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CubsWin

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Everything posted by CubsWin

  1. CubsWin
    How many years would you go? I'd go 5 easy, with a team option for a 6th at a high salary. He turns 29 next January but only has 416 major league innings to go along with 485 minor league frames. Contrast that with EJax who is 29 now and coming into this season had 1,268 major league innings and 556 in the minors. Plus, Samardzija is very athletic and keeps himself in excellent shape. 5 years on any pitcher is a gamble, but he seems like a good bet.
  2. CubsWin
    I haven't been following the Sox at all this year. When I saw Dunn's AVG and OBP on his stat line graphic when he came up to bat, I burst out laughing. Man, is that bad.
  3. CubsWin
    Alcantara with another walk today to go along with a single and his 15 SB while being caught just once.
  4. CubsWin
    He had a good outing today... His stats as of 5/18...
  5. CubsWin
    Odd. I wish him luck. I sat next to him a couple years back during a spring training game that he was logging. Nice kid.
  6. CubsWin
    That is exactly why I was pushing him as a top 10 prospect in the system this winter. It's not that I necessarily "buy" Alcantara, but as I said this winter, it's more that the "biography", his tools, and his performance dictated that he should be top 10. I do regret not pushing harder for Alcantara over Villanueva, though. Worst case scenario seems to be that we have an intriguing trade asset for a couple years (it's hard for me to think that Alcantara doesn't have some decent-solid trade value right now). Best case? He moves to 2nd base and becomes a number 2 type hitter. Not hard to envision 10-15 HR type power from him, and he doesn't strike out a ton. It's a nice asset to have. As excited as I am about the potentially big splashes we are likely to make in the international market, one thing Hendry's regime did somewhat well in was find intriguing raw Latin American assets, focusing on a quantity approach. I know. I think it was you and Tim who sold me on him.
  7. CubsWin
    Just thought I'd remind everyone that Arismendy Alcantara is a 21-year-old SS in AA with the physical ability to stay at that prime position though his technique and execution still need work. He was signed as a 17-year-old, played one year in the DSL, skipped Arizona, played as an 18-year-old in Boise (like Candelario and Almora), has never repeated a level, and it doesn't look like he'll be back in AA next year. He has doubled his walk rate over the last two years with a barely rising K-rate and is an extremely efficient base stealer (25/4 in 2012, 14/1 so far in 2013) who is on pace to basically double his HR-rate from last season. He is doing this with a BABIP of .325 indicating that he hasn't been overly fortunate to date. Did I mention he's a 21-year-old SS in AA...
  8. CubsWin
    Yeesh - 130 pitches. Thats the problem with college pitchers. If the Cubs have a top 3 pick, I want Touki, Alex Jackson or Trea Turner. Right now they have the 4th pick. Would you take Rodon there? Love what I'm reading on Touki...
  9. CubsWin
    I was poking around last night, and I found two interesting things as it pertained to Baez. There were some very good hitters who posted poor numbers in A+ as 20 year olds. Most notably, Robinson Cano. .276/.313/.377. Miguel Cabrera was a little better as a 19 year old in A+ but no great shakes (.274/.333/.421). Matt Kemp walked 25 times versus 92 Ks, and CarGo had 30 walks and K'd 104 both as 20 year olds in A+. Carlos Beltran had a much better 2:1 ratio but only hit .229/.311/.363 while the same age and at the same level as Baez. But what really stood out to me was the sheer number of talented hitters who's numbers took a big jump from A+ to AA and from their age 20 to their age 21 years. It seemed to be a fairly consistent trend. If Baez had a K/BB ratio in line with those guys, we wouldn't be having the conversations. I don't care much about slash lines at this level one way or the other. But when the K/BB ratio peaked at over 7, that's worth being concerned over. After tonight, it's still 6:1. I love your work. Since your comments 7 games ago, Baez has hit .414, scored 8 runs, smashed 3 doubles, a triple and has a 1:1 K/BB ratio. I don't know how you do it.
  10. CubsWin
    Interesting fact. While destroying MWL pitching last year, Baez had almost the exact walk and strikeout totals as he does right now. Last year, 9 walks versus 48 strikeouts. This year, 8 walks and 48 strikeouts.
  11. CubsWin
    Thank you.
  12. CubsWin
    I was poking around last night, and I found two interesting things as it pertained to Baez. There were some very good hitters who posted poor numbers in A+ as 20 year olds. Most notably, Robinson Cano. .276/.313/.377. Miguel Cabrera was a little better as a 19 year old in A+ but no great shakes (.274/.333/.421). Matt Kemp walked 25 times versus 92 Ks, and CarGo had 30 walks and K'd 104 both as 20 year olds in A+. Carlos Beltran had a much better 2:1 ratio but only hit .229/.311/.363 while the same age and at the same level as Baez. But what really stood out to me was the sheer number of talented hitters who's numbers took a big jump from A+ to AA and from their age 20 to their age 21 years. It seemed to be a fairly consistent trend.
  13. CubsWin
    Daytona puts up a 5 spot in the 10th. Soler now 2-for-5 with 2 RBI, Baez 2-for-4 with 2 runs scored, a walk and a strikeout. Thats 4 multi-hit games and 3 walks in his last 5 contests.
  14. CubsWin
    Szczur continues to produce in AA starting off the game with a double and run scored. Villanueva continues his hot streak by following that up with a 2-out double. He is tied for the league lead with 13 and has now raised his average to .270.
  15. CubsWin
    Um, what are you trying to do? You're supposed to say something like it will never last. Or I really want to believe these last two weeks are a new trend, but...I don't. Come on, man.
  16. CubsWin
    Good work, Kyle. Keep it coming. You're working wonders so far. Since your May 14th comment on Baez: 6 games, 10-25 (.400), 6 runs, 3 doubles, 1 triple, 2 K/2 BB.
  17. CubsWin
    Well, he did just say that Moscoso, Negrin and Yeiper Castillo shouldn't be anywhere near the major leagues so maybe the Cubs bullpen problems are solved...
  18. CubsWin
    Or leapfrog to AAA. Wouldn't he be a minor league FA again next year? At 24, he's probably more polished than a lot of the guys that are given a shot via the Rule 5. Negrin and Mosocoro would be in line ahead of him, but my point is that next time we need a reliever called up, we should take a look at one of these guys rather than have Coleman or Dolis rack up another set of frequent flyer miles. Who would you like to drop from the 40-man roster? I think there's an extra spot or 2. If not; or even if there is, 1. Camp 2. Rusin 3. Raley 4. McNutt Rusin and Raley should be far more effective relievers than Moscoso or Negrin. And they're southpaws. They are in short supply, especially on the Cubs. I don't see it, SCS.
  19. CubsWin
    I'd be shocked if the Rockies made that pick with Gray available. It could be his agent telling teams he won't sign with them. I mean, what pitcher wants to go to Colorado? But what about teams thinking he's a risky bet to continue pitching the way he is given his short track record of this kind of success? I'd understand if the Rockies passed on him for those two reasons.
  20. CubsWin
    No, you're right. We probably really don't...
  21. CubsWin
    Clearly, I cursed his performance today. Damnit, Tim. Someone get Kyle. No, seriously. This isn't a joke. Someone get Kyle. On Tuesday, May 14th, Alcantara had gone 0-4 and was mired in a terrible slump that had dropped his avg to .234. I commented on how cold he had gotten and asked Kyle to say something negative about him so that he would break out of his slump. He did. A minute later, Alcantara drove in the winning run with a single in the 10th. Since Kyle's comment, Arismendy's gone 8-16 with 3 doubles and HR. He's raised his average 22 points in the last 4 games. In the same thread, Tim asked Kyle to "energy blast" Javier Baez who's avg had fallen to .237. He did. In the 6 games prior to Kyle's comment, Baez had gone 5-25 with 2 runs scored, striking out 9 times with no walks. In the 4 games since, he's gone 7-18 with 5 runs scored, 1 strikeout and 1 walk, raising his avg 18 points. Do we have a...Kyle signal of some kind?
  22. CubsWin
    Maybe Castillo should get to AA first. Or leapfrog to AAA. Wouldn't he be a minor league FA again next year? At 24, he's probably more polished than a lot of the guys that are given a shot via the Rule 5. Negrin and Mosocoro would be in line ahead of him, but my point is that next time we need a reliever called up, we should take a look at one of these guys rather than have Coleman or Dolis rack up another set of frequent flyer miles. Who would you like to drop from the 40-man roster?
  23. CubsWin
    On Tuesday, May 14th, Alcantara had gone 0-4 and was mired in a terrible slump that had dropped his avg to .234. I commented on how cold he had gotten and asked Kyle to say something negative about him so that he would break out of his slump. He did. A minute later, Alcantara drove in the winning run with a single in the 10th. Since Kyle's comment, Arismendy's gone 8-16 with 3 doubles and HR. He's raised his average 22 points in the last 4 games. In the same thread, Tim asked Kyle to "energy blast" Javier Baez who's avg had fallen to .237. He did. In the 6 games prior to Kyle's comment, Baez had gone 5-25 with 2 runs scored, striking out 9 times with no walks. In the 4 games since, he's gone 7-18 with 5 runs scored, 1 strikeout and 1 walk, raising his avg 18 points. Kyle, if I give you my powerball numbers, would you denigrate them for me?
  24. CubsWin
    I've always been under the impression that 21 is age appropriate for Low A, Short Season - 20/19, Rookie - 19/18 and so on. And by age appropriate I mean that is the age of a majority of the players at that level. If you are a top prospect you're probably a year or two ahead of that pace. I'm curious what other people think and why. Thanks.
  25. CubsWin
    I saw him at Fitch when I went to spring training. But I don't remember seeing him included in AZPhil's reports lately.
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