20-9 while playing one of the hardest schedules in the country should be a lock. What if they're 21-11 after a first game loss to Providence in the tournament next week? Or worse, they drop that game to DePaul? They'll likely be 1-7 against the Top 25 and 4-8 against the Top 50 going into the Big East tournament. I'm probably just more conservative than most, but to me a lock has to be able to lose the rest of their games and still get in. I don't think WVU can do that, or even be 100% safe at 21-11 considering they have 2 wins to hang their hat on for the whole season. If they lose to DePaul at home tonight it might be another story, but barring that I don't see WVU falling out at 21-11. Their worst loss would be Davidson on a neutral floor, which isn't terrible at all, and they'd still have wins @Ohio State, @Gtown, and vs Providence, Villanova, and Notre Dame. They also have a bunch of OOC wins against above average teams. If they lose right away in the tourney they'd still be 9-8 in road/neutral games. I could see them falling to a 10 seed in that scenario, but I can't see them falling out if they have 9 to 11 wins against the top 100 and no losses outside of it. As for the other teams SSR mentioned, Xavier has neutral court wins vs Missouri, VT, and Memphis, and won at LSU, Rhode Island, and Cincy. Home wins vs Auburn and Temple don't hurt either. They still have time to damage their seed, but I don't see them falling out with those wins. Butler has a worse resume, but I think they're solidly in as of right now. They're already in their tourney, so if you don't think a home loss vs Milwaukee (worst case) puts them out you can lock them. Utah could go either way for me as far as being a lock.