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davearm2

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Everything posted by davearm2

  1. davearm2
    Nothing against Ramirez specifically, but after this season and last, I'm ready for a radically different Cubs team. I like Ramirez, Z, Lee, etc. but it's time for a new direction. Out with the old, in with the new -- manager, GM, and core group of players.
  2. davearm2
    Well he is the Voice of the Cardinals...
  3. davearm2
    But the whole point is, you are not replacing one with the other. The premise is, both guys are on the field together. Thus the question is, do you play the 80 glove at SS and the 70 at 2B, or visa versa?
  4. davearm2
    It's not about maximizing an individual's value. If the Cubs are better off with Lee (or whomever) at SS and Castro at 2B rather than vice-versa, you go with it. I disagree. I think trading Castro for a king's ransom is better than making him a slightly above average 2nd baseman. Can we stop talking about trading Castro after he's played 80 games for the Cubs? It sounds completely ridiculous. We're talking about player value. Of course I don't want to trade Starlin Castro. If you don't want to trade Castro, then how is he infinitely more valuable to the Cubs at SS versus 2B (assuming Lee is also playing)? The only way Castro is more valuable at SS is if we're talking trade value. And even then, teams know he can play SS even if he spends time at 2B.
  5. davearm2
    His FIP this year is 3.56, just ahead of names like Sabathia and Cain, and just behind names like Greinke, Santana, and Price. I get that FIP measures all sorts of things that ERA doesn't reflect, but it's still weird to me to say that Wells has been "great." It's mostly semantics, I understand. I'd be fine with saying his peripherals are good, but the results have been mediocre. His WHIP is 1.40. That's not great. If you buy into the sabermetric principles at work here, you'd conclude that the mediocre results were largely out of Wells' control. That said, I agree with you. Great tends to imply dominant, and he hasn't been that. What he's been is effective.
  6. davearm2
    It really comes down to whether you think the proverbial "bulletin board material" has any impact in a sport like baseball (or any sport for that matter). Or put another way, does added incentive/motivation improve performance/production. Impossible question to answer definitively IMO.
  7. davearm2
    Castro is not infinitely more valuable at SS when the premise is that both he and Lee are in the Cubs' lineup at the same time. At that point the only consideration is what defensive positioning is most effective. (Unless you want to venture into a highly nebulous area involving how each guy's hitting is impacted by the position he's playing.)
  8. davearm2
    The Padres are going to have a very difficult time getting that sort of return for 1 year of any player. Just off the top of my head, Matt Holliday and Mark Teixeira are two similar comps as far as impact position players that were recently traded with 1 year left before FA.
  9. davearm2
    To save money, basically. I'm writing off 2011 as a developmental year, and advocating an NBA-style strategy of acquiring expiring contracts. I figure to fit the Mets "garbage" on the payroll, they probably need Ramirez' $$$ off the books. Mainly though, I just want to watch a different core group of guys. The window's shut on the Lee, Zambrano, Ramirez group. Let's move on as quickly as possible, even if it means bagging 2011, is my opinion.
  10. davearm2
    I'd like to see: Ramirez opt out of his deal. Zambrano and Fukudome dealt for Beltran, Castillo, and Perez. For 2011, play DeWitt at 3B and Castillo/Fontenot/Baker at 2B, and let the young guys continue to develop. Get all but Soriano and Dempster off the books after 2011. Then at that time, make trades and spend in free agency to create a new core, comprised of the young guys that look like they'll be good and 2-3 established, impact veteran adds. If as part of that plan you add a guy like Cliff Lee a year early, that'd be fine. But the major rearranging comes after 2011.
  11. davearm2
    I thought he was LH :bag:
  12. davearm2
    No, he's not valuable. He's not hurting the team, but he's not valuable. A player with no value would have a WAR of zero (or negative, if you assign a >0 value to replacement-level production). Soriano's WAR is not <= 0.
  13. davearm2
    I think that's exactly how it would work. He can block a waiver claim but he can't block an unconditional release.I suppose the only hope is that if he was DFA'd, and knew he was done w/ the Cubs, then he would cooperate during the 10-day window the Cubs would have to deal him.
  14. davearm2
    In theory, a crappy lineup should have the opposite effect. No sense in pitching to the one good guy if the rest blow.
  15. davearm2
    he already exercised his no-trade clause; he's not going anywhere. Yes, I know that but if a team claims him cant we let them take him ala Rios? Not if he doesn't want to go. A no-trade clause also gives the player the right to block a waiver claim. Same principle: The player can't be forced to go to a new team against his wishes.Wonder what a DFA would do. You are correct that a NTC or 10/5 guy can't be forced to go to a new team against his wishes, but by the same token that doesn't give him irrevocable rights to play for his current team either. AFAIK, Lee would end up a FA, and the Cubs would still be paying him his salary. At that point he could pick his new team (assuming mutual interest of course) or just stay home.
  16. davearm2
    Isn't the cause of the problem too many trips through the drive-thru? Seems obvious to me :-&
  17. davearm2
    It'd be pointless to shut him down unless an ongoing medical risk exists (in which case it's a no-brainer). "Well we're happy with how you've pitched so far, and the team's going nowhere, so just take the rest of the year off" seems pretty odd.
  18. davearm2
    Interesting strategy that I'd never considered before: 3 or 4 times a year just push everyone in the rotation back a day just for the sake of not wearing them down so much, even if the 5 starters are all totally healthy and not up against innings limits or what have you. I don't necessarily disagree with giving your starters extra rest, especially later in the season. Use a long man in the pen for that. But is it really wise to waste an option on a player and start his service clock early for just one game? Hellickson was already on TB's 40-man roster, so the option was already used for this year. And as TT said, the service time is trivial.
  19. davearm2
    Interesting strategy that I'd never considered before: 3 or 4 times a year just push everyone in the rotation back a day just for the sake of not wearing them down so much, even if the 5 starters are all totally healthy and not up against innings limits or what have you.
  20. davearm2
    At least they've got a positive streak of some kind.
  21. davearm2
    Firing Hendry after saying that would be a bad PR move, but a collapse in the second half would remedy that. If the Cubs are awful in the second half, Ricketts could easily say that recent occurences changed the situation and he is acting accordingly. At that point, it's not reneging on his word (even if it was just lip service), it's being pro-active in a changing situation. Purely PR, but you'd like to avoid PR hits if you can. JMHO, but you're overstating the "PR hit" angle. The reaction if/when Hendry is fired will not be impacted meaningfully one way or another by whatever Ricketts has said to date. Let's not pretend there'd be some sort of huge "but you promised to keep him!!!" uproar to overcome.
  22. davearm2
    Pretty sweet when the Cubs were in 1st place and winning at home at like a .750 clip. Kinda pathetic when they've been 10 games under .500 seemingly forever.
  23. davearm2
    You can't have an odd number of teams in a league without either a) having interleague play all year long, or b) always having one team in each league off for 3-4 days. The latter is definitely not workable, and the former would get very strong opposition.
  24. davearm2
    1. Brett Jackson 2. Chris Archer 3. Jay Jackson 4. Josh Vitters 5. Trey McNutt 6. Junior Lake 7. Hak Ju Lee 8. Chris Carpenter 9. Thomas Diamond 10. Casey Coleman 11. Dae Eun Rhee 12. Hayden Simpson 13. Brett Wallach 14. Reggie Golden 15-20: Chirinos, Clevinger, Canzler, Rusin, Shafer, Smith,
  25. davearm2
    Is everyone forgetting Thomas Diamond? Or are expectations really that low for him? The last few lists have gone as deep as dudes like Dolis and Campana but no Diamond.
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