davearm2
-
Posts
2,776 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by davearm2
-
Wha? We're not allowed to refer to Carmine as a computer model? What is it properly called then? Carmine is an information management system. Fancy way of saying database/spreadsheet hybrid. It's not spitting out it's own evaluations on players. It's just collecting data (including the scouting reports input by their scouts), calculating some of their stats and presenting it to them in a convenient/centralized way. You don't think there's any kind of forecasting component built into this thing? It just compiles and organizes historical statistics, but doesn't make any attempt to project? I meant to imply that sort of thing in "calculating some of their stats," although maybe I should've been more explicit. I highly doubt it's actually making any sort of evaluations, however. Just collecting and calculating hard data. The people make the evaluations. I can't imagine why anyone would oppose describing such a tool as a "computer model", especially inasmuch as its proprietary algorithms are what drives its value, but whatever.
-
Wha? We're not allowed to refer to Carmine as a computer model? What is it properly called then? Yes, the Cubs paid millions to Theo, et al to read the decisions made by a computer. That's exactly how this works. I don't know why I'm dignifying this drivel with a response, but whatever... The Cubs paid millions to Theo in part because he's on the cutting edge of incorporating sabermetric analysis into baseball operations. He does this work with a proprietary computer model he developed. Theo makes the decisions. The model gives him the best quantifiable information available to guide those decisions. Hope this helps.
-
Wha? We're not allowed to refer to Carmine as a computer model? What is it properly called then? Carmine is an information management system. Fancy way of saying database/spreadsheet hybrid. It's not spitting out it's own evaluations on players. It's just collecting data (including the scouting reports input by their scouts), calculating some of their stats and presenting it to them in a convenient/centralized way. You don't think there's any kind of forecasting component built into this thing? It just compiles and organizes historical statistics, but doesn't make any attempt to project?
-
Wha? We're not allowed to refer to Carmine as a computer model? What is it properly called then?
-
I think it's interesting that Oswalt's name shows up in this conversation. If Ramirez had played his career in, say, Detroit and Seattle, folks here would be about as interested in signing him as they are in signing Oswalt. The two are about as similar as a hitter and a pitcher can be... the age, the WAR figures, the injury concern, the pricetag etc.
-
Of course you're looking at it just from the teams' position. Any/all of those guys (except Shields) could take the stance that they'd rather test FA than accept an extension with their current club. Right. I never said they simply won't hit the market, I said there's a good chance many of them don't and I listed the reasons why. My point was that passing on a stud pitcher like Wilson because some guys comparable to him might be available next year isn't a good idea, nor is it a safe bet. That's cool. Your post read as though the teams have control over the process. That's only half true, of course.
-
Yep. I've heard that Cuban won't have to go through the MLB approval process in an auction. I highly doubt MLB is going to relinquish their approval process here. Makes no sense. Unless you're saying that Cuban has essentially been pre-approved since he's been through that process previously.
-
I think it simply signals that their computer models are telling them that Ramirez isn't worth the money he'll command. These guys have proven to be cold-blooded and impervious to fan backlash when it comes to parting ways with popular players. Any inference beyond that seems purely speculative.
-
Of course you're looking at it just from the teams' position. Any/all of those guys (except Shields) could take the stance that they'd rather test FA than accept an extension with their current club.
-
Robin Ventura = White Sox New Manager
davearm2 replied to El Duderino's topic in General Baseball Talk
Manto hardly hatched this idea. "Runs Produced" has been around for quite a while. -
Marlins apparently aspiring to be the Orioles of the NL.
-
I will forever be amazed at how these concepts are immediately dismissed as nonsensical around here.
-
Great point. If letting Aramis go means we're playing Pujols instead of Pena, it's going to be worth it. I get that folks really want Pujols (or Fielder), and obviously they play different positions, but what's interesting to me is that Pena has put up better WAR numbers than Ramirez over the last 3 years.
-
Of course it is. The age part points one direction, and the production part points the exact opposite direction. Obviously Fielder has been very productive and that'll drive his price way up. On the other hand he's still in his prime years.
-
It would be a bit odd to show defensive metrics when a guy bats, no?
-
Dang I hope that hot chocolate was to die for
-
No, that would be Pujols. Fielder is still relatively young. That's exactly what he was saying. It's ambiguous, but I can see that interpretation now too. At first read, I thought the point was that the Cubs would not be interested in Fielder because of the "don't pay for past production" theme.
-
LaRussa retires!
davearm2 replied to mul21's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Well said @ 3. For as much crap as folks hurl at TLR, the way he handled Pujols was pretty close to ideal. -
Cubs decline Shark's option
davearm2 replied to David's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I totally agree with you, actually. I want us to get a number two starter, have samardzija win the fifth starter job and have cashner build arm strength in Iowa. Cashner can build arm strength *and* gain more bigleague experience pitching in Chicago. I suppose you can make a service time argument for having him in Iowa, though. -
No, that would be Pujols. Fielder is still relatively young.
-
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=sportsxchange-000458917_labor-talks-could-impact-top-free-agents Do people not grasp how this works? Theo could scarcely tell Fielder "Happy Halloween" without it being seen as tampering.
-
Cubs decline Shark's option
davearm2 replied to David's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
The "we can contend" crowd will disagree vehemently, but I'd like to see both Samardzija and Cashner in the rotation to start the year, with McNutt on deck. Let's see if we can get one or both of these guys to stick in their most highly-valued role. -
David Wright available?
davearm2 replied to RynoRules's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Injuries, a perceived decline in performance and if I remember correctly, some sort of "clutchiness" issue in the playoffs. Plus, they equate him to the dismal post-NLCS run they have been on. Wright and Reyes are the faces of this franchise and every year there is talk about trading one or both and moving on or trying to hold it together. I also think there are personality issues, maybe he's said some things they think make him look weak. Not sure exactly. Perceived? -
Someone will correct me if I'm wrong, but the "home office" in Toronto is the second line of replay decision-makers in the NHL. Personnel in the arena look first, and call to Toronto only if they need to. I could have sworn that's how it was set up.
-
Wow. Horrible.