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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    I wonder if Peavy made them guarantee 2013. If he did, Peavy will likely give them good production, but simply not enough to make up for his contract (4 years, 70 million through 2013), the players that it took to acquire him, the fact that he's had multiple injuries, his age (late prime to possibly moving slightly out of prime), and the fact that he's moving out of such a pitcher friendly ballpark. It makes a little more sense if 2013 was a club option, but the likelihood is that it won't be a terrible deal for the White Sox, but it certainly won't be a good one either.
  2. CubColtPacer
    Very interesting comments on the deal. Apparently Pittsburgh asked for Hart for Grabow. With the Lilly injury, the Cubs refused to trade him unless they got somebody else. That's where the other 3 players came in. The Cubs decided to make the deal because Dave Littlefield scouted Gorzelanny's recent starts and recommended him to Hendry.
  3. CubColtPacer
    I tend to agree. Wrigley is the field in MLB that changes the most based on what part of the year you're in. Fly ball pitchers and line drive hitters are the ones you want with the wind blowing in, and home run hitters (specifically ones with uppercut swings) and ground ball pitchers are the ones that you want when the wind is blowing out. The Cubs have had success going after strikeout pitchers in the last 10 years because that is the only type of pitcher who will do consistently well at Wrigley. Ground ball pitchers can also do well but aren't ideal for the park. There are no types of hitters that will be ideal all season at Wrigley. It's the hardest ballpark in the majors to build a lineup that will be more suited for the ballpark than their opponents will.
  4. CubColtPacer
    I'd like Ross and think he'd be useful, but there's no room for him if Reed's going to be back in a couple weeks. The Marlins arent looking to sell. They're looking to move Hermida, as they were all off season. You're probably right, but Ross' name was brought up and I responded. They have no real reason to trade him. I'd still kind of like Hermida for cheap. From Bruce's blog this morning:
  5. CubColtPacer
    Fuld is on the team plane to Florida and Atkins is not. They just haven't made the move official yet. And Gorz won't be officially called up until his 1st start. They aren't going to waste the chance to keep 8 relievers for a few days.
  6. CubColtPacer
    The Cubs were often near the leaders in walks, but the only times they actually led the NL in most walks given during that time frame was 2003 and 2006.
  7. CubColtPacer
    That doesn't preclude him from being the 5th starter. The Cubs would want to wait to activate him until directly before his start (since he wouldn't be needed for the next 4 games). It might still be Marshall, or Samardijza, or somebody else starting, but it also could very well be Gorzelanny.
  8. CubColtPacer
    That's overpaying by itself. Jackson better be the only one with any significant value in the deal (a couple roster fillers I wouldn't mind losing with him) But as I said before, at the same time I'm not feeling good for Jackson's future if he is involved in this trade. The club usually knows something that has made them sour on his value. I'm surprised that the Cubs would go after Grabow if they were willing to dangle Jackson though when Bruce said they liked Beimel a little bit better. Maybe they really have a future in mind for Gorz. Edit: Just saw the other report. Would like that deal a lot better.
  9. CubColtPacer
    He's for a team like Philly so that Marshall can face the heart of their order one time through the lineup and Grabow if they come around again. My guess is that Marshall would start pitching more full innings and Grabow would be more of the LOOGY who might only face 1-2 batters. It's an upgrade for the Cubs in matching up with certain clubs but it's also more of a luxury than a need so they hopefully didn't spend very much for him.
  10. CubColtPacer
    I worry that Hendry will trade someone who's reported trade value is higher than the players he's acquiring. However, I do trust Hendry's judgments on prospects. He usually seems to trade prospects he doesn't like anymore (even though other clubs do) and his judgment has been right a very large percentage of the time.
  11. CubColtPacer
    What's your definition of awful then if it's not a guy who can't crack a starting rotation? When I'm saying not awful, I'm kind of responding to the thought that the Cubs have to have somebody better than this in the minors. Obviously Hart is not a good MLB starting pitcher. For his role though, Hart is exactly what you expect, maybe even a little bit better. A guy who would be expected to give you a 6 or 7 ERA in that slot would be an awful minor league replacement (and there are several of those around the league).
  12. CubColtPacer
    Hart was rather effectively wild his first couple starts (but still lucky to give up only the runs he did). He's missing his spots badly today. I still don't think he's awful. He'd probably finish the year with an ERA between 5 and 5.25 if he started all season, which is about right for somebody who will likely always be a 6th/7th/8th starter in the majors.
  13. CubColtPacer
    From Bruce's blog on Reed: It also sounds like the Cubs are going with 13 pitchers today partly because Fuld isn't in Chicago yet (Stevens was still in Chicago). Bruce said that Fuld will be activated for tomorrow's game.
  14. CubColtPacer
    Scott would be a guy that I would be willing to trade good talent for if the OF spots weren't already filled. From Bruce's blog:
  15. CubColtPacer
    The problem with Wells is he pitches to a lot of contact and much of it is in the air. If he keeps most of that on the ground and has a k rate between 6-7, with minimal walks, he should maintain solid numbers. huh? his GB/FB rate is well above average. 0.91 GB/FB is well above average? It seems a little low for a guy who strikes out less than 6 per 9. I've seen a lot of warning track shots off the guy and plenty of line drive outs. The point is he pitches to a lot of contact and it can be tough to maintain solid numbers when you rely on your defense getting the job done, unless you are a groundball fiend. As Cro Magnon said, ESPN is messed up with Wells and his stats. His GB/FB numbers on his game log don't match up with the box scores for those games. His actual GB/FB ratio is 1.38/1.39 (I've seen it rounded both ways).
  16. CubColtPacer
    There was. The Cubs were already asking him if he would like to move to LF to make him more comfortable but Soriano said he would be fine in CF. Then he got hurt diving for a ball in short center field, and when he came back a week later he was in LF because the Cubs had called up Pie to take center. By the time Pie went down 3 weeks later, Soriano was stuck in LF.
  17. CubColtPacer
    So I take it Adam Jones as the PTBNL is out of the question. The Orioles board is claiming that MacPhail said that the deal was completed with cash sent to the Cubs.
  18. CubColtPacer
    Isnt he a free agent? That will lower the demand Id think, but I dont think Toronto would give him away. Id be interested in giving them 1 of our pitchers in the minors and say Fox for him though. Scutaro only makes 1.1 mil for the eason, meaning he only has about 500K left, so hed be a great target. I know the Twins have shown interest in him, as did the Giants before they guy Sanchez. Scuraro is a guy who we could probably get for Fox+a prospect/PTBNL. If Lou really wants a loogy, they could broaden the deal for Scott Downs, although Im all for trying Ryan or Gaub. I've heard Scutaro is going to be a type A which might make him a bit expensive. I'm not so sure he's worth what it take for a couple months of his services. I dont see how a guy who in his last 3 years has an OPS of 711 could be anywhere near a type A, even with the year hes having. It's only based on the last 2 years. And remember that the Elias rankings are all based on counting stats. I don't know where he'll end up on the rankings though.
  19. CubColtPacer
    I know I'm replying to myself but I think this deserves its own post. Apparently my theory was wrong. Hill was diagnosed by Cubs physicians, but the Orioles front office is claiming they were never told by anybody..the Cubs or Hill and their own doctors never found anything: http://baltimore.orioles.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090729&content_id=6132114&vkey=news_bal&fext=.jsp&c_id=bal Wow. If that's true it looks very bad on everyone. The Cubs front office should have disclosed it. Hill most certainly has been incredibly selfish in hiding the injury (2nd year in a row of hiding an injury if you believe his story from earlier in the year). And you think the Orioles doctors would have found it between the trade physical and the tests they ran in ST when he had soreness.
  20. CubColtPacer
    Hill says he has been pitching with a torn labrum all season: http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/orioles/bal-hill0729,0,6883585.story Remember when Hendry said in the offseason that there was one player that was secretly injured and they were giving that fact to other clubs? It looks like it might have been Hill as the timetable would match up (Hill says it was discovered around the first of the year).
  21. CubColtPacer
    Didn't they release him? And yeah this isn't that big of a deal. He's not batting all that well this year anyway. He has done well against left-handers again this year which is what he was signed to do. It's too bad they've stuck him out there against too many right-handers which has deflated his numbers. If the Cubs can get Soto back soon though, the lineup against left-handers should still be strong enough without Reed there. It will be interesting to see how the Cubs will choose to structure the lineup against a left-hander now.
  22. CubColtPacer
    I don't think I'd trade Fukudome for Dunn straight up even if one of the other Cubs OF's could play CF well. The fact that Fukudome has two more years on his deal while Dunn only has 1 would be the only reason I would consider it. It's probable though that Fukudome would be a better player than Dunn if he was in RF and the flexibility to play CF just adds even more to his value. I think a projection would have to be pretty bearish on Fukudome's future offensive production to make Dunn an upgrade.
  23. CubColtPacer
    Baltimore's asking for way too much. Bruce said they wanted two of Cashner/Castro/Jackson/Carpenter to start the deal. I don't blame them for asking for the moon (they don't have to trade Sherill, and with the number of teams asking for him somebody may cave) but there's no reason anybody should pay that price, especially not the Cubs. Grabow's very inconsistent. I don't think he'd be much of a help and wouldn't trade what the Pirates are asking for him.
  24. CubColtPacer
    A July promotion is hardly rushing him. What? What does the month have to do with anything? I'm talking about his age and experience level. He wasn't dominating low A, and was promoted after one hot weekend following a month of struggling. And he's struggled for a good month in Daytona (when they haven't been rained out). I didn't get the timing then, and I don't get it now. Oh, and he was promoted in June, no? It was either the end of June/start of July. It doesn't really matter..my point wasn't the month, but rather that a midseason promotion is not rushing Vitters at all. What's wrong with giving him a look at a higher level? The thing he needs to work on (figuring out what strikes in the strike zone he should hit and laying off pitcher's strikes) is better worked on in Daytona where the pitchers are better at hitting their spots. If his strikeout rate had gone way up, I would be concerned that he just isn't ready for the level. That hasn't happened though, and he'll make adjustments and figure out which pitches he can drive against better pitching and which pitches he can't. Now we'll have a better idea of his development if he can come back to Daytona at the start of next year having made the adjustments he needs to make over the winter.
  25. CubColtPacer
    A July promotion is hardly rushing him. At this point, he will likely start next year in Daytona again, but now he has all offseason to work knowing full well about what his new level of competition entails. I'm happy at least with the fact that he's still not striking out very much against more advanced pitchers. Oh, btw, I have very little trust on LD percentage at that level, but they do have him at a 15.3% LD percentage. His BABIP so far in Daytona is only .253. And he's hitting a lot of ground balls, so that also should have caused a slightly higher BABIP than if he were hitting a lot of fly balls. He's almost certainly been a little unlucky so far.
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