It is pretty important. That's why you don't lower your chances of doing it by bunting. I would actually say that you raise your chances of scoring by bunting him to third there. If you got a guy that hits .300, there's a 70% chance he's getting out. Might as well make the out productive by moving the runner over to third, where an out, which again is 70% likely, can still score the runner. Given, I realize this entire discussion is based upon odds and an individual's baseball theory prefernce. You're going with conventional thinking, which is against conventional thinking on this board. So, are you being original in your thinking or not. I'm confused.