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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    Murton had a great day today, which makes me think otherwise. I don't think that will overcome the fact that Murton has started 3 straight days, a right-hander is on the mound, and Floyd has 2 HR in 4 at-bats against him. I'm pretty sure that Floyd will start-and maybe he should, considering he's hardly played-he's got the exact same number of plate appearances as Murton, and that's what counts as hardly playing right? :D
  2. CubColtPacer
    Barrett? No. But you can add Marquis, Lilly, Theriot... And Soriano, who's going to have a very good OPS after today's game.
  3. CubColtPacer
    If they are doing a fire sale, they are not going to want major league players back in return-they'll want top prospects-especially for a player of the caliber of Wells.
  4. CubColtPacer
    (a) One is a huge number when you're talking about something that only happens about 3.3 times per 9 innings. It's not a huge number. It's only large in relation to the number of walks they earn right now. They are averaging almost a walk more per game during the games they win. It's really not that hard at all. It's not like they are walking 5 or 6 times/game. If they had walked 1 more per game until now, they would be on pace for 678 walks on the season. There have been only 2 NL teams to hit that total in the previous 6 seasons. That pace is not very easy to maintain, even for the best of walking teams, which the Cubs are not. It's an mean not a mode. Exactly-it's a mean. Current Cubs pace-102 walks/32 games=3.1875 walks per game add 1 to that, and you get 162 games x 4.1875 walk average=678.375 walks on the season. If the Cubs simply added 1 to their average from now on, it would be 646.375, which would still be 20 walks higher than any other team in the NL.
  5. CubColtPacer
    (a) One is a huge number when you're talking about something that only happens about 3.3 times per 9 innings. It's not a huge number. It's only large in relation to the number of walks they earn right now. They are averaging almost a walk more per game during the games they win. It's really not that hard at all. It's not like they are walking 5 or 6 times/game. If they had walked 1 more per game until now, they would be on pace for 678 walks on the season. There have been only 2 NL teams to hit that total in the previous 6 seasons. That pace is not very easy to maintain, even for the best of walking teams, which the Cubs are not.
  6. CubColtPacer
    They spent a lot between 2003 and 2004. From the data that I've seen, they went from 74 to 91 between those two years. From 2004 to 2005, they dropped to 87, and then from 2005 to 2006 they raised it back to 94.
  7. CubColtPacer
    I haven't heard anything about Eyre leaving the Blue Jays on bad terms, so my guess is that they would not be one of the 10 teams he would designate in the NTC.
  8. CubColtPacer
    I do like that it gives us a little more information about what Hendry was telling Dusty, and his strong suggestion of playing youngsters, keeping appearances down for Eyre and Howry, and to not worry about wins and losses do make me feel a little better about Hendry. I wish he would have said a little more, but it at least shows that Hendry was trying to see what young talent he had and trying to protect at least some of the arms so that they'd be ready this year (and it could be that he said to protect all of the arms, but Dusty simply didn't mention that part).
  9. CubColtPacer
    I believe domestic violence has always been a problem. It's simply that awareness has been lifted considerably, and so many more women feel safe enough to report it, which is quite a good step.
  10. CubColtPacer
    Yeah, he had an error (an easy fly that he dropped) and a misplay (ball bounced past him-this was more due to his inexperience in RF, not as much of a problem). I think you're remembering last year a little wrong though. Murton had the fulltime job until June (through June 4th Murton had started all but 4 games of the season) When he started slumping badly, he got sat down for 6 days in a row for Nevin. In July and August, Murton split time with Pagan-it was during these months when he was splitting time that Murton really got hot. He got more of the job in September, although he still was splitting time a little bit, and he remained hot. Murton didn't get hot though when he got the everyday job-he got hot when he lost the everyday job and starting sharing LF.
  11. CubColtPacer
    Was Lenny Harris's OPS higher than .316 in 2003? Okay I know it was but I am thinking it was below .500 in something like 140 ABs. Yeah-if you have 100 AB's as your qualification for a bench player (which seems reasonable) Lenny Harris almost has to be the 2003 representative. .183/.255/.229
  12. CubColtPacer
    BTW, I thought the quote from the same article was interesting. This is what Hendry said about Pie and what he could work on in the minors:
  13. CubColtPacer
    I have both pitchers in fantasy-I think I have to go ahead and start both of them. With that said, it won't impact my wanting them to crush Hamels tomorrow. I'm glad to see some success in the batter/pitcher matchups, even though they are very, very limited samples.
  14. CubColtPacer
    Tank Johnson is scheduled to meet Wednesday with Roger Goodell: http://www.nfl.com/nflnetwork/story/10033511
  15. CubColtPacer
    I bet you'll probably see a lineup of Ramirez/ Floyd or Ward/DeRosa/Floyd or Ward next inning.
  16. CubColtPacer
    don't patronize me. i am completely aware that we have a lot of left-handed bats (and not once did i say i wanted a right-hander in CF - i don't care. don't put words in my mouth). the fact of the matter is that pie could potentially hit them (but a moot point now that he was optioned). jones has proven over the course of his entire major league career that he can not. IIRC, Jones had a higher OPS in the majors against LHP last year then Pie did against them at Triple A. Maybe Pie will learn to hit them later in his career, but playing Pie against left-handers right now would not produce good results.
  17. CubColtPacer
    No, not really. He's having to learn the position on the fly, he will make mistakes. I don't see how he's learning on the fly? If you're an OF and have played the game for any length of time you have seen flyballs coming at every position from just about every angle. He's probably caught hundreds of those type of flyballs in his lifetime. He just screwed up and dropped a ball that he should have caught. I didn't see the play but it sounds like a bad drop. But you're wrong if you think any OF has seen flyballs coming at every position from just about every angle. A flyball in RF looks different than one in LF. There is definitely an adjustment. It's just a shame they spent all of spring training with Jacque in right, Soriano in center and Murton/Floyd in left, and then decided 3 weeks in to completely flip flop everybody. Every OF regularly takes balls at every single OF position in practice.
  18. CubColtPacer
    One error. The other was Z's. Officially yes, but I think he's referencing that Murton let the ball bounce right past him in the first which let the Pirates go for extra bases.
  19. CubColtPacer
    It's down from last year, but it's above league average. http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs.aspx?playerid=6307&position=OF&page=0&type=full
  20. CubColtPacer
    I haven't seen him drop his arm in this inning (haven't seen all the pitches)-that at least is an improvement.
  21. CubColtPacer
    I don't think any of those fit this sentence: Bako is a journeyman catcher who wasn't paid much and has been on 3 other teams after the Cubs. Blanco was going to be signed by the Yankees if the Cubs hadn't signed him in the offseason, so even though he's overpaid there was a market for him. Remlinger and Erye were overpaid, but neither are replacement level players. I'm not convinced that Howry is overpaid. None of those players fit all the qualifications of that sentence. I think Hendry has overpaid a lot-but I challenged that post in particular because I think that sentence is overstating it, and I see variations of it all the time. well, I'm not going to get into a semantic argument - my point is that hendry doesn't learn from his mistakes and regardless of the cost of the players, continues to stock the roster with players of limited or replacement level value. I would argue that he did learn from his mistakes this year-Soriano, DeRosa, Ward, Floyd-none of those players are anywhere close to replacement level. The only one that was is Blanco-and that was only the high expense, because he's one of the better backup catchers out there.
  22. CubColtPacer
    At the end of the day today, Floyd will have around 5 AB's more than Murton. While a 50/50 split may not be ideal, it's far from demonstrating a veteran fetish.
  23. CubColtPacer
    I don't think any of those fit this sentence: Bako is a journeyman catcher who wasn't paid much and has been on 3 other teams after the Cubs. Blanco was going to be signed by the Yankees if the Cubs hadn't signed him in the offseason, so even though he's overpaid there was a market for him. Remlinger and Erye were overpaid, but neither are replacement level players. I'm not convinced that Howry is overpaid. None of those players fit all the qualifications of that sentence. I think Hendry has overpaid a lot-but I challenged that post in particular because I think that sentence is overstating it, and I see variations of it all the time.
  24. CubColtPacer
    Pagan probably will start 1-2 games a week-that's about the average amount of times the team should face a left-hander, and Pagan was brought up to play against LHP. That makes no sense...Pagan was terrible vs LHP last season. So is Jones, and so is Pie. It's not a great option, but it will hopefully be a small improvement, and Pagan has been good against LHP so far this year in the minors.
  25. CubColtPacer
    Pagan probably will start 1-2 games a week-that's about the average amount of times the team should face a left-hander, and Pagan was brought up to play against LHP.
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