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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    There was no way the sixers ever played 5 games in 6 days last season. They probably averaged 3 or 4 games per week. They didn't. Back to back to backs were eliminated from the NBA about 10 years ago. But no team has more than 2 on their schedule this year. Philadelphia's other one isn't until April, and for that one they have 2 days off before and after that stretch. After this week, they'll return to playing 3-4 games a week (mostly 4).
  2. CubColtPacer
    The Cubreporter always has a nice breakdown of who has options: http://www.thecubreporter.com/cubs-40-man-roster
  3. CubColtPacer
    Just for comparison: From December 26th to the end of the season last year (April 13th) the Pacers played 55 games. From December 26th to April 13th this year, the Pacers will have played 59 games. Comparing 2009 to this season it would be 55/60 (since the end of the season in 2009 was April 14th). So they are having more games, but the NBA was already playing a pretty compact schedule to begin with. It's debatable whether 4 or 5 more games over an almost 4 month stretch is a huge difference or not.
  4. CubColtPacer
    A huge difference in their hit tool. Pierre has a career 5.7% strikeout rate and was at 4.7 during his two best years. Campana strikes out 17.3% of the time in the minors and 19.4% of the time in the majors last year. Campana's walk percentage is a decent bit better, but it just doesn't come close to making up for the difference in strikeout percentage. Pierre is a career 1:1 BB/K ratio, while Campana was a 1:2 ratio in the minors. And as horrible as Pierre's power is, it's still a little better than Campana's. Campana's speed and defense might be so elite though that he could be a legitimate starting center fielder or at least a good 4th OF in a big ballpark even with his horrific bat. Or he could be used to try to let RF/LF be used for players with little range. Neither of those seem to describe the Cubs going forward, so it doesn't seem likely that he's a fit. And the speed/defense is still a question if it's simply great or if it's truly elite.
  5. CubColtPacer
    Enough everyone.
  6. CubColtPacer
    Is the Bulls reluctance to go into the luxury tax a money thing or a strategic one? If it's money, will they really amnesty Boozer before maybe a year left to go on his deal? That's a lot of money to eat.
  7. CubColtPacer
    All the computers have the Big 12 better, and at least one computer says the Big 12 had the best year of any conference in the past 13 years.
  8. CubColtPacer
    He made $12M in 2006 and resigned for $1.75M for the 2007 season at age 30. Resigned again for 2008 for $4.2M. His career looked to be over after 06...it was hanging on by a thread. It being his arm. IIRC though, he was being offered double or triple that figure by other clubs. It was definitely a hometown discount.
  9. CubColtPacer
    LSU also finished ahead of Oklahoma State in all but 1 computer (and that computer had Oklahoma State 1, LSU 2, Alabama 3). It just depends on if you put a higher value on the bowl result than all the other games of the season.
  10. CubColtPacer
    How? Whether the team that signed him to that deal paid that money sooner or later, they were going to pay it anyway. Toss the money in with the deal if that's what's keeping the deal from happening. Let's just keep throwing money at the player. Assuming this was a normal Cubs signing of the past handful of years, the player was already 30+ and declining in value. In a 2/7.5 contract, I'd rather pay 4.8 and 2.7 assuming the player in his prime now will perform at a higher level then next year when older. Additionally, in year 2, a potential trade partner could view the lower value as an acceptable level of compensation instead of requiring money with the deal. It's not about the total value you're spending on the player, it's aligning pay and performance. If you want to backload a 5 year deal for a 26 year old, that'd align with expected performance curves. But if you pay the guy 2.7 and 4.8 instead, that gives you flexibility. You might only have to throw 1 million into the trade to make it work. Even if you have to throw in the full 2.1 to make it work, you're not in any worse shape than if you had paid the 4.8 to the player to begin with.
  11. CubColtPacer
    did he have an AP vote? that could explain the one moron who voted lsu #1. I know one AP voter was quoted before the game that he was going to vote for LSU no matter what happened in the championship game. He said they would still have the best overall resume even with a loss to Alabama.
  12. CubColtPacer
    I'm not completely sure about this, but I think Samardzija's NTC is gone. As soon as they declined that option it should have gone away.
  13. CubColtPacer
    Career FIP- 92. He's a strong No. 3 right now. This has nothing to do with his potential. He's already performed at an above-average level for a starting pitcher. number three starters/above-average starters throw more than a hundred innings a year. i'm a big fan of travis wood and think he's going to do well, but let's not go crazy. He threw over 200 innings in 2010 and 158 last year. There isn't a real durability question with him, it's just being given the chance to throw all those innings in the majors.
  14. CubColtPacer
    Wells and Wood have 1 option. Volstad has 2. But Wells and Volstad would have to clear optional assignment waivers in order to go down.
  15. CubColtPacer
    That's the way the Walt Jockettys and Jim Hendrys of the world see them. Our guys know better. I don't have a problem with giving prospects a chance, but there aren't many people in baseball that wouldn't call Lahair and Stewart question marks, Sappelt and Johnson 4th or 5th OFs, and Wells/Volstad/wood #4 or #5 starters. "Our guys" are throwing them out there and hoping for the best while looking for their replacements in 2013. The existence of people in baseball who think of Sappelt as a 4th OFer, and *especially* Wood as a No. 4 or 5 starter, is the reason why "our guys" are brilliant and their guys are not. It's very lazy thinking, it ignores several decades of brilliant statistical analysis and research, and it's just plain wrong. Wood might have potential to be a #3. I haven't read anything that suggests Sappelt is more than a 4th OF on a decent team. If he plays regularly, it means we're not very good not that he is good. What does a #3 starter look like to you? What type of ERA does a #3 put up normally? (or use FIP or xFIP if you would like).
  16. CubColtPacer
    That list of Cubs goes back to guys acquired while Hendry ran the farm, right? When did it go from Hendry to Stockstill? Stockstill's first draft was 2001. I can't seem to find the top 10 list that TT is pulling those names from, but of the ones mentioned Sisco was the only one drafted and that was in Stockstill's first draft.
  17. CubColtPacer
    I don't see any of the up and comers (Sixers, Knicks, Pacers) overtaking Miami and probably Chicago. But they should all fight with the Hawks and maybe the Celtics for the 3rd spot in the East (or possibly the Magic if Howard is not traded, but it would surprise me if they finished 3rd). After these years of dominance, the East is finally catching up to the West.
  18. CubColtPacer
    I can't believe IU is going to be in the top 10. Way over any expectations I had for them at the beginning of the season, even the hopeful ones. I don't believe they'll be in the top 10 at the end of the season, but that's ok for this year. What a turnaround.
  19. CubColtPacer
    Topic please.
  20. CubColtPacer
    True, although Hansbrough has already attempted over half the shots in 8 games that Dare did in 58 games. The funny thing about Dare is that he had 144 shot attempts, had 0 assists on the season, and had 72 turnovers! Of course he couldn't get an assist when he was giving the ball to the other team every time he touched it.
  21. CubColtPacer
    The Pacers go to 6-2 despite their leading scorer going into the night being ranked 41st in the NBA in scoring (and will drop even further after tonight). Granger is leading them and is averaging now less than 15 points a game. And the Hansbrough assist watch is on. Averaging close to 13 points and 7 assists a game off the bench, but doesn't have a single assist on the season.
  22. CubColtPacer
    Are you hendry's son or something? You go above and beyond to defend him. Management didn't tell him to buy a winning team, they gave him significant financial resources and he did not build a consistent winner. His superiors didn't tell him to give soriano or zambrano those contracts, or to not develop a consistent star-level player in almost 10 years. nor, I suspect, did ricketts tell theo to completely rebuild. I would assume that if theo went and said "pujols is my guy" or "we need to bid very big on darvish," I'm confident that ricketts would have green lighted competitive offers. this is theo's choice on how to turn the franchise around - which, I will remind you, is necessary because your boy left things a mess. If the reports are true (from people like Bruce Miles), they did on Soriano. But I agree that Hendry wouldn't have done this type of rebuild. He would have tried to limp along with the current core while continuing to build up the farm system.
  23. CubColtPacer
    The one I just don't get is Ha. I guess with his tweener comment Sickels must not be high on his defense in center. Because other than that, you have a center fielder with decent power. Doesn't walk much but doesn't strike out that much either. He put up ok numbers last year, and will be 21 all of next year in AA. I don't see how a guy like that doesn't crack the top 25 unless you just absolutely believe he has to move to a corner. Haven't we heard by some scouts that he's an excellent defender in center and by others that he'll have to move?
  24. CubColtPacer
    surprise whom? i think a lot of people are expecting a lot of travis wood. lahair producing would certainly be a surprise, though. The question about who would it surprise could probably be said for LaHair as well. He's one where the computers (at least the ones which have come out with 2012 projections so far), scouts, and old school fans seem to agree will likely be decent to good, but sabermetrically inclined analysts and fans aren't so sure.
  25. CubColtPacer
    No, you get him playing by midseason so that you know what you have by April 2013. If he doesn't play much this year, and burns next year's option, you have to keep him up in 2014 as a 24 year old potentially not knowing if he's really going to make it. Exactly. I want him up about midseason so he's clearly won the job by next year's spring training.
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