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Derwood

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Everything posted by Derwood

  1. Derwood
    Never tell me the odds
  2. Derwood
    Castillo made that play because of all his years playing in the Federal League
  3. Derwood
    if Soriano hits the DL, Pie will be called up to sit on the bench so we can put a Floyd/Pagan/Jones OF there every day
  4. Derwood
    NUTS. Here's hoping the Mets bullpen implodes again
  5. Derwood
    I hope the FJM guys are Tivoing this game
  6. Derwood
    Jon Miller said "Carlos Lee coming up" before the break Then he says the Brewers signed Carlos Lee in the off season. FTH?
  7. Derwood
    :shock: Go Phillies!
  8. Derwood
    if they aren't parsnicketty, you usually can get standing room only/obstructive view at the box office. but yes, often there are tickets available. I recommend going straight to the box office area, where there will often be people trying to unload tickets they won't use, instead of going the scalper/broker route. last time I tried scalping tickets, I was escorted away by the CPD. They made scalpers stay at least 2 blocks from the park
  9. Derwood
    so would sosa. i'm not talking about sosa. i'm talking about your citing that Sosa had more plate appearances than Olerud with runners in scoring position. Sosa is the control here, and you're adding the variable of Olerud getting extra hypothetical plate appearances to even out their opportunities. my question was do statisticians maintain that Olerud would continue his current season numbers over those additional plate appearances (small sample size) or regress towards his career numbers over those plate appearances (large sample size). John Olerud would probably regress to the mean in the additional plate appearances. But if you recall, the discussion was "98 Olerud" versus "98 Sosa." This clearly implies that we are discussing a theoretical Olerud and Sosa that both maintain their 98 rates. correct, so even mentioning more plate appearances for Olerud is moot
  10. Derwood
    Brewers are up 4-0 :(
  11. Derwood
    Joe Torre has basically said as much. He says that one of the most unfair advantages that Bonds has is that one of the essential elements of batting (fear of being drilled) is taken out of the equation, because not only does he wear all the armor, but in today's game pitchers are discouraged from pitching inside, much less hitting players. that body armor has helped him get a whopping TWO hit-by-pitch this year, 10 in 2006, and ZERO in 2005
  12. Derwood
    Why? i'm not into a cute nickname for an already cute team name
  13. Derwood
    but shouldn't it be "NearWestSideHoops"?
  14. Derwood
    WCF FTW
  15. Derwood
    I hate that he refers to himself as a Cubbie
  16. Derwood
    He's famous for having some of the quickest wrists in the history of the game. I think he would have been fine. i still think he would have juiced. it's awfully easy for him to sit on his high horse about Bonds when he never had the temptation to begin with
  17. Derwood
    Yes. It was harder to hit a home run in his day than it is now. well, you're probably right, as Aaron would probably have been juicing along with everyone else had he played in the 90's Some people don't need the juice to be blessed with great hitting eyes or wonderful swings. like Barry Bonds?
  18. Derwood
    Yes. It was harder to hit a home run in his day than it is now. well, you're probably right, as Aaron would probably have been juicing along with everyone else had he played in the 90's
  19. Derwood
    correlation =/= causation
  20. Derwood
    So when does your respect for older players start? 1980 forward? Was Willie Mays also worthless in your eyes? Dimaggio? Ernie Banks? Those guys were great, just like Ruth, in their era. But you act like, as athletes, they wouldn't have been able to have improved their game to match the modern game. If Ruth had the ability to wear body armor, not fear inside pitches, have video previews of a pitcher's pitches, have mechanics instructors to work on his swing, supplements to improve his overall health...I'm sure he wouldn't have been too overmatched by a 95mph splitter like you say. Ruth was by all accounts a born and gifted athlete. They said he would often go into a gym and destroy everyone else at basketball, even though he had never practiced or played it much in his life. do you believe that if Hank Aaron had played from 1984-2007 (rather than 1956-1979) he still would have hit 755 HR's?
  21. Derwood
    Cobb got a hit 36% of the times he stepped to the plate during his career. Even the best home run hitters of all time only get a home run in 1 of every 11-12 AB's. If he didn't have a home run stroke to begin with, how can you fault a guy for not trying to hit home runs when he's able to get a hit so frequently. I wish the Cubs had a guy who could hit .370 and steal 60 bases. but if he COULD hit HR's and chose not to, that's bad baseball That's why Dave Kingman was the smartest player that ever lived, right? He knew he could hit HR's and the best result of any at bat is a HR so he just swung for the fences every time up. nice try. I'm arguing that the notion that Cobb had home run ability yet chose not to is bad baseball. i never said that swinging for the fences was good baseball. that said, a HR is always the best outcome of an at-bat, and purposely trying not to hit one is bad
  22. Derwood
    so would sosa. i'm not talking about sosa. i'm talking about your citing that Sosa had more plate appearances than Olerud with runners in scoring position. Sosa is the control here, and you're adding the variable of Olerud getting extra hypothetical plate appearances to even out their opportunities. my question was do statisticians maintain that Olerud would continue his current season numbers over those additional plate appearances (small sample size) or regress towards his career numbers over those plate appearances (large sample size).
  23. Derwood
    Cobb got a hit 36% of the times he stepped to the plate during his career. Even the best home run hitters of all time only get a home run in 1 of every 11-12 AB's. If he didn't have a home run stroke to begin with, how can you fault a guy for not trying to hit home runs when he's able to get a hit so frequently. I wish the Cubs had a guy who could hit .370 and steal 60 bases. but if he COULD hit HR's and chose not to, that's bad baseball
  24. Derwood
    it's here, but Premium won't log in right now
  25. Derwood
    for the sake of argument: Assuming Olerud's number in 1998 were above his career norms, wouldn't a statistician say that given the extra plate appearances with runners on, etc., Olerud would be less likely to maintain his above-career numbers and more likely to regress towards the mean of his career numbers?
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