We're 2/3 of the way through the season, and here is how I see the BCS Picture breaking down: ACC - Georgia Tech holds the upper hand with just 1 loss and a head-to-head tiebreaker advantage over the only other 1 loss team (Va Tech). The Yellow Jackets have just Duke and Wake Forest left on their conference schedule, with a pair of non-cons (Vandy and Georgia). Even if Ga Tech gets upset in the ACC title game, the conference is only getting one BCS bid. Big East - Cincinnati is getting all the love, but Pitt is 7-1 and 4-0 in conference. Cincy still has Pitt and WVU on the schedule, so running the table is no guarantee. If Cincinnati DOES win the conference, Pitt is unlikely to get an at-large (based on their current #15 ranking) Big Ten - Iowa is #4 and has the conference in hand. 3 of their final 4 games are at home (all against conference bottom feeders) with the only real test being a November 14 date @Ohio State. One loss Penn State has OSU at home and MSU on the road, but even if they win out (and Iowa loses to the Buckeyes), Iowa would go to the Rose Bowl (re: tiebreaker). Penn State can still get an at-large bid if they a) win out and either b) Iowa plays in the NC game or c) TCU and/or Boise State lose. Ohio State can only get an at-large if they win out and Iowa goes to the NC Big XII - If Texas wins out, they'll play for the National Championship. The biggest bump in the road seems to be this week's matchup with Oklahoma State, who is also undefeated in the conference. If Texas loses to either OkSt or in the Big XII title game (to Kansas St?) it would open the door for Iowa to go to the NC game. Pac 10 - Despite leading the conference by a game over USC, Oregon is 5 spots behind in the BCS. They play this week, and both have yet to play #20 Arizona. Whoever comes out on top here will go to the Rose Bowl, unless enough upsets happen at the top to slot USC into the title game. SEC - Bama and Florida are 1/1a in both the SEC and the BCS, and they don't play in the regular season. Alabama's only potential tripping point is in 2 weeks against one-loss LSU, while Florida plays Georgia, @South Carolina, plus season closing rivalry game Florida State. If they both go undefeated, they will play for the SEC Championship, with the winner going to the NC game and the loser getting a BCS at-large. This would leave LSU out of the BCS (due to the 2-team max rule), rendering their top 12 BCS standing moot. Notre Dame - Already has 2 losses, but has a decent chance of finishing with 10 wins (if they can get by Pitt). They will need a lot of help to get a BCS berth. Non-BCS - TCU and Boise State are both undefeated and in the Top 8 of the BCS. TCU's only roadblock is a home game against #16 Utah, while Boise State plays no ranked teams in their final 5 contests. Controversy will abound if both teams finish 12-0 but one does not get an at-large bid (especially if they are snubbed for a one-loss at-large team like PSU, USC, etc.) It will be interesting to see how the computers will see their wins against bad teams as we move forward.