Backtobanks
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Everything posted by Backtobanks
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That's you, Backtobanks. Me, personally, Peace of Mind is worth more to me then an additional $30 million over the life of the contract. There's a reason why CC is stalling the Yankees. Could he end up in New York, yes. But gut feeling is saying talking the Yanks offer would be the last option he would do. I believe he is waiting for a "home town team" to offer a competitive offer, one he would jump at. I honestly believe in this case, CC does not want to pitch in New York, but will if it comes down to that. I guess we can all say we would prefer the money or the peace of mind since none of us are in that position. Having taught in the inner city for 34 years, I would think that the extra $30 million could buy me a lot of "peace of mind". Peace of mind = no financial worries for me, my children, my grandchildren, my extended family, vacations, 2nd (and 3rd) homes anywhere in the world, etc. To put it another way, that "extra" $30 million is the equivalent of the average lifetime earning of 15-20 people. I'll take my chances on the "pressure" of pitching in front of Yankee fans 15-17 times a year.
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If this much is true, the Brewers could have a decent shot. Its clear at this point that if CC wanted to play for the Yanks, hed have signed by now, as nobody will match that offer. I know that the reason hes taking so long is that hes waiting for one of the Cali teams to match the offer, or at least come close, but if they dont, he could choose Milwaukee, as he enjoyed his time their, and was treated like royalty, where as with the Yankees, as soon as he has one non quality start he'll be booed out of town, and he could take a $30 million bath to be in a lower pressure environment, as long as the players union and his agent dont intervene. If this does happen, we need to step it up for Peavy. I guess when you're making this much money a few million may not mean much, but I can't see leaving $30,000,000 on the table because I don't like NY. For that money, I would learn to love NY.
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I can't see Gaudin non-tendered. He's 25 years old with experience both as a starter and a reliever. If he was non-tendered, he would be snapped up in 5 minutes. I would think Wuertz would be a better candidate for being traded since he was in Lou's doghouse last year. I think he's more likely to be traded than non-tendered. But when you're likely to be as much as $5M over budget, the $3M Gaudin's likely to get through arbitration is meaningful. My preference would be to see Gaudin and Marshall held and Cotts and/or Wuertz traded, but I doubt that's possible with a Peavy trade. Would Gaudin get that much of a raise though? He made 1.7m last year, and got a solid raise because he was a SP most of 07. Since he was a reliever most of 08, and overall had a subpar year. I could see him agreeing to something like 2.2-2.3m for 09. I also heard Gregg might make more in the 4-4.5m range, he blew 9 saves and lost his closer job in September. So I can't see him getting a huge raise either. If Gregg only makes something like 4.3m, and Gaudin makes something like 2.2m. It would allow them to trade or nontender Wuertz and stay in the 148-149m range. Plus they can also backload their RF a little bit more for 09. Especially with there being a good chance we get a RF for a bargin 7-9m price, with the market so bad right now. If we could pick up Scott from the O's, we could solve the RF problem cheaply. I would love to get the Peavy deal done, get Scott, and re-sign Wood to a 1-year deal.
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Not sure you're going to get Abreu for $9 million since he made 12.5, 13, and 15 million over the last three years. Unless it's backloaded, I'm thinking he might get 3/35 from somebody. I still think the best way to handle it is the trade for Scott from the O's. He's cheap, easy to platoon, and has decent power.
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Time to Look Elsewhere?
Backtobanks replied to Backtobanks's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He seems to have moved past those issues. Take his numbers on a bad KC team in the AL (with DH) and translate those into a good team in the NL (without DH) and you might be talking about a great young pitcher. -
For all of the rumored names that we're trading for Peavy and HOF-bound Garrett Olsen, maybe Hendry ought to look at some other pitchers. The two rumors below would bring outstanding, young, cheap pitchers. I'm not comparing Greinke or Sanchez to Peavy, but taking into consideration their ages and contracts, they could have nearly the same impact. With the money saved, Hendry could sign Ibanez or re-sign Wood (assuming he wants to). If nothing else, leaking the fact Hendry is looking elsewhere might make Towers and MacPhail get off their rear ends and make something happen. From Foxsports: Royals Greinke to Texas? Yes, I've also heard the Royals have no interest in moving right-hander Zack Greinke. But I also know the economy is making everybody think real hard about every big contract. The Royals have multiple holes to fill. The Rangers have lots of farm-talent depth. At one point, there was some thought the teams would be the best possible match - if Kansas City was willing to deal. It's worth checking back in with Dayton Moore. -- Dallas Morning News From MLBTR: From MLBTR: Brown also says the Giants have discussed trading Jonathan Sanchez to the Marlins for Jorge Cantu.
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I've tried to be patient and have listened to all of the arguments defending MacPhail, but at some point we need to tell him to stick it. I don't mind trading some of these players to the O's, but MacPhail acts like we need to give him 2-3 starting players for Garrett Olsen. I understand Olsen helps in the Peavy deal, but these rumors are ridiculous. The rumor about AM asking for Headley and Greene in the deal is so absurd, it has to be true.
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Vazquez to Braves close
Backtobanks replied to mdwilla's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It's not 4 for 1, Boone Logan going to the Braves. -
Vazquez to Braves close
Backtobanks replied to mdwilla's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/8882368/Sources:-Braves-look-to-deal-for-ChiSox's-Vazquez?CMP=OTC-K9B140813162&ATT=49 hopefully this offically takes the Braves out and moves this Peavy thing along. Ramirez moving to SS and now they add Lillibridge to Getz and Nix at 2B? -
Sifting through Hendry's individual transactions and picking out the good ones (I would even be willing to stipulate that there are more good than bad - it's irrelevant) is not meaningful. With the resources this organization has, there is no reason that the Chicago Cubs should be anything but a perennial powerhouse, winning 90+ games a minimum of six out of every ten seasons, with a couple of 85-90 win seasons in there also. There is also no reason that the Chicago Cubs should have anything but one of the very best farm systems in all of baseball, producing a consistent stream of top major league talent. Just because Jim Hendry is better than the ridiculous collection of knuckleheads who have held the title of Cubs GM over the past 30+ years doesn't make him good. He has some fine qualities, but he has demonstrated that he can't get the job done. "Having the resources" should describe just about an major city baseball team (Yankees, Mets, Angels, Dodgers, White Sox, Red Sox, Phillies, Tigers, etc.), so how many of those teams have perrenial powerhouses and top notch farm systems? Let's not forget our friends in Baltimore that have a billionaire for an owner.
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It's always interesting to read the Hendry-bashing rants. What if the Cubs offered arbitration and Wood accepted $9 million for one year. The Cubs then trade Gregg for a mid-level prospect. Meanwhile, the Cubs can't afford Peavy and a veteran RF. Harden and Wood have their usual problems with injuries and guess what happens - Hendry gets bashed for spending money on Wood, not getting Peavy, not filling RF adequately, giving away Ceda for nothing, etc. In other words, Hendry is bashed either way. Also, for all of the "pretend" GMs out there, we have a thread going about spending money on Renteria. The GM's job sure looks easier from this side of the computer screen.
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Gregg Sucks even compared to Howry. And Hendry is not a good GM. http://www.fangraphs.com/comparison.aspx?playerid=1793&playerid2=237&playerid3=&position=P&page=3&type=full so K/BB is the best way to judge pitchers now? I missed the memo You miss a lot of things. It's one of the more important stats when judging a relief pitchers. However, Howry's been better than Gregg in almost every category save for last year. I don't like Howry, but Gregg is terrible. Howry was a good pitcher before last season, but he no longer can throw 95 plus. I don't think you realize how much GM's value ERA and saves. I'm not saying I agree with it, but thats now things work in baseball. The Hendry is a bad GM stuff is just stupid, name me the last GM who's won 3 division titles in his first 6 years? Or worse signings are guys like Glendon Rusch and Neifi Perez. We could do alot worse then Hendry, and he's far from a terrible GM or even one of the worse in the league. Anybody who thinks Hendry is terrible wouldn't be happy with any GM. Ding! Ding! We have a winner. Obviously some posters just want to be negative, whether there's a reason or not.
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I think at this point, Hendry is going to do whatever it takes (well at least, I hope so). For the RF thing, would we be content with Luke Scott? He's cheap, but put up some alright numbers last year. He's the left-handed bat we're looking for. I don't know...we'll see what Jimbo can do. I'm all for acquiring Scott as part of this deal. The local favorite seems to be Ibanez, but he'll add $8+ million per year. Scott/DeRosa/Johnson in RF with DeRosa/Fontenot at 2B would offset the loss of Edmonds' 2008 production.
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Backtobanks Post subject: Re: Peavy High on Cubs Wish ListPosted: Thu Nov 27, 2008 5:49 pm All-Star Joined: Tue Jul 01, 2003 8:32 pm Posts: 3259 West Side Rooter wrote: Im just curious as to who the mystery team is. Im assuming its a perenial non contender. Marlins: they're always open to moving any player for the right prospect package Royals: could Greinke, and maybe Teahen be involved somehow? Rays: they have young talent to spare Seattle: they need help any way they can get it. Minnesotta: they're trying to re stock. Delmon Young would likely be involved. Toronto? Baltimore? Washington? Then again, it could be a last ditch attempt to pry Tommy Hanson away from the Braves. Everything I read sounds like the Padres want young pitching. Possibly the Marlins. It won't be the Royals because Greinke is unavailable and if he was he would cost (in players) almost as much as Peavy. I'm not sure what we could offer the Rays for young pitching. Minnesota's young pitching would cost too much (in players). I offered a trade suggestion at OH: Marquis + Vitters + Wells for Scott and 2 of Mikolo/Olsen/Tillman/Arrieta. Cubs flip the 2 young pitchers with Pie, Marshall, and Hart for Peavy. Cubs end up with Scott and Peavy. Possibly we could get Cedeno (to Padres) and Greene (to the O's) involved. Looks like I scooped the media about the O's being the 3rd team.
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Peavy is signed thru 2012 at 14.5m, 15m, 16m, 17m, with a club option for 22m in 2013. Harden's 7m is nowhere near that expensive. All 5 players SD would get in this deal total less than $9m, a big savings from $14.5m for just one player. Harden does, however, give them reasonably fair talent return for Peavy. This is not a pure salary dump, the Padres need a decent return, or the Peavy trade would have already been made to either us or the Braves. From our perspective, Harden is signed only thru 2009, whereas Peavy is locked up 4 or 5 more years. How can you value 1 year of Harden as being equal to 4-5 years of Peavy? We also are not giving up nearly all of our prospects as you claim. Oh wait, I see you have edited that. Glad to see that you recognize that we are not giving up a lot of prospects in this proposal. The issue is trying to trade for Peavy. San Diego has passed on our efforts to get him for Vitters and the usual suspects. We have to give up something substantial to get a guy like Peavy, don't you think? If you want to just pass on the Peavy idea rather than consider trading players like Lee and/or Harden, OK, but I think we need to face the fact that we aren't going to get a Peavy if we are unwilling to trade a big chip or 2. If you think San Diego would do the deal with Marshall and/or Wells substituted for Harden, great, lets try it. I just doubt if that would get it done. Unloading Lee and Harden to get Peavy and Morales is absurd.Let's put this into perspective - the Mets gave up Carlos Gomez, Phil Humber, Kevin Mulvey, and Deolis Guerra for Santana. I agree that some of this discussion is getting absurd. As much as we would all like to acquire Peavy, he is a luxury and not a necessity. If we're talking about trading Vitters, Cedeno, Marshall, Pie, etc. that's one thing, but if you're talking about downgrading 2 positions ( from Edmonds/Johnson in CF to Willits/Johnson and from Lee to DeRosa/Hoffpauir at 1B) that's something else.
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If this is true, it is great news. Lilly would be a nice pitcher/with a decent contract and should attract any of those teams named. Lee should have some decent value also. As loaded as the Rangers are, I wonder if we can work out anything with them. Though I have no clue as to what. With Lee being a 10/5 player with a NTC, I don't see how Tampa, Texas, and Minnesota fit into the equation. Lee might waive his NTC to go to the West Coast. If Sabathia signed with the Angels, they certainly would have pitching to trade. Also, I worry about signing a "slightly lesser 1B than Lee". Contrary to what a lot of you seem to think, a step down from Lee might look pretty ugly (Hinske, Aurilia, etc.).
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Everything I read sounds like the Padres want young pitching. Possibly the Marlins. It won't be the Royals because Greinke is unavailable and if he was he would cost (in players) almost as much as Peavy. I'm not sure what we could offer the Rays for young pitching. Minnesota's young pitching would cost too much (in players). I offered a trade suggestion at OH: Marquis + Vitters + Wells for Scott and 2 of Mikolo/Olsen/Tillman/Arrieta. Cubs flip the 2 young pitchers with Pie, Marshall, and Hart for Peavy. Cubs end up with Scott and Peavy. Possibly we could get Cedeno (to Padres) and Greene (to the O's) involved. More likely, The Cubs are sending Marquis as part of the deal and Towers found a team that will give him some very young arms for him. That team may very well be the O's though not for any of the players mentioned. If Towers got Pie, Marshall, Hart, Marquis and Vitters for Peavy and then flipped Marquis to someone for 2 players that were currently in Low A that would be a respectable deal, particularly since he has only one bidder and must make the deal. From what I've read, the Padres want young ML-ready pitching, so they wouldn't want Low A ball pitchers and I doubt they want the hassle of trading Marquis. I'm not sure the O's will do that, but I do know that they drool over Vitters, that they have a ton of young pitching, and they can use a veteran innings-eater like Marquis. Scott has no long-term future with the O's. The O's might really get involved if we added Cedeno (to the Padres) and Greene (to the O's) because they need a SS bad.
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Everything I read sounds like the Padres want young pitching. Possibly the Marlins. It won't be the Royals because Greinke is unavailable and if he was he would cost (in players) almost as much as Peavy. I'm not sure what we could offer the Rays for young pitching. Minnesota's young pitching would cost too much (in players). I offered a trade suggestion at OH: Marquis + Vitters + Wells for Scott and 2 of Mikolo/Olsen/Tillman/Arrieta. Cubs flip the 2 young pitchers with Pie, Marshall, and Hart for Peavy. Cubs end up with Scott and Peavy. Possibly we could get Cedeno (to Padres) and Greene (to the O's) involved.
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Super Platoon
Backtobanks replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I could certainly live with Baldelli, but as I stated earlier the Cubs are looking for a LH RF. -
If Wood accepts and brings him much closer to that budget, he couldn't afford any of those players, which would be the problem. No necessarily, it just means he might have to trade Marquis to pay for Wood's contract. If he does have a firm budget, I still can't see how they're looking at Peavy, Abreu, or Ibanez regardless of Wood's situation. A) You can't just decide to trade Marquis. Odds are you'll have to pick up a huge chunk of his salary. B) If he's got, let's say, $12-14m left, he can look at any of those guys. But if Wood accepts he can't. I really don't understand why you are having trouble understanding the limitations of a budget. I understand the limitations of a budget, but if he has $12-$14 million left (your example), he can't afford any of those guys with raises due to certain players. Also, with how much he has spent since the team has been for sale, I have trouble believing that any bigshot is going to shoot down a chance to get Peavy and re-sign Wood because it will go a few million over budget.

