way.” I think you get a slight present value break on the LT if part of the guaranteed money is spread out over years past the life of the actual contract. Edit: Feinsand seems to back up the LT being calculated this way
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Yeah LT is calculated by full guaranteed dollars over full guaranteed years. So he’s a $18 mil hit a year guy for 3 years then “free” in year 4. Looks like they’re just valuing short term actual cash outlay over everything. That option/buyout doesn’t make any sense otherwise.
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$18 mil AAV for a soon to be 33 year old closer doesn’t seem like the wisest use of funds
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Extend him
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Why does the return need to have MLB ready pieces? If they’re both being traded, the plan must be to not compete until 2023 or later. Not that I want another ~30 year old coming back but I do feel like we would want a little more MLB certainty coming back (even if it’s just well thought of prospects 1-2 years away) vs just A ball prospect lotto tickets like the Darvish deal. Bryant especially, since you have the comp pick in the bag.
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Schwarbs Signs 1 Year Deal With Nationals
Cubswin11 replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
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This seems kinda ominous, like the tweet before the tweets we hear something is going down
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Oh great! I don't typically trust randos, but randos rarely commit to such specific timelines for things unprompted. I'd guess, given the rumors the past week or so, he's expecting Willson or KB to go somewhere? Yeah one of those two would be my guess. He’s popped up before and broken stuff, think he was very early on Yu or Kimbrel signing and has broken other moves. He’s loosely affiliated with Barstool, iirc, and they have guys who know and talk to people.
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Schwarbs Signs 1 Year Deal With Nationals
Cubswin11 replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
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Deserves it own thread probably, thanks for the memories buddy.
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Fine depth but I think we may be looking at a Martini/Ervin LF platoon, which is embarrassing for a large market team and something the As or Rays or Brewers would do but it also might be kinda good? Martini vs RHP: .297/.395/.420, 127 wRC+, 12/20 BB/K rates, 84% contact rate Ervin vs LHP: .277/.352/.459, 113 wRC+, 10/21 BB/K,
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Obviously that should be an out, but man that’s some easy power to one hop the wall one handing that and being out in front.
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I believe he’d be available for KB. He can’t play defense and there’s no NL DH this year and they have Alonso. Idk why we’d be interested in him since he’s a fringe 1B at best and there’s no certainty a DH is coming to the NL for good anytime soon. Because we have an aging 1B who is a FA next season and is going to want near 20M a year. Rizzo isn’t getting $20 mil AAV and Smith is borderline unplayable defensively if he isn’t OPS’ing close to 1.000. And I think we extend Rizzo anyways so Smith doesn’t really fit. I’d rather target a different return for KB with the Mets or someone else.
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I don't believe for a minute that dominic smith is available. At least not for 1 season of Bryant. He has put up a .957 OPS over the last 2 seasons, good for a 149 wRC+ and 390 wOBA. I believe he’d be available for KB. He can’t play defense and there’s no NL DH this year and they have Alonso. Idk why we’d be interested in him since he’s a fringe 1B at best and there’s no certainty a DH is coming to the NL for good anytime soon.
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It doesn’t upset me, just thought he was a nice target. Especially for $1.1 million they're not hiring a GM because they can't afford one, they aren't signing actual baseball players. I’m 50/50 at best the GM thing is a money saving/can’t afford thing vs actually doing a thorough process of picking the next GM. But regardless.
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In all seriousness, why are you allowing guys not coming to the Cubs upset you? It doesn’t upset me, just thought he was a nice target. Especially for $1.1 million. I expect us to at least be in on guys at that level.
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Stanek to the Astros, Damn it Cubs
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Same. And I fear aiming higher is JBJ and I am not a big fan of his or his fit on this team. I’d rather have Grossman over him to begin with all factors included. JBJ's a good news/bad news thing. Like if the rumor is true we can play in the 8 figure salary end of the pool. That's exciting! But I think like you if that's the case I have other guys I'd rather target. Yup, if we’re able to go there I’d rather spread that money out to multiple guys or get in on like Odorizzi, Didi, Brantley, Semien or Wong.
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That is extremely annoying I really hope this is because we're aiming higher for our starting OF spot and Grossman wanted a full-time gig. But my confidence in that being the case is...not high. Same. And I fear aiming higher is JBJ and I am not a big fan of his or his fit on this team. I’d rather have Grossman over him to begin with all factors included.
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Damn it Cubs, he was a nice fit and that’s cheap
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Herbert needs to be saved from the Chargers
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Not saying he has Zobrist type value, just he fits the role of what Zobrist did where he really isn’t a starter anywhere but is starting almost every day somewhere and does the switch hitting/contact thing.
