CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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That has nothing to do with what you said. In terms of FO evaluation it does. The cubs go from an avg pitcher and an unproven yet talented #5 to Coleman and Davis. Yet STL replaces Wainwright with McClellan and pitches like a top of the rotation starter. McClellan hasn't been that good. The ERA still looks pretty good (but he still only has an ERA+ of 93) and the peripherals are below average. Not even close to top of the rotation at least in this scoring environment. The Cardinals have been good because their offense increased by 30 OPS points in a year where a normal offense was decreasing by 20 points. That has moved them up the rankings offensively significantly.
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Beane can be blamed for the lack of offense his team has. He has had Nelson Cruz, Andre Ethier, and Carlos Gonzalez all in his hands at one point and has virtually nothing to show for them leaving during their cost controlled years. His trading away his high priced stars was a mixed bag. He got great value for one and almost nothing for a couple of others. He's had enough breaks to build a good team even with the lowering of payroll (which hit almost 80 million dollars before dropping sharply), but he's made too many major mistakes to capitalize on it. He also hasn't had that much wiggle room, and it can certainly be argued that he has to gamble more because of his payroll. I would still be just fine with him being hired, but he probably shouldn't be considered the expert talent evaluator he once was considered to be. If I had to pick any GM in the league right now he probably would be in the 10-15 range.
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That's really the average reliever salary? What's the median? I don't know the median either. There are some really high end contracts (Rivera, Cordero for example), but a ton of guys making next to nothing too. As a complete and utter guess, I'd say Kerry is probably on the lower end salary for veteran relievers though. Relievers seem to be either incredibly cheap or way too expensive. It's hard to find guys in the middle ground like Kerry is in. Really? I think there are plenty of $1-2m relievers out there. Yeah, there are a decent number of them. Last year there were 11 FA relievers that signed 1 year deals for between 1 and 2 million (including the two endpoints). The year before there were 5 and the year before that 7.
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That's really the average reliever salary? What's the median? According to this article, he's right: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=5915468 The last time I could find a median was 2007 and it was 950,000 then. It probably has gone up a little bit since then.
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Well then you just aren't remembering accurately. He did a lot of things wrong, like hiring Lynch and Hendry and allowing Baker to come here. But he did spend and allow spending, he just got weird about it at times. What major free agents did the Cubs acquire during his entire time with the Cubs? Was Alou the biggest one? MacPhail did allow spending but he wasn't willing to spend on any one player. It was a widely played story that one of the biggest reasons why the Cubs were suddenly landing free agents in the 2006-2007 offseason was because MacPhail was gone. It could be that all those reports are wrong (and I think they are probably slightly overplayed), but they are out there.
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Well, that is obvious (although before anybody goes nuts there was never anything saying that the Cubs would ever consider Coletti). Are there examples of small market GM's succeeding in big markets? I admit I don't know enough to know for sure on this subject. I just remember MacPhail refusing to go out into free agency and spend and wonder if that will be the same for other GM's-especially when they are accustomed to filling holes by using other means.
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It's played out only because there's only so long you can win 90 games on a shoestring budget. I'd be very happy to let a guy with a history of exploiting baseball people's idiocy try and do it again with twice the payroll. I'd be afraid that the same things that happened with MacPhail would happen with Beane. It's not easy to change your philosophy when you are transitioning from a small market with certain expectations to a big market with different expectations. I'm not sure Beane would be that much better with a bigger payroll. MacPhail was completely different though. He was completely beholden to the way a good baseball man would do it and apparently trying out for role as commisioner the entire time. I don't see Beane holding down payroll just to keep the establishment happy. I don't think Beane would keep down payroll but I would be worried about an unwillingness for large contracts. A small market stays away from large, long contracts as much as it can. But that's not a good trait for a team like the Cubs to have. Would Beane try so hard to be efficient that he would end up keeping the Cubs away from the best players/
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It's played out only because there's only so long you can win 90 games on a shoestring budget. I'd be very happy to let a guy with a history of exploiting baseball people's idiocy try and do it again with twice the payroll. I'd be afraid that the same things that happened with MacPhail would happen with Beane. It's not easy to change your philosophy when you are transitioning from a small market with certain expectations to a big market with different expectations. I'm not sure Beane would be that much better with a bigger payroll.
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I would think Boozer/Gibson/Asik is a pretty good start to a frountcourt. They would need one more player, but I don't necessarily think that player would have to be an impact guy.
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The problem is who do the Bulls get that can replace him? Deng played over 39 minutes a game last season (and 42.9 in the playoffs) so the Bulls would probably have to replace him with two different players. And subtracting Deng/adding Ellis is a huge step down defensively for the Bulls. Depending on who they got to replace Deng, the Bulls might not be a defensive first team anymore. From an outsider's view, Deng might not be the best player in the world but he fills so many roles for that Bulls team that I don't know how they give him up for anything less than a star. Noah would probably be easier to replace.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-10-11
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I'm not sure if it's adjustments or just BABIP correction. His BABIP is still a little light but in an acceptable range now (.279). A player like him who is on pace to hit between 15-20 home runs in a year and is striking out less than 10% of the time should be hitting at least .280. For Vitters lowering that strikeout percentage has been his major step forward this year. If he only strikes out 10-12 percent of the time he can afford to not walk much, hit for decent power and still be an ok major leaguer. Hopefully he can figure out one of the other two areas (hit for major power or walk a little more) which would give him a greater chance of success. -
There is a thread in the minor league forum on this topic. Here's the link: viewtopic.php?f=3&t=56205&start=25
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Colvin just can't catch a break this year. He has hit 2 HR, at least 2 of his 4 doubles have gone off the wall (I can't remember on the other two) and only two singles all year.
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Yeah, 3B has just been a black hole this year. The AL has a few teams doing really well at 3B but are even worse overall. Soto is costing the Cubs bigtime with his terrible play this year. Pena's play shows the Cubs could still get a major upgrade there. Even as much as the offense has struggled, they are still 4th in OBP, 6th in SLG, 5th in OPS. They're 9th in RS but only 10 runs behind 5th and they've played 1-2 less games than everybody else. The offense hasn't been too bad overall. It's the rest of the team (especially the rotation) that has been terrible.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-7-11
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Brett Jackson with a home run. It must have been a controversial one as both the manager and left fielder got thrown out right after that. -
It could be too that they were just balancing out the system. The Cubs system right now is seen as a lot of high floor low ceiling guys. There are enough guys already in the system to fill the bench/bullpen/marginal starting position player needs the Cubs will have the next few years. So drafting high upside guys really gives another dimension to the system overall.
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After Lockart it has been: Shawon Dunston Valley Christian High School Jacob Lindgren St. Stanislaus High Schol Trey Martin Brookwood HS Dillon Maples Pinecrest HS Justin Marra Michael Power/St Joseph HS
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Aramis will not waive no trade clause
CubColtPacer replied to Men in Blue's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I look at Aramis the same way as Wood. Both gave up a lot of money to stay with the Cubs. If they want to refuse a trade for the same reason, that's perfectly ok with me. -
I got nothing. They have a scouting video up of him: http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?topic_id=18674140&content_id=15212829
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I would probably choose the 2006 guys as a collective just based on those four guys, but it wouldn't be an easy decision. The advantage the 2011 Cubs have is that they have most of the harder positions filled. The 2006 Cubs had a very good first and third baseman, a decent right fielder, a pretty good catcher, a very good starting pitcher and a potential very good starting pitcher, and a decent closer. The 2011 Cubs have a very good shortstop and catcher, a decent CF, a decent LF, an ok second baseman, two very good starters and two pretty good starters, a very good closer and a couple pretty good setup guys. If you don't have a whole lot of money, I'd rather mix and match using the 2006 team as the core. If you do have a lot of money to spend, the 2011 team has an easier time of improving the team quickly.
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2011 Draft Discussion
CubColtPacer replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Wilken just doesn't operate like that. I remember when he was talking about his Toronto streak of picks making the majors he said that several were questioned both on draft day and in the minors. He will make his pick no matter what has happened in the past. -
I'm about ready to write him off. Or maybe see if he has any trade value. Wow, 374 OPS. I had no idea it was that bad. .223/.288/.438 for the career. (HE SHOULD HAVE BEEN STARTING AT FIRST BASE THIS SEASON!!!) Yeah, he's been awful this season. A 12.7% LD percentage, only 7.7 of his fly balls are going out of the ballpark, and a similar BB/K ratio to last year. It also doesn't help that he's had just horrific luck with a .094 BABIP so far. In 77 AB's, Colvin has 5 extra base hits and only 2 singles.
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Not all the NFL stadiums in the footprint are open air. Ford Field and the Metrodome both have roofs. I don't think the Big 10 really wants to perpetuate that culture. I wouldn't have minded a rotation too much though just to spread the wealth although Lucas/Indianapolis would be the best of the bunch.
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Having basketball alternate between Chicago and Indianapolis seems a good way to keep attention and interest high. It's a vastly different and good experience at both venues so why not keep it at both? I never quite understood why the Big 10 insisted on having a site for 5 years in a row in the first place. While in football Lucas Oil IMO has so many advantages that it was hard for the Big 10 to pass up not giving it the game every year.
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I think they made a really good decision for both sports.