CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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Bonds would play for free
CubColtPacer replied to inari's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Yes. She has explained as much in the past. Okay, you want it then you have it. I have pretty much kept this off the board but here it goes. And no I expect no one to believe me but you go ahead and ask Bruce Miles if I am lying and then you can get back to me. For the past 8 seasons prior to the one, I was indeed employed in the front office of the Chicago Cubs. I left of my own choosing partly to get out before a new owner comes in and sweeps the place clean and partly to be closer to my family as my parents are getting up there in age and the price of gas made commuting into the city was costing me more that it was worth. One of my two direct bosses is no longer with the club and left a year before I did. I suspected he left because he knew the Tribune was going to sell well before it was ever announced. The location of my office in the ballpark allowed me direct access most of the baseball braintrust on site whom I had contact with on a daily basis. In fact, my boss was interim GM from 2000 - 2002 until he handed it over to Jim Hendry. It's why I know the business side of this game as well as I do and it's why I have a great understanding of the rules, etc of this game. It's why maybe I get a bit perturbed when my knowledge of these areas is challenged by the people on this board even though I never came clean before now but that really shouldn't matter. I couldn't say anything for some time and didn't even want to bother until now but I am tired of the piling on and not being able to say one word back without being told I am a complete idiot or getting my hand slapped for responding. Regardless of my background, it shouldn't be assumed that because I am a female and I am not part of the little clique on this board that I know nothing about baseball. If it seems like I have met or know some of these guys, well guess what, this should explain that I have. Not all of the players but many...and because of my position, I always met all of the coaching staff. So fire away boys, I think it's time for me to take another break from the action. I still call BS, and it has nothing to do with you being female (which I didn't even recall at first). Over her credentials? They've been confirmed by Bruce at least once on this board and I think multiple times. I can understand the not wanting to watch the Cubs anymore but still being a sports fan after spending so much time close to the players. Ever worked in a bad restaurant/normal fast food place for a while? You've seen up close what they do, and you don't want to eat there anymore, even though you also know that people come through everyday and don't get sick. At the same time, you're still willing to eat at other restaurants/fast food places, even though your head acknowledges that the same sorts of things are probably happening there as well. That's basically what I think is probably happening here, and it's perfectly normal. -
Ok...we've got a little bit of info on this from Cubs.com The he refers to Marshall at the beginning. I believe the Gallagher comment is a misprint on the name because we also have this: So it looks like it's Tuesday-Dempster Wednesday-Zambrano Thursday-Lilly Friday-Marquis Saturday-Marshall Sunday-Dempster
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I doubt they'll send Dempster and Zambrano to the hill on 3 days rest this early in the season. I think your computer wanted to forget Marquis existed Fred :D , as does both ESPN.com and Cubs.com's probable starters. He or Gallagher will have to pitch sometime next week.
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Didn't we tag him last year when we faced him? I thought we did. It was 2 years ago, and yes we did. 9 runs in 2 1/3 innings. The only 4 Cubs in the starting lineup that are on the roster today: Ramirez, Murton, Cedeno, Blanco. Ramirez was 2-2 against him that day, Murton 0-1 with a walk, Cedeno 0-2, and Blanco 1-2.
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The one thing I was pleasantly surprised about: I was curious to see if Sabathia had any experience against Cubs hitters. And I found he hasn't had much. Only 68 at-bats against him, and 46 of those have been against either Soriano or Johnson. The Cubs have hit him to a tune of a .976 OPS so far though. It certainly doesn't mean much, but I'm really glad to see Soriano (who typically has either wonderful or terrible numbers against a pitcher) has had success against Sabathia.
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Honestly, I'm not even sure the Giants are going to sell this year at the deadline. Even though they're 10 games under .500, they might also see that they are just 4 games out of a playoff spot right now. I think they're crazy to think that they can last the entire season, but with that small deficit I can definitely believe the Giants organization might think that they're right in the thick of it.
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There's several issues with Burnett. 1) He hasn't been any better than Jason Marquis this season. Could he suddenly get better moving to the NL? Probably. How much better? Unknown. He's got great career numbers, but he hasn't shown any consistency this year. In his last 7 starts, he's given up 2 runs or less in 4 of them, but in the other 3 he's given up 8 runs a start. 2) He has an opt out clause after the season. So if he's good, the Cubs lose him. If he stinks, the Cubs have to keep him for 2 more years at 12 million per year. 3)He does still have that long injury history, so even if he is good, he could get hurt the day after the trade. Of course the main positive is that he has proved that at times, he has been a very dominant pitcher. Is that worth all the issues? Maybe. I certainly wouldn't trade Hill to go get him though. I'd rather take the risk on Hill suddenly finding it than gamble on Burnett suddenly finding it, especially since Burnett's gamble if gone wrong also puts a significant dent on the payroll and requires us to also lose our only backup SS. Burnett only looks like he's been as bad as Marquis because Marquis has a great defense backing him up. They have similar HR rates, and Burnett smokes him at K/BB. I don't judge a pitcher solely on DIPs/FIP but when you have a glaring difference like there is for Burnett compared to Marquis I take notice. Burnett's never been this bad before and he's only 31. There's no reason to believe he won't be at worst league average the rest of the way and his peripherals point to him being much better than that. Best of all he's cheap. Cedeno + junk should get him. Yeah, looking at their careers, Burnett's numbers are much more likely to improve, while Marquis will probably stay the same or get worse. Although, Burnett is much more likely to get hurt. I wasn't really trying to compare Burnett to Marquis in any way but trying to give a visual example of how bad Burnett has been this season. If I had to choose Burnett or Marquis to be a better pitcher over the next 3 years, I'd bet on Burnett at least 99 out of 100 times. I'd be careful using Burnett's peripherals though to say that he's due for a rapid improvement. For example, his LOB percentage. It's a 65.9 percent, which is low. At the same time, that's because Burnett simply hasn't had the same type of stuff from start to start. In many starts, he's been dominant and hasn't had many runners to leave on base. When he doesn't have his best stuff, he gets absolutely pounded. That leads itself to a deceiving lob percentage because when there are runners on base, that is a huge indication with Burnett that he's going to continue leaving easy pitches to hit over the plate. That's not the case with normal pitchers. Any pitcher who has such a wide disparity in their starts (and believe me, there aren't many of them) are going to have better peripherals than their numbers. I would suspect an improvement from his K percentage, but that's not going to get rid of the disaster starts, and those starts are the only reason his numbers are that bad.
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There's several issues with Burnett. 1) He hasn't been any better than Jason Marquis this season. Could he suddenly get better moving to the NL? Probably. How much better? Unknown. He's got great career numbers, but he hasn't shown any consistency this year. In his last 7 starts, he's given up 2 runs or less in 4 of them, but in the other 3 he's given up 8 runs a start. 2) He has an opt out clause after the season. So if he's good, the Cubs lose him. If he stinks, the Cubs have to keep him for 2 more years at 12 million per year. 3)He does still have that long injury history, so even if he is good, he could get hurt the day after the trade. Of course the main positive is that he has proved that at times, he has been a very dominant pitcher. Is that worth all the issues? Maybe. I certainly wouldn't trade Hill to go get him though. I'd rather take the risk on Hill suddenly finding it than gamble on Burnett suddenly finding it, especially since Burnett's gamble if gone wrong also puts a significant dent on the payroll and requires us to also lose our only backup SS.
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Does anybody want to get anybody out in Colorado tonight? Colorado has scored in all 7 innings tonight, including 4 in the 5th, 3 in the 6th, and 4 in the 7th, but is still trailing to Florida. The score? 17-16. Yes, you read that right. And Colorado is still batting in the 7th.
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The only way I could say Theriot coming close to the All-Star game is if he makes the 32nd player voting and then somehow gets voted in that way. I see it as more likely though that one of the others gets left to the 32nd man vote, if it be Ramirez, Fukudome, or Dempster.
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Marquez Smith: Who is this guy?
CubColtPacer replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
He was an 8th round pick out of Clemson last year. It was the 4th time he had been drafted. He was supposed to have good power potential when he came out, and he really has realized it so far this year. After a slow start in April, he's been red hot in May-July. His error totals are a little high, but he had an excellent defensive reputation in college. He's a player who should be in Daytona right now, but regardless of how he moves right now he'll probably do a pretty good job of moving through the system in the next couple years. I don't really see a future with the Cubs unless he can make the transition to 2nd base like they were working earlier in the year with him on. His future potential with the Cubs is probably a decent trade chip if he's still hitting well when he hits AA. -
Didn't he say he was going to ease Marmol slowly back into high leverage situations spots? So he puts him in in a 1 run game with guys at first and third with no outs, after getting bombed the night before. He asically was saying "we need a strike out right now. nothing else will do. No pressue though!" And then he pulls him after 1 batter, leaving him confidence at an all-time low. Well played. Where did Lou say that? I haven't seen that quote at all.
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One more question if I may Bruce, although I understand if you cannot comment on it: Do you know if the Cubs are going to send down either a pitcher or a hitter tomorrow? I know a specific name probably hasn't been decided on, but have they expressed that they are going to go with 13 pitchers over the weekend (considering Marshall is going to stay up for at least a couple days after Z is activated) or is one of the pitchers going down tomorrow?
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This is really the lineup? Considering how much better Johnson has done hitting lower and the order and with runners on (especially in scoring position) and how horrible he's been at leadoff AND that Lincecum is a rightie, this seems rather dumb. That is the lineup. I can understand putting Johnson in the lineup in an effort to work him back in. Lou likes to do that to people just returning to the team. However, it should be Fukudome 1st, Theriot 2nd, and Johnson 8th. Hopefully Johnson can surprise us like he did the last two times he lead off against right-handers.
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Johnson was good at not complaining about being put on the DL even though he was only hurt for 5-6 days, so Lou gives him a start when he comes back and lets him hit leadoff: Johnson-LF Fukudome-RF Lee-1B Ramirez-3B Edmonds-CF Soto-C DeRosa-2B Theriot-SS Gallagher-P And the Giants go this way: Lewis-LF Durham-2B Winn-RF Molina-C Rowand-CF Bowker-1B Castillo-3B Vizquel-SS Lincecum-P
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Renteria has had 3 extra base hits since April 24th. A home run and a triple in May, and a home run on June 7th. And unlike Theriot (who has had 7 in that time-all doubles) Renteria has no OBP to fall back on. Plus, he's been 100 points better at home than on the road this year, and has been in a massive slump the last two months. He'd be a somewhat interesting buy low candidate if the Cubs SS position was similar to what the Cubs C position was doing at this time last year. Since it's not though, I don't see how trading for Renteria would be fruitful. We would have to give up prospects on a huge gamble that Renteria the rest of the year would be better than Theriot, and there really aren't that many indicators right now that say that he would be.
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Just to give you perspective on how bad the NL West is, last year the NL Central with 6 teams went a combined 54 games under .500 for the season. This year, just over halfway through, the NL West with only 5 teams is 53 games under .500.
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The Cubs didn't stand pat in 03. Kenny Lofton, Aramis Ramirez, and Randall Simon were all added for the stretch run. I was thinking more in terms of pitching. I do recall Lofton & Simon being added late in the year but I'm not sure I would consider them difference makers. when was Ramirez acquired? Ramirez was acquired at the same time as Lofton. Tuesday, July 22nd. They both ended up being difference makers. Lofton filled the huge hole in CF that had come with the Patterson injury, and Ramirez replaced the Bellhorn/Martinez/Harris 3 headed monster at 3B. And the Cubs didn't need to add much pitching. That was the part carrying them all season.

