Notre Dame possibilites for the National Title game (nothing about what should happen, just what will happen) Notre Dame needs: An Ohio State loss-I thought I would be saying for weeks that a big Michigan loss would be the key. I say the other way though because of the computer rankings. Michigan is #1 in the computer rankings, and it's not even close. If they lose to Ohio State, they will only drop to #2 in those rankings. Ohio State is #3 in most of those rankings, and a loss to Michigan will drop them behind ND in most to all of these rankings. I have ran through some projections in one of the computer rankings, and it confirms this. If Notre Dame can stay ahead of Ohio State in the computer rankings, they will be close enough in the polls to stay ahead of them overall. #2-Florida losing to Arkansas in the SEC title game-Florida is going to be hard to catch in either the polls or the computer rankings-they have to lose a game somewhere. Things that would be nice, but not always necessary: 1)Arkansas losing to LSU-it is not certain whatsoever that Arkansas will pass ND if they win out. They will likely not pass them in the computer rankings, and I doubt if both teams win out that they will pass ND enough in the polls to make the difference-ND should squeak past Arkansas if both win out. 2)USC beating Cal-obviously, ND needs the national exposure about beating a 1 loss USC team and the SOS rating in the computers-this would be a nice boost. 3)Rutgers losing to WV-it's possible that Rutgers will drop between ND and Arkansas in the computer rankings if they lose, which would be a nice buffer. Of course, ND has to win their last two games, which is definitely not assured (is probably closer to 50/50)-but this is all meaningless if they lose, so I'll remain optimistic for now. It's certainly a much greater chance then it was a few weeks ago. I do hope the team gets to the national title game, but in one way I don't because I think the team only has a 25-30 percent chance of winning the title, while they would have a greater chance of winning one of the other BCS bowls. Since the objective is the title though, I still would like to see them get in any way they can.