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mcgoobs

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Everything posted by mcgoobs

  1. It could really be one of Z, Soto, or Aramis. Z: Havng his best season since 2004 and is coming through nicely with the bat. Soto: Does he deserve some credit with how he calls the game? I don't know. But his bat is just heavenly. The sound Soto's bat makes when he gets a hold of one sends tingles down my spine. Aramis: All around stud.
  2. Assuming he maintains his performance and doesn't get injured, I think those numbers are in line with what a desperate GM would give Dempster. The Cubs would be wise to pass if Dempster is offered anything more than three years at $10M per. He's been a very pleasant surprise this year, but 4 years for a 31-year old pitcher who only returned to the starting role after a five-year stint as a reliever is too aggressive.
  3. I think everytime except for two times the Cubs have been on Fox over the past two years, there has been a Yankees or Mets game on that has superceded it. Lame.
  4. Aramis has historically hit much better in the 2nd half of seasons. 2005-07 Splits: Pre ASG BA/OBP/SLG: .289/.343/.527 Post ASG BA/OBP/SLG: .317.378.603 If he has another 100 point increase in his OPS this would end up being his best season ever.
  5. Quite frankly, there isn't a 3rd baseman I would take over ARam.....right now, or for the foreseeible future. A-Rod because of overall performance? David Wright because of age?
  6. Jeter and its not particularly close. Just look at the RC. It's almost laughable. Theriot 2008 RC/G: 5.2 Jeter 2008 RC/G: 4.4 MCGOOBWNED Not even close. You cannot look at a half of a year's worth of data. Look at the runs created for their career each year. Jeter got off to a terrible start this year. The question was who would you rather have this season, and who would you rather from next season until the end of their careers. I'm not sure what information you're looking at to back up that Jeter is the answer to both parts of the question, and that the difference between him and Theriot is "laughable" and "not even close." Theriot has performed noticably better this year offensively, is a superior defender, and is 5 years younger than Jeter who has shown a clear decline in his performance over the past three years.
  7. Jeter and its not particularly close. Just look at the RC. It's almost laughable. Theriot 2008 RC/G: 5.2 Jeter 2008 RC/G: 4.4
  8. That stat line just beat out the girl in Vance's sig for the "most attractive item in this thread" award.
  9. Spot on. The most important stat for Fukudome is his OBP, which has consistently been in the .390 - .400 range the entire season. While his power numbers are low for a corner outfielder, he's still a very productive hitter.
  10. I'm happy with a corner outfielder who has a RC/9 of 6.5, especially when we're paying him $6M this year. His numbers across April, May and June have been consistent at a high 300s/low 400s OBP, low 400s SLG. Given his performance in Japan, it's unclear why people expected him to perform any different in the majors, or any different going forward.
  11. I would imagine he's in the pen until Marshall starts to struggle or an injury causes one of the other four starters to miss significant time. While it's frustrating to see another young player on a short leash, it's hard to say that Gallagher has been more than incrementally better than Marquis this year. The only worry is what happens if Marquis has his usual 2nd half drop-off (2005-07 pre-ASG ERA: 4.41; post-ASG ERA: 5.54). Does Lou leave Marquis in the rotation or finally send him to the pen? I assume the former but hope for the latter.
  12. I can't remember hearing about something like that happen before, let alone seeing it. The only thing that would have lightened that clip up would have been a "Fantastico" from Z right after the slo-mo replay.
  13. When the simple run differential of a team suggests a W-L that is below where the team's record is, usually that team is expected to regress over the coming months. Does the same hold true for BP's Adjusted Equivalent Runs? If so it would say that the Cardinals are not as good as the 12 games over .500 that their current record indicates.
  14. Now 21-0. If I had to bet I would assume that Gallagher is playing somewhere else this fall and Hill is still in the minors.
  15. If you speak with enough Yankee fans, you come to the conclusion that he's over-rated. Many of them believe he has been the best shortstop in the game for a decade now.
  16. I'm glad he's doing well and mauling right-handed pitchers right now. But he will eventually enter into a lull at some point, and I suspect the boobirds will come out again in full force.
  17. If it seems as if he's been disappointing, it would only because the hype surrounding his arrival, combined with his very hot -start - a .458/.501/.758 line after the first seven games, an SI cover shortly thereafter - led people to have outsized expectations of how much he actually would contribute. A .295/.405/.430 line is nothing to be upset about. A team of only Fukudome's would score 7 runs a game, which is a great result for $7M per year. This is all a bit of speculation, but there could be other great things about having Fukudome on the team. Gammons (I think) tells a story about when Wade Boggs went to the Yankees, he spread the patient hitting mentality that became their staple during the championship years. I'm not sure how much we should heap praise on Fukudome over Hendry and Perry, but it's been a welcome change.
  18. No question in my mind that Pedro, Maddux, Smoltz, and Johnson all get in right away. And come to think of it, if they put in Maddux and Smoltz at the same time, they'll probably throw in Glavine too so they can all have one big happy ceremony. I'm not sure Smoltz is a guarantee to get in, regardless of the year.
  19. A little April vs May stats for the Cubs offense: Avg/OBP/SLG April: .291/.380/.459 May: .286/.359/.449 BB April: 126 May: 110 BB/Game April: 4.8 May: 3.8 XBH/Game April: 3.7 May: 3.4 Runs/Game April: 6.5 May: 5.1 The difference in SLG looks to be negligble, with the main difference being a reduced focus on getting on base through walks. The team still leads the NL in OBP, OPS, and is 2nd to the Cardinals in walks. The drop-off in the walks and OBP is a little concerning, although the April numbers shouldn't have been expected to continue.
  20. Lance "Fat Elvis, Big Puma" Berkman has 10 stolen bases this year with only 1 caught steal. His highest total in any year prior is 9. For refernce the Cubs leader is Theriot with 10 (and 9 caught steals). This is more amazing than his 222 OPS+, his .472 OBP, the fact that he's on pace for well over 400 total bases, or any other aspects of his season.
  21. Bruce, any thoughts on how Hendry views the organizations ability to develop talent from the minors? Hendry's best transactions have been those that you pointed to - trading attractive prospects for established players (Lee, Ramirez), with the traded prospects later flaming out. Additonally whether it was the intention or not, the last two managers have had a low tolerance for giving younger players the innings in the majors. The recent success of Soto and (dare I say) Theriot would suggest that the organization is latching onto something good but it would be interesting to know if this has been an area where the organization has had another shift in thinking.
  22. If Fukudome seems like a disappointment it would only be because the hype surrounding his arrival + his scorching hot start caused people to forget that Japanese players generally put up lower power numbers when they come to the MLB. That said, no one should be upset with what Fukudome has contributed to the team so far. Runs created by Cubs this year: Soto: 40 Ramirez: 37 Lee: 36 Fukudome: 32 De Rosa: 32 Soriano: 25
  23. He's got a monster contract, but I don't think he's untradeable. There are GMs out there who would give up something to see if a player like Soriano had anything left in a couple of years - especially if he's dealt during a hot streak. The Cubs may have to eat some money, but it could happen. Fair - untradeable is probably too draconian a word. For the Cubs to Soriano would mean they would 1) have to find a team that could handle Soriano's contract, and 2) either get an outfield power bat in return or have a legitimate and proven and reliable option coming up from the minors. You bring up a good point that the fact that Soriano has very very very hot streaks means that a fickle GM might find Soriano more appealing than he should. Something for the team to keep in mind if trading Soriano becomes a focus.
  24. Dempster's performance should be expected to regress as the season continues. That being said, if he finishes the season as a starter worthy of one of the five spots in rotation, he will have exceeded my expectations. I fully expected Dempster to struggle as a starter and be demoted to the pen with Lieber or Marshall replacing him as a starter. It's worth noting that Dempster's to-date numbers as a starter have exceeded his performance as a starter with the Marlins and the Reds. - HR/9 this year of .6 vs .9-1.3 - BB/9 this year of 2.7 vs 3.3-5.4 - K/9 this year of 7.6 vs 5.5-6.9
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